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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
After busting Seattle’s 10-game win streak on Wednesday, the Kansas City Royals will try to clinch the series in Thursday’s Game 3 at Kaufmann Stadium.
The Royals are home underdogs at +105 ($105 profit per a $100 bet) to -125 favorites Mariners ($100 profit per $125 bet), who will start right-handed pitcher Luis Castillo.
Current Form:
The Royals snapped the Mariners’ 10-match win streak after gutting out a 7-5 win on Wednesday. Catcher Salvador Perez gave Seattle an early 3-0 lead with a three-run blast in the first inning. The Mariners fought back and took the lead after JP Crawford belted a one-run blast at the top of the 8th inning. The Royals refused to go down without a fight. Ignited by Adam Frazier’s two-run homer, the Royals scored four runs in the 8th inning to retake the lead at 7-4. Kansas City closer Carlos Estevez forced Dominic Canzone into a double play to earn the final outs of the game, preserving the win for the Royals. The win pushed the Royals back to .500 with a 76-76 record.
The Mariners (83-69) will try to regain their winning form after failing to extend their winning streak beyond 10 games. The loss opened the door for the Astros (84-69) to retake the AL West leadership after sweeping the Texas Rangers this week.
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Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
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9
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0.546 | 152 | 83 | 69 |
16
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0.5 | 152 | 76 | 76 |
Seattle Mariners and Kansas City Royals Latest Matches

5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 4, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
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Seattle Mariners against Kansas City Royals : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
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Seattle Mariners - Kansas City Royals Key Points
- Seattle is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games.
- Seattle is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games against Kansas City.
- Kansas City is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games.
- Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against an opponent in the American League.
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Our Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals Prediction
Over 9 Runs appears to be a hot pick ahead of the series finale after the two teams battled in high-scoring contests in the last two days. Seattle averaged 7.5 runs per game in their last five games, while Kansas City averaged 6.1 runs per game in their past five assignments.
Both Mariners’ starters, Luis Castillo, and Royals starter Stephen Kolek are fresh off strong starts, but let’s not forget that these teams have combined for an average of 11.3 runs per game in their last three meetings. Moreover, the Royals carry an atrocious 7.53 ERA in their last five games, while the Mariners' bullpen holds a 4.80 ERA over the last five games.
Our betting prediction for the Seattle Mariners vs. the Kansas City Royals: Total Over 9 Runs.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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