Spain vs Italy Prediction & Picks - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Spain
9/2/25 14:30
Italy

Prediction:

 

Spain (+2.5) cover the spread

-115
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 by Paul Tamayo in EuroBasket Picks

Italy takes on Spain on Wednesday, September 3, at the Spyros Kyprianou Arena in Cyprus. 

We're in for an exciting group stage match in Group C. Italy and Spain have been at it for decades now, and their head-to-head record is very close. Italy leads, 8-7, having recently defeated Spain during the 2023 World Cup Qualifiers.

This year, both the Italians and Spaniards have a 2-1 record through three games. Italy is coming off a 96-79 win against Bosnia and Herzegovina. It was still a close game when they led by only four points in the first half, but Italy extended their lead with a stronger second half.

Sweet-shooting forward Simone Fontecchio came through with a tournament-high of 39 points on 7-10 three-point shooting. It was easily his best game of the tournament, especially after struggling in the first game. Darius Thompson and Marco Spissu both added 14 points in the win. 

Spain is also coming off an 88-67 win over Bosnia and Herzegovina. They erected a 10-point lead in the first half, then extended it with a 28-point third quarter. 

Memphis Grizzlies big man Santi Aldama led the Spaniards' charge with 19 points and 5 rebounds. Aldama is averaging 13.0 points so far, but plenty more is expected from him.

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Spain vs Italy Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L Series
2
Italy
Italy
7 4 3 1 3
3
Spain
Spain
6 4 2 2 -1

Spain and Italy Latest Matches

Spain
Spain Latest matches
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
47 :  91
Spain

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Bosnia & Herzegovina
67 :  88
Spain

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
69 :  83
Georgia

Aug 23, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
78 :  95
Germany

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Germany
106 :  105
Spain

Aug 16, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
73 :  78
France
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
47 :  91
Spain

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Bosnia & Herzegovina
67 :  88
Spain

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Germany
106 :  105
Spain

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

France
75 :  67
Spain

Aug 7, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Czechia
73 :  87
Spain

Aug 5, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Portugal
76 :  74
Spain
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
69 :  83
Georgia

Aug 23, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
78 :  95
Germany

Aug 16, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
73 :  78
France

Feb 20, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Spain
66 :  83
Latvia

Nov 22, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Spain
76 :  72
Slovakia

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Spain
85 :  88
Canada
Italy
Italy Latest matches
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
96 :  79
Bosnia & Herzegovina

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
62 :  78
Italy

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
66 :  75
Greece

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
74 :  76
Greece

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
68 :  83
Latvia

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Argentina
72 :  84
Italy
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
62 :  78
Italy

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Argentina
72 :  84
Italy

Aug 9, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
75 :  91
Italy

Aug 2, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Iceland
61 :  87
Italy

Feb 23, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Hungary
71 :  67
Italy

Nov 25, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Iceland
81 :  74
Italy
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
96 :  79
Bosnia & Herzegovina

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
66 :  75
Greece

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
74 :  76
Greece

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
68 :  83
Latvia

Feb 20, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
80 :  67
Turkiye

Nov 22, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
95 :  71
Iceland

Spain - Italy Key Points

  1. Italy is coming off a 96-79 win against Bosnia and Herzegovina.
  2. Spain is coming off an 88-67 win against Bosnia and Herzegovina.
  3. Italy's Simone Fontecchio produced 39 points in their last game.
  4. Spain's Santi Aldama is averaging only 13.0 points.
Up to $300 to bet on Spain - Italy! 

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Our Spain vs Italy Prediction

Both Italy and Spain are coming off respective wins against Bosnia and Herzegovina, and they have the same exact 2-1 record in the tournament. The bad news for Spain is that Italian star Simone Fontecchio might have found his groove.

After struggling early on, Fontecchio just exploded for 39 points in their last game. The Spaniards will be hard-pressed to strengthen their perimeter defense to contain Fontecchio's shooting. Our prediction for the Italy vs Spain match is: Spain (+2.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Spain (+2.5) cover the spread

-115
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Spain vs Italy Picks
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