Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo Prediction & Picks - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
10/18/25 21:00
Houston Dynamo

Prediction:

 

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 by Erik Gibbs | in Major League Soccer Picks

Sporting Kansas City host the Houston Dynamo at Children's Mercy Park in the final round of the MLS regular season. Both Western Conference sides have had underwhelming years and are out of playoff contention. Sporting Kansas City in particular endured a dreadful campaign and sits near the bottom of the standings. They have lost five matches in a row, with their most recent outing a 0-3 defeat to Minnesota United. Kansas City will simply try to snap its losing streak in this finale.

The Houston Dynamo have fared slightly better than SKC, but their season was also disappointing. Houston's record stands at 9 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses. In their last five matches they have one win, one draw, and three losses. They enter this game on the back of a 2-4 home defeat to expansion club San Diego FC, a result that exposed defensive frailties. Over the season, Houston scored 43 goals and conceded 56, placing them in the lower tier of the league. Their away record (4–6–6) is mediocre, but they will view this match as a chance to exploit Kansas City's struggles and end on a high note.

Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
22
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
37 34 9 10 15 -13
27
Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
28 34 7 7 20 -24

Sporting Kansas City and Houston Dynamo Latest Matches

Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City Latest matches
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
3 :  0
Sporting Kansas City

Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy
4 :  1
Sporting Kansas City

Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
0 :  2
Vancouver Whitecaps

Sep 13, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake
2 :  1
Sporting Kansas City

Sep 7, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
1 :  2
Austin FC

Aug 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
4 :  2
Colorado Rapids
L D L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
0 :  2
Vancouver Whitecaps

Sep 7, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
1 :  2
Austin FC

Aug 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
4 :  2
Colorado Rapids

Aug 9, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
0 :  2
San Diego FC

Jul 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
1 :  1
New York City

Jul 12, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
2 :  3
Seattle Sounders
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
3.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
3 :  0
Sporting Kansas City

Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy
4 :  1
Sporting Kansas City

Sep 13, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake
2 :  1
Sporting Kansas City

Aug 24, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders
5 :  2
Sporting Kansas City

Aug 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC
3 :  1
Sporting Kansas City

Jul 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps
3 :  0
Sporting Kansas City
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo Latest matches
W D L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo
2 :  4
San Diego FC

Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Nashville SC
3 :  1
Houston Dynamo

Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo
1 :  0
Portland Timbers

Sep 13, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Colorado Rapids
2 :  1
Houston Dynamo

Sep 6, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo
1 :  1
Los Angeles Galaxy

Aug 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Saint Louis City SC
2 :  3
Houston Dynamo
L L L D W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo
2 :  4
San Diego FC

Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo
1 :  0
Portland Timbers

Sep 6, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo
1 :  1
Los Angeles Galaxy

Aug 23, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo
1 :  2
San Jose Earthquakes

Aug 5, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Houston Dynamo
1 :  2
CF Pachuca

Aug 1, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Houston Dynamo
0 :  2
Mazatlan FC
L D D W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Nashville SC
3 :  1
Houston Dynamo

Sep 13, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Colorado Rapids
2 :  1
Houston Dynamo

Aug 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Saint Louis City SC
2 :  3
Houston Dynamo

Aug 17, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps
1 :  1
Houston Dynamo

Aug 9, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Austin FC
2 :  2
Houston Dynamo

Jul 29, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Tigres UANL
4 :  1
Houston Dynamo

Sporting Kansas City against Houston Dynamo : Head to Head (H2H)

Sporting Kansas City

17 %

Draw

33 %

Houston Dynamo

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

May 31, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo
1 :  3
Sporting Kansas City

May 11, 2024 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
1 :  2
Houston Dynamo

Feb 24, 2024 - Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo
1 :  1
Sporting Kansas City

Nov 26, 2023 - Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo
1 :  0
Sporting Kansas City

Jul 8, 2023 - Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo
2 :  2
Sporting Kansas City

Sep 5, 2020 - Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo
2 :  1
Sporting Kansas City

Sporting Kansas City against Houston Dynamo Lineups: Starting 11

Sporting Kansas City

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Pulskamp
11
K. Shelton
15
J. Miller
23
A. Montes
18
L. Ndenbe
22
Z. Bassong
6
N. Radoja
26
E. Thommy
21
M. Garcia
10
D. Salloi
9
D. Joveljic
11
L. Ennali
10
E. Ponce
14
D. Holmes
9
O. Lingr
35
B. Raines
6
Artur
36
F. Andrade
28
E. Sviatchenko
3
A. Carlos
25
G. Dorsey
31
J. Bond

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Houston Dynamo

Substitutes

Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
Goalkeeper

R. Schewe

Defender

T. Leibold

I. James

J. Davis

N. Radoja 69'

Midfielder

J. Bartlett

Z. Bassong 78'

M. Rodriguez

Forward

S. Suleymanov

S. Munoz

M. Garcia 49'

M. Toye

E. Thommy 78'

Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
Goalkeeper

J. Maurer

Defender

P. Ortiz

E. Bartlow

Midfielder

D. Samassekou

S. Kowalczyk

D. Holmes 68'

J. Urso

B. Raines 80'

E. Duenas

Forward

N. Quinones

O. Lingr 80'

G. Segal

Missing players

Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
Defender

A. Brody

Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
Goalkeeper

B. Gillingham

Forward

J. McGlynn

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sporting Kansas City
CD Huachipato Houston Dynamo
Top Goalscorer
Serbia D. Joveljic (18 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina E. Ponce (10 Goals)
Best assists
Spain M. Garcia (6 Assists)
Best assists
USA J. McGlynn (6 Assists)

Sporting Kansas City - Houston Dynamo Key Points

  1. The Dynamo are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. Sporting Kansas City are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 3-2 in the Dynamo's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 2-3 in Sporting Kansas City's last 5 games

Our Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

Sporting Kansas City's attack has been almost entirely reliant on one man: forward Dejan Joveljić. He has been SKC's standout performer, scoring 18 goals this season – by far the most on the team (the next highest has only 7). Joveljić's clinical finishing has been one of the few positives in an otherwise poor year for Kansas City. Aside from him, winger Dániel Sallói (7 goals) provided some contribution, but the team has largely lacked secondary scoring options.

For Houston, the primary attacking threat is Argentine striker Ezequiel Ponce, who led the Dynamo with 10 goals. Ponce's arrival gave Houston a focal point in attack and he delivered consistently. Supporting him, young midfielder Jack McGlynn emerged as an important contributor with 6 goals and creative playmaking from midfield. Ponce's scoring touch and McGlynn's inventiveness will be central to Houston's efforts to break down the SKC defense.

Considering the matchup, Houston appears to have the edge in both quality and confidence. Sporting KC's morale is low after five straight losses, and their -24 goal differential points to major defensive vulnerabilities. In contrast, Houston has a more reliable attack and a slightly tighter defense. While playing on the road is never easy and SKC will fight to avoid another defeat at home, the Dynamo have the stronger side on paper. A narrow Houston victory is a likely outcome to wrap up the season. Our prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo: Dynamo to win.

Prediction:

 

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Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo Picks