SC Braga vs Freiburg Prediction & Picks - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

SC Braga
4/30/26 15:00
Freiburg

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

+118
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 by Carlos Zabala | in Europa League Picks

SC Braga survived an epic quarter-final, where they were the underdogs, but managed to eliminate one of the competition's top contenders, Real Betis, by coming from behind in the second leg to overturn a 2-0 deficit, win 4-2 in the second half, and advance to the semi-finals. Now, the Archbishops face a similarly demanding challenge when they host Bundesliga side Freiburg starting Thursday.

SC Braga enters the top 10 all-time list of clubs with the most Europa League appearances. However, despite reaching the 2011 final, which they lost to Porto, they have never lifted the trophy. This is their best opportunity to do so in their long history; this traditional club was founded in 1921.

The first leg of the semi-final will be played at the Municipal Stadium in Braga; a close tie is expected. German side Freiburg finished in the top eight of the league stage. They are usually strong at home in Europa-Park Stadion, but their away form has been poor, with only two wins in their last nine matches. Nevertheless, the "Black Forest Eleven" reached this round, like SC Braga, by defeating a Spanish team. Freiburg eliminated Celta Vigo in the quarterfinals with a 6-1 aggregate score.

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SC Braga vs Freiburg Form

SC Braga and Freiburg Latest Matches

SC Braga
SC Braga Latest matches
D W W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 26, 2026 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  1
SC Braga

Apr 23, 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  1
SC Braga

Apr 19, 2026 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
2 :  2
Famalicao

Apr 16, 2026 - Europa League

Betis
2 :  4
SC Braga

Apr 12, 2026 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
1 :  0
Arouca

Apr 8, 2026 - Europa League

SC Braga
1 :  1
Betis
D W L D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 19, 2026 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
2 :  2
Famalicao

Apr 12, 2026 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
1 :  0
Arouca

Apr 8, 2026 - Europa League

SC Braga
1 :  1
Betis

Mar 22, 2026 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
1 :  2
Porto

Mar 18, 2026 - Europa League

SC Braga
4 :  0
Ferencvarosi Budapest

Mar 7, 2026 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
2 :  2
Sporting Lisbon
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 26, 2026 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  1
SC Braga

Apr 23, 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  1
SC Braga

Apr 16, 2026 - Europa League

Betis
2 :  4
SC Braga

Apr 4, 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  1
SC Braga

Mar 12, 2026 - Europa League

Ferencvarosi Budapest
2 :  0
SC Braga

Feb 28, 2026 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  2
SC Braga
Freiburg
Freiburg Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 26, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  0
Freiburg

Apr 23, 2026 - DFB Pokal

Stuttgart
2 :  1
Freiburg

Apr 19, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Heidenheim

Apr 16, 2026 - Europa League

Celta Vigo
1 :  3
Freiburg

Apr 12, 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  1
Freiburg

Apr 9, 2026 - Europa League

Freiburg
3 :  0
Celta Vigo
D L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 19, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Heidenheim

Apr 9, 2026 - Europa League

Freiburg
3 :  0
Celta Vigo

Apr 4, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  3
Bayern Munich

Mar 19, 2026 - Europa League

Freiburg
5 :  1
Genk

Mar 15, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  1
Union Berlin

Mar 7, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 26, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  0
Freiburg

Apr 23, 2026 - DFB Pokal

Stuttgart
2 :  1
Freiburg

Apr 16, 2026 - Europa League

Celta Vigo
1 :  3
Freiburg

Apr 12, 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  1
Freiburg

Mar 22, 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  2
Freiburg

Mar 12, 2026 - Europa League

Genk
1 :  0
Freiburg

SC Braga - Freiburg: Form Analysis

SC Braga lost to Santa Clara in the Portuguese league over the weekend, while Freiburg suffered a heavy defeat at the hands of Dortmund in matchday 31 of the Bundesliga. These results clearly indicate that both teams had, and still have, their sights set on Thursday's match.

SC Braga and Freiburg have been holding back for Thursday.

The Archbishops won their quarter-final despite drawing against Real Betis at home. This time, they cannot afford to lose the first leg in Portugal. The numbers are on their side, as they have won 12 of their previous 16 European matches at home.

As for Freiburg, it's clear they have slowed down from their good form at the worst possible time; they recently lost in other semi-finals, the DFB-Pokal to Stuttgart, and in the Bundesliga, they suffered a crushing defeat against Dortmund that knocked them out. Freiburg finished in the top seven of the league, missing out on any European qualification with three matchdays remaining. In that sense, Freiburg desperately needs to win the Europa League to return to European competition, but the same is true for the Portuguese side.

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SC Braga against Freiburg Lineups: Starting 11

SC Braga

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
L. Hornicek
2
V. Gomez
6
V. Carvalho
15
P. Oliveira
14
G. Lagerbielke
34
D. Tiknaz
8
J. Moutinho
29
J. Gorby
10
R. Zalazar
18
P. Victor
21
R. Horta
31
I. Matanovic
32
V. Grifo
14
Y. Suzuki
19
J. Beste
44
J. Manzambi
8
M. Eggestein
33
J. Makengo
3
P. Lienhart
28
M. Ginter
29
P. Treu
1
N. Atubolu

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Freiburg

Substitutes

SC Braga
SC Braga
Goalkeeper

A. Bellaarouch

T. Sa

Defender

J. Noro

L. Lelo

R. Silva

A. Sousa

Midfielder

Vasconcelos

F. Navarro

R. Zalazar 72'

Y. da Rocha

M. Dorgeles

R. Horta 25'

L. Pinto

Forward

A. El Ouazzani

Freiburg
Freiburg
Goalkeeper

F. Muller

J. Huth

Defender

B. Ogbus

A. Jung

C. Gunter

L. Kubler

Midfielder

N. Hofler

R. Tarnutzer

Forward

L. Holer

Y. Suzuki 81'

C. Irie

D. Scherhant

V. Grifo 81'

M. Philipp

Missing players

SC Braga
SC Braga
Freiburg
Freiburg
Defender

M. Rosenfelder

Midfielder

P. Osterhage

SC Braga & Freiburg Squad Analysis

This season, things have worked particularly well in attack for both teams. For SC Braga, the frequent goalscorer has been Pau Victor, the well-known former Barcelona striker; his goal was instrumental in the comeback against Betis, and this season with the Archbishops he has 8 goals and 4 assists. But the experienced Ricardo Horta, with 18 goals and 14 assists, is also continuing one of his most productive seasons with the club he has played for since 2016/2017.

On the Freiburg side, Grifo has scored 4 goals and assisted 3. However, the player SC Braga's defense will have to be especially wary of is Japanese international striker Yuito Suzuki. He scored two goals against Celta Vigo at Balaídos, played 120 minutes in the German Cup semi-final, and was rested in the last league match.

Among the most talked-about absences, Brazilian midfielder Moscardo, who received a yellow card against Betis, will have to serve a suspension, while Jordy Makengo was out of the Freiburg-Dortmund game due to an injury.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato SC Braga
CD Huachipato Freiburg
Top Goalscorer
Portugal R. Horta (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy V. Grifo (5 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal R. Horta (4 Assists)
Spain V. Gomez (4 Assists)
Best assists
Italy V. Grifo (4 Assists)

SC Braga - Freiburg Key Points

  1. SC Braga scored 4 goals from 5 shots on target against Real Betis
  2. Both teams have scored in 4 of SC Braga's last 6 matches
  3. Freiburg allowed Dortmund to generate an xG of 3.37 in their Bundesliga match
  4. 8 of Freiburg's last 9 matches have seen 3 or more goals.
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Our SC Braga vs Freiburg Prediction

Taking everything into account, the SC Braga-Freiburg match appears very likely to be a high-scoring affair. Firstly, goals from the Archbishops seem almost guaranteed, as they have scored at least one goal in 18 consecutive home matches.

Freiburg, meanwhile, will bring their dynamic style of play to the Estádio Municipal de Braga. Schuster wisely rested his key players over the weekend to focus on the tie that kicks off on Thursday.

Our prediction for Sporting Braga vs Freiburg is: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

+118
$350 offered for betting!

SC Braga vs Freiburg - Other Interesting Picks

SC Braga win the match

Odds +140
This looks like the moment when SC Braga should finally make their vast experience in the competition count. Their loyal fans will turn out in force to support them on this Portuguese night against a Freiburg side that, with defeats against Stuttgart and Dortmund in April, is showing signs that their season may be about to completely fizzle out.
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Ricardo Horta to score or assist

Odds +145
Even at 31, Ricardo Horta clearly has a knack for scoring goals; his 32 goals so far have made this, even though it's not over yet, one of the most prolific seasons of his career. Sportium is offering attractive odds for another Thursday goal.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

SC Braga vs Freiburg Picks