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Southampton vs Manchester City Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Southampton
5/10/25 09:00
Manchester City

Prediction:

 

Under 3.5 Goals

-105
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Premier League Picks

One of the more pointless EPL games taking place on Saturday sees Southampton and Man City meet at St. Mary's, where both teams will likely be less than fully motivated to give their all. The hosts are down and out following what has been a dreadful attempt at surviving the Premier League seas. Currently without a manager following the departure of Ivan Juric, making it two managerial exits for the Saints this season, Saturday's hosts have at least done a better job of hanging in games of late, losing none of their last three by more than a single goal. Can they keep this up against City? 

It would be easy to assume that Pep Guardiola's men will simply steamroller the Saints, which they easily could, but they've taken the more low-key approach in recent games, while they'll also be looking to save themselves for the upcoming FA Cup final.

Southampton vs Manchester City Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Manchester City
Manchester City
64 35 19 7 9 24
20
Southampton
Southampton
11 35 2 5 28 -57

Southampton and Manchester City Latest Matches

Southampton
Southampton Latest matches
D L L D L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 3, 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
2 :  0
Southampton

Apr 26, 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  2
Fulham

Apr 19, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  1
Southampton

Apr 12, 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  3
Aston Villa

Apr 6, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
3 :  1
Southampton

Apr 2, 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  1
Crystal Palace
L L L D L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 26, 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  2
Fulham

Apr 12, 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  3
Aston Villa

Apr 2, 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  1
Crystal Palace

Mar 15, 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  2
Wolves

Feb 22, 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  4
Brighton

Feb 15, 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  3
Bournemouth
W L L L D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 3, 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
2 :  0
Southampton

Apr 19, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  1
Southampton

Apr 6, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
3 :  1
Southampton

Mar 8, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
3 :  1
Southampton

Feb 25, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  0
Southampton

Feb 1, 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
1 :  2
Southampton
Manchester City
Manchester City Latest matches
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

May 2, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Wolves

Apr 27, 2025 - FA Cup

Nottingham Forest
0 :  2
Manchester City

Apr 22, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Apr 19, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  2
Manchester City

Apr 12, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  2
Crystal Palace

Apr 6, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  0
Manchester City
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 2, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Wolves

Apr 22, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Apr 12, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  2
Crystal Palace

Apr 2, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Leicester

Mar 15, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  2
Brighton

Mar 1, 2025 - FA Cup

Manchester City
3 :  1
Plymouth
W L W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Apr 27, 2025 - FA Cup

Nottingham Forest
0 :  2
Manchester City

Apr 19, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  2
Manchester City

Apr 6, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  0
Manchester City

Mar 30, 2025 - FA Cup

Bournemouth
1 :  2
Manchester City

Mar 8, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Manchester City

Feb 26, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  1
Manchester City

Southampton against Manchester City : Head to Head (H2H)

Southampton

17 %

Draw

17 %

Manchester City

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Oct 26, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Southampton

Apr 8, 2023 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  4
Manchester City

Jan 11, 2023 - Carabao Cup

Southampton
2 :  0
Manchester City

Oct 8, 2022 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  0
Southampton

Mar 20, 2022 - FA Cup

Southampton
1 :  4
Manchester City

Jan 22, 2022 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  1
Manchester City

Manchester City v Southampton last Lineups

Southampton

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

30
A. Ramsdale
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
35
J. Bednarek
5
J. Stephens
2
K. Walker-Peters
4
F. Downes
26
L. Ugochukwu
3
R. Manning
18
M. Fernandes
20
K. Sulemana
11
R. Stewart
7
O. Marmoush
11
J. Doku
17
K. De Bruyne
20
B. Silva
8
M. Kovacic
19
I. Gundogan
75
N. O'Reilly
24
J. Gvardiol
3
R. Dias
27
M. Nunes
31
Ederson

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Manchester City

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Southampton
CD Huachipato Manchester City
Top Goalscorer
England C. Archer (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (29 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal M. Fernandes (6 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Savinho (10 Assists)

Southampton and Manchester City Stats in Premier League

Southampton
Southampton
Manchester City
Manchester City
6%
Victories
54%
14%
Draw
20%
80%
Defeats
26%
3.06
Total goals per match
3.14
0.71
Goals scored per match
1.91
2.34
Goals conceded per match
1.23
63%
Over 2.5
63%
37%
Under 2.5
37%
57%
BTTS
57%
6%
No goals conceded
31%

Southampton - Manchester City Key Points

  1. Each of Man City's last four games has contained less than four goals.
  2. Each of Southampton's last four games has contained less than four goals.
  3. When the pair met earlier in the season, only one goal was scored.
  4. Less than four goals have been scored in each of Man City's last seven away games.

Our Southampton vs Manchester City Prediction

This game is something of a meaningless one for all involved. Both teams have fallen short of expectations, that's a fact. However, having avoided heavy defeats of late, the hosts will likely be looking to be as solid as possible, while the visitors will want to build momentum ahead of the FA Cup final without risking any injuries, so don't be too surprised if this is a relatively low-scoring game. After all, the visitors have made a habit of winning in low-scoring fashion of late. Our Southampton vs Man City Pick: Under 3.5 Goals. 

Prediction:

 

Under 3.5 Goals

-105
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Southampton vs Manchester City Picks