UEFA Euro 2024 Picks & Predictions
UEFA Euro 2024 Format and Picks
June 14 - July 14: here are the dates of the Euro 2024 soccer tournament. Get your predictions ready for the tournament in Germany, which promises to be more exciting than ever.
After Italy's unexpected triumph in 2021, Europe's top teams will meet on German turf in a bid for the ultimate prize.
Who are the Euro favorites? How to make the right predictions? What stats do you need to know to place a bet? We tell you everything on this page 100% dedicated to Euro 2024 predictions.
Get the bonus for your soccer betsPicking the Winner: Who will win Euro 2024?
According to the sportsbooks, the Euro 2024 favorites are France, England and Germany. According to SportyTrader's soccer experts, the trend is slightly different, with the France-England duo leading the expectations indeed, but rather Portugal as the third great nation to follow.
Roberto Martinez's team, which won the title in 2016, boasts incredible quality across the board, symbolized by the likes of Cristiano, Diogo Costa, Rafael Leao and Bruno Fernandes, as well as proven experience at major tournaments, and an outsider status that suits them perfectly. For the best odds, look to Portugal.
Otherwise, Didier Deschamps' France remains the clear favorite. Maignan, the Hernandez brothers, Upamecano, Griezmann, Mbappé, Giroud, Coman... the French armada is huge and scares the hell out of everyone.
Add to this the recent experience of major competitions, and the fact that the motivation will be there - the French of this generation have never won the Euro - and you have all the ingredients of an ultra-favorite for final victory. Our winning prediction: France crowned European champions!
Get the bonus for your soccer betsEuro 2024 Picks: Odds on the title favorites
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| England | +300 |
| France | +380 |
| Germany | +650 |
| Spain | +750 |
| Portugal | +900 |
| Belgium | +1600 |
For this Euro 2024 soccer tournament, sportsbooks are offering good odds on all the favorites. Enough to turn your soccer prediction into a bet with an online sportsbook? It might just be worth it!
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Euro 2024 winners: sportsbooks' odds on all teams
Whether we're talking about the Euro 2024 favorites or outsiders, each team's title is rated by online sportsbooks. Here are the average odds for each team involved:
- England +300
- France +380
- Germany +650
- Spain +750
- Portugal +900
- Belgium +1600
- Italy +1600
- Netherlands +1800
- Denmark +3100
- Switzerland +4400
- Croatia +4400
- Turkey +5000
- Serbia +6500
- Austria +6500
- Scotland +8000
- Poland +8000
- Hungary +8000
- Czech Republic +10000
- Ukraine +10000
- Georgia +12000
- Slovakia +12000
- Romania +12000
- Slovenia +12000
- Albania +16000
Note that some sports betting sites allow you to predict which teams will be the Euro finalists. This is a great way to hedge your bets, and limit the risk of losing your bet to just one match. Don't hesitate to give it a try.
For even more betting opportunities on the competition, don't hesitate to consult our Euro 2024 odds comparator. All scheduled matches are listed, with the best odds on the market each time.
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Prediction on the Qualifiers: Who will reach the last 16 at the Euro?
In addition to betting on the future European champion, you can also bet on the teams who will emerge from their group during the group stage.
For more information on this subject, we invite you to consult our group-by-group Euro predictions, in which we show you which teams we think will qualify for the knockout phase.
And here are the odds proposed by sportsbooks for each nation to qualify for the last 16.
Euro Round of 16 predictions: sportsbooks' odds
- Albania +300
- Austria -138
- Belgium -952
- Croatia -769
- Czech Republic +183
- Denmark -278
- England -961
- France -926
- Germany -952
- Hungary +166
- Italy -833
- Netherlands -800
- Portugal -943
- Romania +157
- Scotland -138
- Serbia +157
- Slovakia +180
- Slovenia +125
- Spain -926
- Switzerland -189
- Turkey -303
These odds may be worth a try in a parlay bet. Why not try your hand at predictions for this qualifier too?
As a reminder, each group will see its top two qualify for the last 16, and the 4 best third-placed teams from this group phase will also qualify (out of 6 groups). Keep this in mind when making your Euro 2024 predictions.
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Euro Top Scorer Pick: Who will score the most goals in Euro 2024?
Alongside betting on the eventual Euro winner and betting on which teams will emerge from the group stage, betting on the competition's top scorer is the third bet offered by online sports betting sites.
In Germany this year, the competition for this distinction promises to be fierce, with world-class players in front of goal.
While the odds for this bet are not yet available everywhere, here's the list of players we think should be followed and favored. Unsurprisingly, each is one of the world's best players in terms of efficiency.
- Mbappé (France)
- Kane (England)
- Lukaku (Belgium)
- Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal)
- Giroud (France)
- Füllkrug (Germany)
- Morata (Spain)
- Chiesa (Italy)
- Weghorst (Netherlands)
- Openda (Belgium)
- Griezmann (France)
- Bellingham (England)
- Gonçalo Ramos (Portugal)
- Gakpo (Netherlands)
- Budimir (Croatia)
To correctly predict the top scorer at Euro 2024, don't just focus on the player's name and prestige.
You need to take into account the way his team plays, and their chances of shining at this European Championship.
Even if on paper Wout Weghorst is more of a goalscorer than Antoine Griezmann, for example, it's better to favor the 2018 World Champion given that France are likely to play more games than the Netherlands in the competition, and therefore leave more opportunities for Griezmann to score goals.
You should also find out who takes free-kicks and penalties, as this gives them the opportunity to score more than other players. In this respect, England's Harry Kane is undoubtedly one of the best prediction options for the title of top scorer at Euro 2024.
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Our Picks for the Euro 2024 Group Stage
The group stages of the Euro 2024 soccer tournament promise a great spectacle on each day of the competition.
Held between June 14 and 26, the group stage pits all the nations involved against each other as they attempt to qualify for the rest of the competition.
Below, find our prediction for each group, with the likely winner and potential qualifiers for the rest of the competition.
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Our prediction for Euro Group A (Germany, Scotland, Hungary, Switzerland)
Euro Group A naturally features the tournament hosts - Germany - Switzerland, Scotland and Hungary. Of course, Germany are the overwhelming favorites to claim first place on home soil, given the competition, but nothing can be taken for granted. If they are to reach the Round of 16 with any certainty (and thus finish second in the group), we imagine Switzerland will do the job.
Our prediction for Group A: Germany to win
Prediction for Euro Group B (Spain, Croatia, Italy, Albania)
Group B of Euro 2024 is undoubtedly the group of death. Between Spain, Italy and Croatia, the Albanians have not inherited an easy group and will have to perform miracles to see out the rest of the competition. Perhaps more serene than the competition and with a balanced squad, Spain represents a good bet for the group winner. But making a prediction on this group remains a real challenge.
Our prediction for Group B: Spain win
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Our prediction for Euro Group C (Slovenia, Denmark, Serbia, England)
Jude Bellingham's England are the clear favorites in Group C. Even if Denmark are never beaten beforehand, and Slovenia (Oblak, Sesko) and Serbia both have talented players (Tadic, Vlahovic), the Three Lions are still a cut above the rest and should have no trouble finishing top. It's a bet we'd recommend you try at the sportsbooks, as the odds are particularly good in December. For second place, the Danes look well equipped to get the better of the Slovenians and Serbs.
Our Group C prediction: England win
Euro Group D prediction (Netherlands, Austria, France - Poland)
In Group D of the competition, the identity of the fourth team is still to be determined. The final ticket is up for grabs in the play-offs for lane A, to be played between March 21 and 26, 2024.
Poland join the Netherlands, Austria and France in this fourth group of the competition.
This group should logically be dominated by France, who have one of the best squads in the competition and are coming off a World Cup final. The Netherlands, meanwhile, have what it takes to take second place at the very least.
Our prediction for Group D: France to win
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Our prediction for Euro Group E (Belgium, Slovakia, Romania, Ukraine)
Ukraine managed to secure the last ticket will meet Belgium, Slovakia and Romania in this group phase of Euro 2024.
In Group E, the Belgian Red Devils are set for a revival since the arrival of Tedesco at the helm. The battle for second place should be fierce.
Our prediction for Group E: Belgium to win
Prediction for Euro Group F (Turkey, Portugal, Czech Republic, Georgia)
Finally, Georgia have booked their spot in Group F.
At the end of the qualifying play-offs, the winner will have the chance to face Portugal, Turkey and the Czech Republic in the final phase of the 2024 European Nations Championship.
Three tough opponents on paper, all boasting players of immense quality on every line. Given their squad and recent experience, Portugal remain the clear favorites for first place. For the second qualifying place, Turkey could benefit from the enormous support of their community in Germany.
Our Group F prediction: Portugal win
To sum up, the format of the Euro (see below) and the fact that 4 of the 6 group winners qualify for the Round of 16 leaves little room for surprises. In any case, SportyTrader's prognosticators don't see any big nations emerging from the group phase. Logic should be respected throughout Germany.
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Beginner Sports Bettors - How does Euro 2024 work and what is its format?
Now that you're familiar with our various predictions, and just before we look at our general tips for correctly predicting each match, let's tackle something important: how Euro 2024 works.
Organized by UEFA, Euro 2024 brings together a total of 24 nations in a bid to become European soccer champions.
Held every four years, the competition is one of the toughest on the planet in terms of level, and sometimes more difficult to win than a World Cup. At least, that's the opinion of many players still in the game.
In terms of format, the competition begins with a group phase, during which the 24 teams are divided into six pools of four. Played between June 14 and 26, 2024, this first phase sees each team in a group compete against each other, in a sort of mini-championship.
At the end of the three-day phase, the teams ranked first and second in their group qualify for the Round of 16, and the teams ranked third have a chance of qualifying too.
Indeed, 4 of the 6 best third-placed teams in terms of points also earn a place in the last 16 of the European Championship. Italy, for example, finished third in Group B with three points. If, at the same time, the third-placed teams in two other groups finish with fewer points, the Squadra Azzurra can still look forward to the rest of the competition.
A system that leaves little room for surprises, and which greatly favors the big nations of European soccer.
Once all the qualifiers are known, the rest of the competition (June 29 - July 14) moves into knockout mode, with single matches. The winners of the Round of 16 qualify for the quarter-finals, the winners of the quarter-finals qualify for the semi-finals, and the winners of the semi-finals qualify for the final.
In the event of a tie at the end of regulation time in this second phase of the tournament, the teams will first go into extra time, then possibly into a penalty shoot-out. A Dantesque program that should make Euro 2024 predictions the most interesting of your sporting year.
What you need to know about the organization of the Euro for your soccer picks
- 24 qualifying teams
- Group stage (6 pools of 4) from June 14 to 26, 2024
- 1st and 2nd in a group qualify for the Round of 8
- 4 of the 6 best third-placed teams qualify for the Round of 8
- Knockout matches from June 29 to July 14, 2024
- Round of 16, quarter-finals, semi-finals and final
- No match for 3rd place
Before choosing your predictions for this Euro 2024 soccer tournament, always bear in mind the format of the competition. This will undoubtedly help you avoid the pitfalls of the final day of the group phase.
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Good to Know: The Euro 2024 play-offs have not yet delivered their verdict!
Before the final phase kicks off, the Euro will see three new qualifiers between now and the end of March 2024. A total of 12 nations are involved in a play-off phase, and will be trying to secure the last qualifying tickets.
Divided into three lanes (A, B and C), they must win two matches in total to see Germany in June.
Each lane begins with two semi-finals, the winners of which meet in the final. The winner of each route's final then gets the grail. Here's the breakdown:
Route A
- Semi-final #1: Poland-Estonia
- Semi-final #2: Wales-Finland
Route B
- Semi-final #1: Israel-Iceland
- Semi-final #2: Bosnia-Herzegovina-Ukraine
Route C
- Semi-final #1: Georgia-Luxembourg
- Semi-final #2: Greece-Kazakhstan
These semi-finals are scheduled for March 21, 2024, and the finals of each lane for March 26.
So we'll have to wait a little longer to find out the last three qualifiers, who will join Groups D, E and F.
Greece, winners in 2004, are hoping to return to the competition, as are Robert Lewandowski's Poland and Zinchenko's Ukraine. You can follow the play-offs on our website.
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Our Tips for Predicting Euro 2024 matches
Once you've familiarized yourself with our various predictions and the format of the European competition, here are our general tips for correctly predicting each Euro 2024 match.
Properly applied, these betting tips will enable you to place better bets with online sportsbooks, and to get ever closer to the truth of a match. Read on!
Our top tips:
- Consult the current series
- Analyze the Euro 2024 squads
- Check for major absentees
- Take into account European rivalry
- Understand European head-to-head history
By considering these five tips, you should be able to make better predictions about the tournament. Want more details on each? We'll tell you all about it in the next few lines.
Consult the current series
First of all, if you don't want to make a mistake, you need to check the latest results of the two teams you're predicting.
For example, did one team win its last match, while its opponent took a beating? In that case, you'd be better off betting on their victory, since momentum and confidence will be on their side.
So, before placing your bet, be sure to take a look at the latest results on both sides. This will always be important.
Analyze the Euro 2024 squads
Secondly, you need to analyze the strengths of each side.
Can a team count on talented players in every position? Are the core players fit? Are there any injured players who could affect the team's chances of coming off the bench?
These are all questions you need to ask yourself before making a prediction on a Euro 2024 match.
This is even truer for the "small nations", who rely heavily on two or three individuals to perform.
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Check for major absentees
In the same vein as the previous point, you also need to take stock of any absentees, if you want to be as successful as possible with your Euro 2024 predictions.
If, for example, Mike Maignan and Kylian Mbappé are injured or suspended for a French team match, you might want to think twice before predicting a success for Les Bleus.
For each prediction on these Euro 2024 matches, don't forget to find out which players are unavailable. A major absence will always be decisive.
Take into account the European rivalry
Don't forget to take into account any rivalry between two teams.
In a France-Portugal, France-Italy or Germany-England match, for example, rivalries are fierce and decisive matches are rare.
So, if you detect a match between two historic rivals, beware: it's the same context as a derby in a league matchup.
Understanding head-to-head history in Europe
Finally, one last piece of advice: it's very important to take into account the history of head-to-head meetings between the two teams.
For example, if France start as favorites against the Netherlands, but the latter are unbeaten in 6 years and 9 encounters against Les Bleus (fictitious example), you'll probably have to reconsider your bet if you were counting on Didier Deschamps' men.
This reasoning should be applied to every match at UEFA Euro 2024, especially in the group phase. Remember that knockout matches are always tense.
If you work systematically on these five points, you should have a better chance of making reliable predictions for this 17th edition of the Euros.
Although other aspects are equally important, these pillars should be given priority when analyzing the match you want to bet on.
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Things to Avoid When Making Euro 2024 Predictions
In addition to following our advice and the best practices outlined in the paragraph above, please note that there are some attitudes you should avoid if you want to make a successful prediction on the European tournament.
Here are just a few of the things you shouldn't do when betting on Euro 2024:
- Only consider a team's prestige
- Ignore the stakes of the match
- Bet too much on your favorite team
- Place a bet after losing to "make up for it".
- Not paying attention to tactical schemes
- Betting too much live and losing your cool
- Favoring the favorites without analyzing the match
By avoiding these 7 bad habits, your Euro 2024 predictions will become more reliable, and you should have a better chance of performing well with the sportsbooks.
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UEFA Euros Team Stats for your Euro 2024 Predictions
Now that you know our predictions, the format of the competition and the best practices to adopt around this Euro 2024, let's finally talk about the statistical part of the competition.
To make the right Euro Soccer prediction, it's essential to know the tournament's key figures.
To help you make the right predictions during the competition, here are the Euro statistics you need to know before placing your bets.
These stats were collected during the most recent edition of the tournament, which was played in all four corners of Europe.
- Average goals in group stage: 2.61 goals per game
- Average goals from the Round of 16 onwards: 2.73 goals per game
- Average number of goals over the course of the tournament: 2.65 goals per match
- Matches with +1.5 goals in group phase: 72%.
- Matches with +1.5 goals from the Round of 16 onwards: 87%.
- Matches with +1.5 goals throughout the tournament: 76%.
- Matches with +2.5 goals in the group phase: 50%.
- Matches with +2.5 goals from the Round of 16 onwards: 40%.
- Matches with +2.5 goals over the duration of the tournament: 47%.
- Matches with +3.5 goals in the group phase: 28
- Matches with +3.5 goals from the Round of 16 onwards: 27%.
- Matches with +3.5 goals over the duration of the tournament: 27%.
- Matches where both teams scored in the group phase: 44
- Matches in which both teams scored from the Round of 16 onwards: 60%.
- One-goal matches for both teams over the duration of the tournament: 49%.
- Victories by one goal in the group stage: 33%.
- One-goal victories from the Round of 16 onwards: 20%.
- Victories by one goal over the course of the tournament: 29%
- Victories by 2 goals or more in the group phase: 42
- Victories by 2 goals or more from the Round of 16 onwards: 27
- Victories by 2 goals or more over the course of the tournament: 37%
- Most frequent score in group phase: 1-0 (22% of matches)
- Most frequent score from the Round of 16 onwards: 1-1 (33% of matches)
- Most frequent scores throughout the tournament: 1-0 and 1-1 (18% of matches each)
- Ratio of draws in group stage: 22%.
- Ratio of draws from the Round of 16 onwards: 47%.
- Ratio of draws over the duration of the tournament: 29%.
- Penalty Shoot-out ratio: 27% (matches from the Round of 16 onwards)
Please note that for these statistics, only the 90 minutes of regulation time and extra time have been taken into account. Goals scored in extra time have not been taken into account, as per the usual sportsbook rules.
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In a Nutshell: How to predict Euro 2024 matches?
In short, there's no secret to successful Euro 2024 predictions. Match analysis, statistical knowledge and the adoption of good betting practices will be the keys to your success with the sportsbooks.
Never bet without studying a match, and only bet what you can afford to lose. Remember that sports betting is a hobby and should never be a source of essential income for you. If you've got it right, good betting on Euro 2024!
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Our current Euro 2024 picks and predictions
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