Italy vs Slovakia Prediction & Picks - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

International - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Italy
2/13/26 06:10
Slovakia

Prediction:

 

Under 6.5 goals

-134
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 by Taavi Pailk | in Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament Picks

After shocking Finland with a victory in the opening game, Slovakia will take on the host nation, Italy, in the 2026 Olympic men’s ice hockey tournament on Friday at the Fiera Milano in Milan.

On Wednesday, Slovakia looked impressive from top to bottom, producing eye-popping offensive moments and playing solid defense. Goaltender Samuel Hlavaj deserves the most credit, as he finished the 4-1 victory with 39 saves and a .975 save percentage.

Offensively, Juraj Slafkovsky led the charge. The Montreal Canadiens forward had a hand in three goals, lighting the lamp twice and recording one assist. He could do even more damage against an Italian team that lost 5-2 to Sweden.

Italy has no NHL players on the roster at the Olympics, and all 25 players are debutants on this stage. The team lacks quality and experience, making a three-goal loss to a world-class Sweden team a respectable result.

The Italians were outshot 60-22 on Wednesday night, but Sweden managed to seal the victory with only a couple of late goals. Jukka Jalonen’s team will also hope to frustrate Slovakia as much as possible. The hosts’ greatest opportunity for a positive result lies in a tightly contested, low-scoring game.

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Italy vs Slovakia Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L GD
1 Slovakia
6 3 2 1 +2
4 Italy
0 3 0 3 -15

Italy and Slovakia Latest Matches

Italy
Italy Latest matches
L L
Victories

0/2 (0%)

Defeats

2/2 (100%)

Feb 11, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Sweden
5 :  2
Italy

Feb 4, 2026 - International Friendly Games

Italy
3 :  4
Germany
L
Victories

0/1 (0%)

Defeats

1/1 (100%)

Feb 4, 2026 - International Friendly Games

Italy
3 :  4
Germany
L
Victories

0/1 (0%)

Defeats

1/1 (100%)

Feb 11, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Sweden
5 :  2
Italy
Slovakia
Slovakia Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Feb 11, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Slovakia
4 :  1
Finland

Nov 9, 2025 - Germany Cup

Germany
3 :  0
Slovakia

Nov 8, 2025 - Germany Cup

Slovakia
4 :  1
Latvia

Nov 6, 2025 - Germany Cup

Austria
2 :  6
Slovakia

May 17, 2025 - IIHF World Championship

Canada
7 :  0
Slovakia

Sep 1, 2024 - Olympic Qualification, Group D

Slovakia
3 :  1
Kazakhstan
W W W W
Victories

4/4 (100%)

Defeats

0/4 (0%)

Feb 11, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Slovakia
4 :  1
Finland

Nov 8, 2025 - Germany Cup

Slovakia
4 :  1
Latvia

Sep 1, 2024 - Olympic Qualification, Group D

Slovakia
3 :  1
Kazakhstan

Aug 29, 2024 - Olympic Qualification, Group D

Slovakia
2 :  1
Austria
W L W L
Victories

2/4 (50%)

Defeats

2/4 (50%)

Nov 9, 2025 - Germany Cup

Germany
3 :  0
Slovakia

Nov 6, 2025 - Germany Cup

Austria
2 :  6
Slovakia

May 17, 2025 - IIHF World Championship

Canada
7 :  0
Slovakia

Aug 30, 2024 - Olympic Qualification, Group D

Hungary
3 :  7
Slovakia
Italy vs Slovakia Picks

Players list

Italy
Italy

D. Fadani

D. Clara

G. Di Tomaso

J. Seed

P. Pietroniro

D. Di Perna

A. Trivellato

T. Larkin

L. Zanatta

D. Glira

M. Bradley

T. Purdeller

T. De Luca

M. Zanetti

D. Mantenuto

M. Frycklund

D. Kostner

G. Morini

L. Frigo

N. Saracino

D. Gazley

C. DiGiacinto

Slovakia
Slovakia

S. Hlavaj

S. Skorvanek

S. Nemec

M. Gernat

P. Ceresnak

M. Marincin

E. Cernak

M. Fehervary

P. Koch

P. Regenda

S. Takac

M. Pospisil

A. Liska

O. Okuliar

M. Kelemen

D. Dvorsky

J. Slafkovsky

M. Sukel

L. Cingel

L. Hudacek

A. Ruzicka

T. Tatar

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Italy
CD Huachipato Slovakia
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Bradley (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Slovakia J. Slafkovsky (4 Goals)
Best assists
Italy T. Larkin (2 Assists)
Italy D. Gazley (2 Assists)
Italy P. Pietroniro (2 Assists)
Best assists
Slovakia J. Slafkovsky (4 Assists)
Slovakia M. Fehervary (4 Assists)

Italy - Slovakia Key Points

  1. Slovakia has won 14 of 18 head-to-head meetings against Italy.
  2. The teams allowed a combined 100 shots on goal in their first games.
  3. Italy has lost 12 of its last 14 Olympic outings.
  4. Slovakia’s seven NHLers have combined for 116 points (51 goals, 68 assists) this season.
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Our Italy vs Slovakia Prediction

Slovakia rocked Finland with a 4-1 victory, but three of the goals came in the third period. Even with a wide disparity in talent, Italy’s goaltenders made scoring tough for Sweden, combining for an impressive .932 save percentage, so goals may be hard to come by for Slovakia as well.

There’s no NHL quality on the Italian roster, but Jalonen has been a hugely successful coach. He led Finland to Olympic gold in 2022 and three World Championship titles. The 63-year-old clearly knows how to get the best out of his team and has plenty of know-how to make Friday’s matchup an unpleasant experience for the Slovaks.

Our prediction for Italy vs. Slovakia: Under 6.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 6.5 goals

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.