Slovenia vs Italy Prediction & Picks - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Slovenia
9/7/25 11:30
Italy

Prediction:

 

Slovenia (+4.5) cover the spread

-110
$300 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Paul Tamayo in EuroBasket Picks

Italy takes on Slovenia for a EuroBasket 2025 Round of 16 matchup on Sunday, September 7, at the Arena Riga in Latvia. 

Italy finished the group phase with four wins in five games. On the other hand, Slovenia booked a ticket to the knockout stages with a 3-2 record.

Their last matchup was during the 2023 FIBA World Cup, when Slovenia held on to an 89-85 win over Italy. 

The Slovenians are also fresh off a 106-96 win over Israel. They led by 13 points at halftime, establishing a safe cushion the entire game. Slovenia's offense clicked, with the team shooting 54.4% from the field.

Luka Doncic showed out yet again, putting up 37 points on an efficient 57.1% shooting. The Los Angeles Lakers superstar also added 11 rebounds, 9 assists, and 3 steals to his tally.

Meanwhile, the Italians are coming off a convincing 89-54 win over Cyprus. They held Cyprus to only six points in the first quarter, setting the tone for the rest of the game.

Simone Fontecchio and Matteo Spagnolo topscored for Italy with 13 points apiece, while Danilo Gallinari and Mouhamet Diouf both contributed 12 markers.

Italy can capitalize on their roster depth, but how do they plan to contain Luka?

Up to $300 to bet on Slovenia - Italy! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel

Slovenia vs Italy Form

Slovenia and Italy Latest Matches

Slovenia
Slovenia Latest matches
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 4, 2025 - EuroBasket

Slovenia
106 :  96
Israel

Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket

Slovenia
87 :  79
Iceland

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Belgium
69 :  86
Slovenia

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Slovenia
95 :  103
France

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Poland
105 :  95
Slovenia

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Slovenia
72 :  106
Serbia
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Belgium
69 :  86
Slovenia

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Poland
105 :  95
Slovenia

Aug 19, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Great Britain
81 :  93
Slovenia

Aug 8, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Germany
103 :  89
Slovenia

Nov 25, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Portugal
82 :  83
Slovenia

Sep 1, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Australia
80 :  91
Slovenia
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 4, 2025 - EuroBasket

Slovenia
106 :  96
Israel

Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket

Slovenia
87 :  79
Iceland

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Slovenia
95 :  103
France

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Slovenia
72 :  106
Serbia

Aug 16, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Slovenia
88 :  100
Latvia

Aug 15, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Slovenia
72 :  94
Lithuania
Italy
Italy Latest matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 4, 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
54 :  89
Italy

Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
63 :  67
Italy

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
96 :  79
Bosnia & Herzegovina

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
62 :  78
Italy

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
66 :  75
Greece

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
74 :  76
Greece
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 4, 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
54 :  89
Italy

Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
63 :  67
Italy

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
62 :  78
Italy

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Argentina
72 :  84
Italy

Aug 9, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
75 :  91
Italy

Aug 2, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Iceland
61 :  87
Italy
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
96 :  79
Bosnia & Herzegovina

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
66 :  75
Greece

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
74 :  76
Greece

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
68 :  83
Latvia

Feb 20, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
80 :  67
Turkiye

Nov 22, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
95 :  71
Iceland

Slovenia against Italy : Head to Head (H2H)

Sep 9, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Slovenia
89 :  85
Italy

Slovenia - Italy Key Points

  1. Slovenia is coming off a 106-96 win over Israel.
  2. Italy is coming off an 89-54 win over Cyprus.
  3. Slovenia finished the group stages with a 3-2 record.
  4. Italy finished the group stages with a 4-1 record.
Up to $300 to bet on Slovenia - Italy! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel

Our Slovenia vs Italy Prediction

Italy finished the group phase with a 4-1 record, flexing their roster depth and chemistry. They still want star player Simone Fontecchio to be more consistent, especially against Slovenia.

Luka Doncic currently leads the tournament with 32.4 points, while also ranking second in assists (8.4). It will take a whole lot from the Italians to contain Luka, especially if the Slovenian supporting cast puts in a great game. Our prediction for the Italy vs Slovenia match is: Slovenia (+4.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Slovenia (+4.5) cover the spread

-110
$300 offered for betting!

Grab an extra $300 for your Slovenia vs Italy wager!

Bet $5, Get $300

Get ready to experience the thrill of the game with FanDuel's exciting welcome offer, available for use on the Slovenia vs Italy matchup!

A minimum bet of $5 will qualify for $300 in bonus bets if your bet wins! This offer is a golden opportunity for new users. Don't miss out on this limited-time deal to enhance your sports betting experience with some extra oomph! Jump into the action today and let FanDuel take your sports engagement to the next level!

$300 available for Slovenia vs Italy

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Slovenia vs Italy Picks
Up to $300 to bet on Slovenia - Italy! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel