ATP - ATP French Open
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by Lou Aguila in ATP French Open Picks
In a fitting finale to a remarkable 2025 edition of the Roland Garros, world’s No.1 Jannik Sinner will challenge the defending champion and world’s No.2 Carlos Alcaraz for the title at the 2025 French Open on Sunday at Court Philippe-Chatrier.
Sinner sealed his first French Open final appearance after sweeping Novak Djokovic in three sets 6-4, 7-5, 7-6(3), reaching the championship match without dropping a single set in the men’s tournament. Djokovic came into the semifinal match riding a 9-match winning streak and hot off a four-set masterstroke against the world’s No.3 Alexander Zverev. However, Sinner showed to Djokovic that he's on a level higher than all opponents he had previously faced in this tournament. Despite landing only 51 percent of his first serves, the Italian managed to score 45 points off his first serves and add 34 more off his second. He also broke Djokovic 3 times on 41 return points.
Meanwhile, Alcaraz advanced to his second straight French Open final after rallying from behind to beat Lorenzo Musetti of Italy 4-6 7-6(3) 6-0 2-0 ret. The Spaniard bounced back from an error-riddled first set by upping the ante in the succeeding sets, edging first Musetti in a hotly contested second set before breaking the Italian’s spirit with a flawless performance from the third to the first two games of the fourth set.
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Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Form
Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Jun 6, 2025 - ATP French Open
Jun 4, 2025 - ATP French Open
Jun 2, 2025 - ATP French Open
May 31, 2025 - ATP French Open
May 29, 2025 - ATP French Open
May 26, 2025 - ATP French Open
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Jun 6, 2025 - ATP French Open
Jun 3, 2025 - ATP French Open
Jun 1, 2025 - ATP French Open
May 30, 2025 - ATP French Open
May 28, 2025 - ATP French Open
May 26, 2025 - ATP French Open
Jannik Sinner against Carlos Alcaraz : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
May 18, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
Oct 19, 2024 - Six King Slam
Oct 2, 2024 - ATP Beijing Open
Jun 7, 2024 - ATP French Open
Mar 16, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells
Oct 3, 2023 - ATP Beijing Open
Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz: Form Analysis
Jannik Sinner punched his ticket to the final of the French Open by beating all his previous six opponents in straight sets. Sinner opened his campaign with a 6-4 6-3 7-5 win over Arthur Rinderknech, and then retired Richard Gasque 6-3 6-0 6-4. He then proceeded to sweep Jiri Lehecka 6-0 6-1 6-2, Andrey Rublev 6-1 6-3 6-4, Alexander Bublik 6-1 7-5 6-0, and Djokovic 6-4 7-5 7-6(3).
Unlike Sinner, Carlos Alcaraz has had a bumpy road to the finals. He has conceded as many as four sets in the tournament, yet here he is, on the cusp of becoming the first back-to-back French Open champion since the great Rafael Nadal.
Alcaraz blasted Giulio Zeppieri 6-3 6-4 6-2 before scoring four-set victories over Fabian Marozsan, Damir Dzumhur and Ben Shelton. He then posted a dominant 6-0 6-1 6-4 win over Tommy Paul and grinded out another four-setter against Musetti.
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Jannik Sinner & Carlos Alcaraz Squad Analysis
Neither player has shown or reported injuries during the competition, so we will be expecting these competitors to play at their fullest abilities on Sunday. Sinner has played a total of 12 hours and 51 minutes in this tournament, with his most recent match lasting for 3 hours and 16 minutes.
Carlos Alcaraz has spent on the court almost two hours longer than Sinner because of the handful of four-set matches he played in this competition.
Alcaraz played a total of 14 hours and 37 minutes and played 2 hours and 25 minutes in his semifinal match vs. Lorenzo Musetti. Despite playing so many hours on the court, both players are expected to enter the court with fresher legs, thanks to a one-day break.
Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Jannik Sinner defeated Novak Djokovic 6-4 7-5 7-6(3) in the semifinal of the 2025 French Open.
- Jannik Sinner has yet to lose a set at the 2025 French Open
- Carlos Alcaraz defeated Lorenzo Musetti 4-6 7-6(3) 6-0 2-0 ret in the semifinal of the 2025 French Open.
- Carlos Alcaraz is 8-4 head-to-head with Jannik Sinner.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Why you should bet on Carlos Alcaraz to win (Win $100 on a $100 Bet): Bookmakers are projecting a tight French Open final between Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner, with both participants valued at -110 on moneyline bets. Alcaraz has beaten 8 out of 12 encounters so far, including the last four meetings. The Spaniard also trounced Sinner 7-6(5) 6-1 in the final of the 2025 Italian Open, claiming his second clay-court win in their rivalry. While Sinner is coming into the championship match virtually unscathed, many tennis analysts agreed that there’s only one man on the ATP Tour who can break into Sinner’s mantle of invincibility, and that man is none other than Alcaraz, who always elevates his level of play whenever he matches up with Sinner.
Our betting prediction for Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Carlos Alcaraz will win
Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz - Other Interesting Picks
Carlos Alcaraz -1.5 Games
Why you should bet on Carlos Alcaraz -1.5 games (Win $100 on a $100 Bet): This is going to be a marathon match like what happened last year in the semifinal in which Alcaraz outlasted Sinner in five sets 2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3. Sinner has been undefeated in Grand Slam matches since the US Open, yet he never faced Alcaraz in his title-clinching runs at Flushing Meadows and Melbourne. Sinner may be the No.1 player in the world, but Alcaraz is still widely recognized as the face of the post-Big 3 tennis era. Until Sinners finds a way to beat Alcaraz in the big stage, the Spaniard will remain the bigger star than him. Alcaraz’s 21-1 record on clay this year is a validation of his dominance on the surface, constantly proving himself as the heir apparent to the King of Clay.
Our betting prediction for Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner: Carlos Alcaraz -1.5 Games
Over 41.5 Games.
Why you should bet on the OVER 41.5 Games (Win $100 on a $100 Bet): We have the two best players on the world locking horns for the coveted French Open title. Last year, the semifinal match between these tennis gladiators produced a five-set thriller that went Alcaraz's way. I am expecting another epic duel again this year with Sinner aiming to win his first clay-court Grand Slam, while Alcaraz out to prove that he’s the new King of the red dirt.
Our betting prediction for Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Over 41.5 Games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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