Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open

Prediction published on 9/7/25, 11:18 AM  by Lou Aguila in ATP US Open Picks

Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz will meet in a Grand Slam final for the third straight time this year. Sinner, the world’s No.1 and the defending US Open champion, is a -130 favorite to beat his archrival and world’s No.2, Alcaraz.

Current Form:

Sinner booked his place in the final of the US Open championship with a pedestrian 6-1 3-6 6-3 6-4 win over Felix Auger-Aliassime in the semifinals. The Italian dropped only two sets on his way to the final, losing the other set to ATP veteran Denis Shapovalov in a 5-7 6-4 6-3 6-3 victory. Sinner is 18-1 on hard court matches and has been undefeated in his last 27 Grand Slam hard-court matches.

Alcaraz demolished the former world’s No.1 and 24-time Grand Slam winner, Novak Djokovic, in their semifinal pairing 6-4 7-6(4) 6-2. The Spaniard figured out how to beat Djokovic on the hard court after losing to the Serb in their last two hard-court duels. Alcaraz will enter Sunday’s titanic clash with Sinner trying to extend an 8-match streak without dropping a set.

I’ll go with Carlos Alcaraz in this one. The Spaniard has stamped his class throughout the competition, showing a little bit of everything to outmatch, outclass, and outpoint every opponent that stands in his way. Alcaraz sports a formidable 22-4 record on the hard court this year and boasts an 80 percent win rate on the surface in his career.