Over/Under Soccer Picks & Predictions

What is an Under/Over Soccer Bet?

In the context of soccer, an “Under/Over” bet is one of the most popular markets after the well-known moneyline pick. Under/Over soccer bets are made by predicting "more" or "less" goals, yellow or red cards, shots, corner kicks etc. according to a specific number that is defined. 

If we base ourselves on “Over” type bets, these are telling us that we are betting that there will be a greater number of goals compared to a number of goals established in the bet. On the other hand, if the bet is Under type, we are referring to the fact that we are betting that there will be a lower number of goals compared to that established by the sportsbook. To know more details keep reading.

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The Different Types of Under/Over Soccer Bets

With soccer being one of the most well-known and abundant sports among betting operators, there are different variations of “Over/Under” bets in all online sportsbooks.

Soccer Betting Over/Under 0.5

Although this bet is not the most used in the Over/Under market, the first possible Over/Under prediction refers to 0.5 goals. Therefore, you have the option to bet on an Over 0.5 (which means + 0.5 goals in the match), on an Under 0.5 (which means - 0.5 goals in the match), or a goalless draw.

To illustrate, if you bet on Over 0.5 and there is a goal in the match, your bet wins, while if you bet on Under 0.5 goals, only a score that ends in a tie and no goals will make your bet win. Here we leave you some examples of bets of more than 0.5 goals.

• MLS: LAFC 3-1 Inter Miami | The Over/Over bet of 0.5 goals wins, while the Under/Under bet of 0.5 loses.
• Premier League: Arsenal 0-0 Chelsea | The Over/Over bet of 0.5 loses, while the Under/Under bet of 0.5 wins.
• La Liga: Barcelona 1-1 Real Madrid | The Over/Over bet of 0.5 wins, while the Under/Under bet of 0.5 loses.

Consider that although the odds of winning a bet of more than 0.5 are high, the odds offered by sportsbooks are not high. The average value is 1.07 (-1400), the value is low since in reality it only takes one goal for you to win your bet. Conversely, winning a “Less than 0.5 goals” bet is more complicated, and that is why the odds have greater value. If you think about it, it's obvious, since the only option to win the Under 0.5 is for the score to end 0-0 at the end of the match.

Do you want to bet on Under 0.5 in a match? Here’s our advice: always take a look at both the Under 0.5 odds and the exact 0-0 score betting market. Sometimes the odds differ greatly between these two types of bets, even if they represent the same scenario of a soccer match. Don't forget to optimize your profits to the maximum!

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Over/Under Soccer Betting 1.5

The next step, above the “Over/Under 0.5” market, is the bet on Over/Under 1.5 goals in the match. This is available on all online sports betting sites. If you followed what was explained above, you will understand that the Over 1.5 bet indicates "More than 1.5 goals in the match", while the Under 1.5 bet means "Less than 1.5 goals in the match".

If there are at least two goals in the match, the Over/Over 1.5 bet wins. For the bet on under 1.5 goals to be applied, it is necessary that there are no goals or that a goal be scored in the match. Below are some Over 1.5 Goals betting examples to help you.

• Ligue 1 France: PSG 4-2 Monaco | The Over/More bet of 1.5 wins, while the Under/Under bet of 1.5 loses.
• Premier League: Man City 1-0 Man Utd | The Over/Over bet of 1.5 loses, while the Under 1.5 bet wins.
• Bundesliga: Bayern 1-1 Dortmund | The Over/Over bet of 1.5 wins, but the Under/Under 1.5 bet loses.

Since most matches end with at least 2 goals, the odds are higher for Under 1.5 and lower for Over 1.5 in sportsbooks.

Do you want to place an Under 1.5 soccer bet? Do not hesitate to consult the prediction odds for both teams to score. They may be higher than the quota proposed for Under 1.5, both representing the same scenario, but with different values. The "Under 1.5" bet includes these three scoring possibilities: 1-0, 0-0 and 0-1. In these three cases, neither team or only one scores in the match. Therefore, it is essential to look at the odds of these 2 bets. 

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Soccer Betting Over/Under 2.5

It is time to address the most played bets in the field of Over Under soccer betting, namely the Over Under 2.5 bet. Both the Over 2.5 bet (More than 2.5 goals) and the Under 2.5 bet (Less than 2.5 goals) offer very attractive and often balanced odds in the sportsbooks. On average, these odds are worth around -143 each.

As far as the rules of this bet are concerned, they are similar to the Over/Under rules seen previously. That is to say; If the number of goals in a match exceeds 2.5 (i.e. 3 or more goals), the Over 2.5 bet is counted as a winner. On the other hand, if the total number of goals does not exceed the specified number of 2.5 (i.e. at least two goals), the Under 2.5 bet will win. To make it clearer, here are several examples of “Over 2.5” bets.

• MLS: Minnesota FC 1-3 Sporting KC | The “Over 2.5” bet wins, while the Under/Under 2.5 bet loses.
• La Liga: Valencia 2-0 Atletico Madrid| The “Over 2.5” bet loses, while the “Under 2.5” bet wins.
• Champions League: Roma 3-2 Arsenal| The “Over 2.5” bet wins, while the “Under 2.5” bet loses.

As most soccer matches end with 2 or 3 goals, you will have to be precise in your analysis if you lean towards an “Over 2.5 Goals” bet. Every detail counts: the goals scored and conceded by the two teams, what is at stake in the match, the game systems, absences, etc. If your analysis is correct, you can also obtain good odds on this type of bet and, why not, also increase your profits.

Although the Over/Under 2.5 bet is the most popular and interesting in terms of odds, there are also other betting possibilities in this market, such as Over/Under 3.5, Over/Under 4.5 and Over/Under 5.5 that You can also find them in most betting and match houses. Options that will make you get out of the routine.

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Over/Under Variants in Soccer Betting

Now that we have seen Over/Over bets for an entire soccer match, keep in mind that this type of bet can also be made for a specific half (Under/Over 1st half or Under/Over 2nd half), for one of the two teams or even for a quarter of an hour of the game. Below we offer you a non-exhaustive list of the bets available on the market.

• Over/Under Bet - Half Time
• Over/Under Bet - Second half
• Over/Under Bet - Team 1
• Over/Under Bet - Team 2

For these bets, the logic is the same as explained above. For example, if you predict an Over 0.5 in the second half, there must be at least 1 goal in the second half for your bet to be a winner (the number of goals in the first half therefore does not affect your prediction, only the goals in the second half). If you bet less than 1.5 on team 1, the home team must score 0 or 1 goal for your bet to win (if team 1 scores 2 or more goals, the bet is lost).

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Soccer: How to analyze Over/Under bets?

For your bet on the total number of goals in a match to win, several criteria must be analyzed. These are, according to our experts and soccer tipsters, the main ones to take into account:

• The form of each team
• Performance of key players
• Defensive form (number of matches without scoring, average goals conceded, shots per match)
• Recent offensive tactical performance (average goals scored, chances created, shots on goal per game)
• The importance of the match
• Absences (suspensions, injuries, personal reasons, election of the technical director, etc.)
• The style
• The psychological aspect of the teams (derby, rivalry, etc.)
• The schedules of each team 

Studying these criteria will be essential to gain reliability in your Over Under bets. We have prepared 2 examples to illustrate it well:

Example 1: The ideal match to bet on the “Over in soccer” market

Head to the Premier League to watch a late-season match between Arsenal and Leeds. Arsenal aspires for a place in the Champions League and has just achieved 7 consecutive successes. Furthermore, they have just beaten Aston Villa 4-1. Leeds do not play at all at the end of the season and have scored 1 goal and conceded 2.5 on average in the last 5 games. Therefore, this match seems conducive to an Over prediction.

Example 2: The ideal match to bet on the “Under in soccer” market

Serie A: Genoa faces Torino at the bottom of the table in a very important match. Both teams want to avoid defeat at all costs, as they could fall behind in the standings and be threatened by relegation. Genoa and Torino have not scored in their last 3 games. Genoa's top scorer is injured and Torino's top passer is suspended for this match. Here, betting on an Under forecast is ideal because not many goals are expected.

If the different factors above are correctly analyzed, you can bet optimally on Over/Under type bets in a soccer match. No match is the same: the context of the match, the teams, the championships, the players will never be the same and will change the result of the match. Don't be fooled and follow our expert advice.

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What is the best sportsbook for the soccer Under-Over market?

In April 2024, most sportsbooks offer you Over/Under bets. Take a look at our ranking of the best sports betting sites to find out which ones stand out in the field. 

In addition to being able to take advantage of the best Under/Over odds in soccer and optimize your profits, signing up with the best betting operators will allow you to benefit from great welcome offers to increase your profitability.

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Remember to check your sportsbook's rules on Under/Over in soccer

Finally, before placing your bet on a soccer Over/Under, don't forget to read the rules of your sportsbook. There may be small differences between operators, which can give you a bad surprise if you don't know them.

For example, on some sports betting sites (Over/Under 1, Over/Under 2, Over/Under 3, etc.) Over/Under can be predicted in absolute values. Generally, the odds are lower than in the classic Over/Under. However, your bet is refunded if the number of goals in the match is equal to the value of your bet (e.g.: you are refunded if you have bet on an Over 2 in a soccer match, and the result ends in a 2 - 0 or 1-1). Pay attention to the sportsbook's rules so you don't leave anything to chance. Also try to vary your bets with other markets, such as double chance predictions or 1st half 2nd half soccer picks.

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In summary: How to make a good Over/Under bet in soccer?

In summary, to establish the best possible Over/Under bets, it will be necessary to follow several steps. The first is, obviously, to analyze the matches well (as a reminder, you can find the criteria to take into account a few paragraphs above). Then, it will be important to compare sportsbooks to get the best odds and optimize your profits. It will also be necessary to consult the regulations of your sportsbook and delve as much as possible into your soccer knowledge to gain a certain advantage. Finally, never be carried away by the value of the odds alone, even an odds of 1.05 is not 100% sure to win. 

Feel free to check out our pages for tomorrow's soccer predictions and today's soccer predictions where you'll have access to all of the top predictions and greatest odds proposed for each bet. Don't miss out on this free advice, thousands of users have already made use of our tips for various betting markets including, moneyline predictions, both teams to score predictions, double chance predictions, and half-time / full-time predictions. The full page on Soccer Betting Tips & Predictions is also worth your time! Best of luck!

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