Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Bill Christy | in MLB Picks
The Cincinnati Reds (26-24) will host the St. Louis Cardinals (28-21) for a 3-game set that will begin tonight. This will be the 1st series between the NL Central foes.
It has been a month of mediocrity for the Cardinals to this point. They are 10-8 on the month and have lost 3 of their last 4. They are coming off back-to-back losses to Pittsburgh, where they were outscored 13-2. The offense went silent after putting up 9 runs in the first game of the series. Luckily, they will get an opportunity to have an offensive breakout here against the opposing starting pitcher.
Chris Paddack will go for the Reds in this one. He is 0-5 with a 7.07 ERA on the season. He has given up multiple runs in 6 straight starts and saw this Cardinals team put up 5 in 4.2 innings of work the last time he faced this Cardinals team. That was when he was still with the Marlins, but it was a terrible outing nonetheless.
The Cardinals are throwing Kyle Leahy to oppose Paddack. He is 5-3 on the season and carries a sub-4.00 ERA. He has given up just 2 earned runs over his last 3 starts. If he can pitch well again, he should have plenty of run support in this one.
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Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
19
|
0.475 | 162 | 77 | 85 |
|
24
|
0.463 | 162 | 75 | 87 |
Cincinnati Reds and St. Louis Cardinals Latest Matches
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Cincinnati Reds against St. Louis Cardinals : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
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Cincinnati Reds - St. Louis Cardinals Key Points
- The total has gone OVER in 18 of Cincinnati’s last 25 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 10 of Cincinnati’s last 12 games at home.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis’ last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati.
- The total has gone OVER in 13 of St. Louis’ last 18 games played on a Friday when on the road.
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Our Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
While Leahy has been stellar lately, he is not invincible. He is due for a rough outing sooner or later. We believe it will be sooner here against the Reds. However, even if he does pitch well, we believe that the Cardinals can rough up Paddack just like they did when he was a member of the Miami Marlins a month ago. These teams are both ranked inside the top 15 in runs scored on the season. That should continue here in the opening game of the series.
Our prediction for Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals: Over 9.5
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