Italy vs Spain Prediction & Picks - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Italy
9/2/25 14:30
Spain

Prediction:

 

Spain (+2.5) cover the spread

-115
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 by Paul Tamayo in EuroBasket Picks

Italy takes on Spain on Wednesday, September 3, at the Spyros Kyprianou Arena in Cyprus. 

We're in for an exciting group stage match in Group C. Italy and Spain have been at it for decades now, and their head-to-head record is very close. Italy leads, 8-7, having recently defeated Spain during the 2023 World Cup Qualifiers.

This year, both the Italians and Spaniards have a 2-1 record through three games. Italy is coming off a 96-79 win against Bosnia and Herzegovina. It was still a close game when they led by only four points in the first half, but Italy extended their lead with a stronger second half.

Sweet-shooting forward Simone Fontecchio came through with a tournament-high of 39 points on 7-10 three-point shooting. It was easily his best game of the tournament, especially after struggling in the first game. Darius Thompson and Marco Spissu both added 14 points in the win. 

Spain is also coming off an 88-67 win over Bosnia and Herzegovina. They erected a 10-point lead in the first half, then extended it with a 28-point third quarter. 

Memphis Grizzlies big man Santi Aldama led the Spaniards' charge with 19 points and 5 rebounds. Aldama is averaging 13.0 points so far, but plenty more is expected from him.

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Italy vs Spain Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
2
Italy
Italy
9 5 4 1 4
5
Spain
Spain
7 5 2 3

Italy and Spain Latest Matches

Italy
Italy Latest matches
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Bosnia & Herzegovina
79 :  96
Italy

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
78 :  62
Georgia

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
75 :  66
Italy

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
83 :  68
Italy

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
84 :  72
Argentina
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
78 :  62
Georgia

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
84 :  72
Argentina

Aug 9, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
91 :  75
Latvia

Aug 2, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
87 :  61
Iceland

Feb 23, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
67 :  71
Hungary

Feb 22, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
87 :  80
Turkiye
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Bosnia & Herzegovina
79 :  96
Italy

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
75 :  66
Italy

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
83 :  68
Italy

Feb 20, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Turkiye
67 :  80
Italy

Sep 1, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Serbia
76 :  78
Italy
Spain
Spain Latest matches
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
91 :  47
Cyprus

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
88 :  67
Bosnia & Herzegovina

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
83 :  69
Spain

Aug 23, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Germany
95 :  78
Spain

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
105 :  106
Germany

Aug 16, 2025 - International Friendly Games

France
78 :  73
Spain
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
91 :  47
Cyprus

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
88 :  67
Bosnia & Herzegovina

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
105 :  106
Germany

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
67 :  75
France

Aug 7, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
87 :  73
Czechia

Aug 5, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
74 :  76
Portugal
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
83 :  69
Spain

Aug 23, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Germany
95 :  78
Spain

Aug 16, 2025 - International Friendly Games

France
78 :  73
Spain

Feb 20, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Latvia
83 :  66
Spain

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Canada
88 :  85
Spain

Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Australia
92 :  80
Spain

Players list

Italy
Italy
Goalkeeper

A. Pajola

M. Spagnolo

Forward

M. Diouf

N. Melli

S. Fontecchio

Spain
Spain
W. Hernangomez Goalkeeper

S. De Larrea

Forward

S. Aldama

J. Parra

S. Yusta

Substitutes

Italy
Italy
Goalkeeper

M. Spissu

D. Thompson

Forward

D. Gallinari

G. Ricci

G. Procida

S. Niang

N. Akele

Spain
Spain
Y. Sima Goalkeeper

M. Saint-Supery Fernandez

D. Brizuela

Forward

J. Puerto

J. Pradilla

J. Hernangomez

X. Lopez-Arostegui

Italy - Spain Key Points

  1. Italy is coming off a 96-79 win against Bosnia and Herzegovina.
  2. Spain is coming off an 88-67 win against Bosnia and Herzegovina.
  3. Italy's Simone Fontecchio produced 39 points in their last game.
  4. Spain's Santi Aldama is averaging only 13.0 points.
Up to $300 to bet on Italy - Spain! 

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Our Italy vs Spain Prediction

Both Italy and Spain are coming off respective wins against Bosnia and Herzegovina, and they have the same exact 2-1 record in the tournament. The bad news for Spain is that Italian star Simone Fontecchio might have found his groove.

After struggling early on, Fontecchio just exploded for 39 points in their last game. The Spaniards will be hard-pressed to strengthen their perimeter defense to contain Fontecchio's shooting. Our prediction for the Italy vs Spain match is: Spain (+2.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Spain (+2.5) cover the spread

-115
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