Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Dan Angell in MLB Picks
The St. Louis Cardinals (7-7 SU, 10-4 ATS) look to build off their Friday showing as they face another game against the Arizona Diamondbacks (6-8 SU, 8-6 ATS). St. Louis sends veteran Kyle Gibson to the mound, which could be a dangerous prospect against this Arizona lineup. Gibson has shown before that he’s at his best when he misses bats, and the Diamondbacks really don’t miss very often. Arizona has only struck out 97 times in 491 at-bats, easily the best ratio in the majors.
The Diamondbacks counter with Ryne Nelson, who has shown some good things but little consistency. Nelson really fell apart last season in posting a 5.31 ERA, and he’s shown one good and one bad outing in 2024. Against the Yankees, Nelson made it just 2.2 innings, while he looked much better in holding the Braves to three runs over five innings. The Diamondbacks’ bullpen did its job in both situations, but the offense never came through, losing both games by 5-2 margins.
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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8
|
0.549 | 162 | 89 | 73 |
|
16
|
0.512 | 162 | 83 | 79 |
Arizona Diamondbacks and St. Louis Cardinals Latest Matches
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Arizona Diamondbacks against St. Louis Cardinals : Head to Head (H2H)
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Arizona Diamondbacks - St. Louis Cardinals Key Points
- The Cardinals are 2-4 when coming off a win in 2024.
- The Cardinals have scored at least three runs in seven straight games.
- The Diamondbacks have scored four runs or more in seven of eight home games.
- The Diamondbacks are 3-0 in 2024 when coming off a home loss.
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Our Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
The fact that Arizona doesn’t miss at the plate is a big advantage against Gibson. The Cardinals’ pitcher has gone over his strikeout total in both of his starts this season and will clearly be looking for punchouts. But against the Marlins last time out, Gibson got in trouble virtually every time the ball got put in play. He gutted through six innings, but the Marlins put the game away with six runs in the first inning before the Cardinals ever got to hit.
Nelson’s performances have been worrisome, but he showed enough positive in his most recent start to build off of it. Eventually, he’s going to get some offensive support while he’s on the hill. With the Cardinals sending a winnable matchup to the slab, this looks like the most likely time. Our prediction for St. Louis vs. Arizona is Diamondbacks to win.
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