Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Boston Red Sox
8/31/26 18:45
Seattle Mariners

Prediction:

 

Under 8.0 Runs

−115
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 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

The Boston Red Sox and the Seattle Mariners will kick off their series on Monday at Fenway Park.

The total has gone UNDER in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams, making Under 8.0 runs an enticing option for bettors looking for a safe pick.

Current Form:

The Seattle Mariners have lost their last four games, including three straight losses to the Toronto Blue Jays. Over the last five games, the Mariners have averaged 1.6 runs per game and pitched to a 5.57 ERA.

The Boston Red Sox have also gone 1-4 in their last five games. At 74-63, the Red Sox sit in third place in the AL East, trailing the 78-59 New York Yankees by 4.5 games and the 82-54 Tampa Bay Rays by 8.5 games. Boston has struggled mightily on both sides of the ball lately, posting a 6.15 ERA and averaging 1.8 runs per game over their last five games.

Starting Pitchers: Red Sox LHP Payton Tolle (8-6. 3.09 ERA) vs. Mariners RHP George Kirby (9-10, 4.02 ERA)

The Matchup: Boston is 4-2 against Seattle in their last 6 meetings. The total has gone UNDER in 3 of their last 4 games.

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Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
9 Boston Red Sox
0.537 162 87 75
22 Seattle Mariners
0.469 162 76 86

Boston Red Sox and Seattle Mariners Latest Matches

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox Latest matches
W L L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 30, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
16 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Aug 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Aug 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
0 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Aug 28, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  0
Boston Red Sox

Aug 26, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  0
Boston Red Sox

Aug 25, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  7
Boston Red Sox
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 23, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  4
San Francisco Giants

Aug 22, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  2
San Francisco Giants

Aug 21, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  4
San Francisco Giants

Aug 19, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  7
Arizona Diamondbacks

Aug 18, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
9 :  4
Arizona Diamondbacks

Aug 17, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
11 :  1
Arizona Diamondbacks
W L L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 30, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
16 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Aug 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Aug 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
0 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Aug 28, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  0
Boston Red Sox

Aug 26, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  0
Boston Red Sox

Aug 25, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  7
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners Latest matches
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 30, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
7 :  0
Seattle Mariners

Aug 29, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
4 :  3
Seattle Mariners

Aug 28, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
8 :  1
Seattle Mariners

Aug 26, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
0 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 25, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
4 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 24, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
9 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 26, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
0 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 25, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
4 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 24, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
9 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 23, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
2 :  19
Chicago Cubs

Aug 22, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
5 :  4
Chicago Cubs

Aug 21, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
6 :  5
Chicago Cubs
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 30, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
7 :  0
Seattle Mariners

Aug 29, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
4 :  3
Seattle Mariners

Aug 28, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
8 :  1
Seattle Mariners

Aug 20, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
7 :  4
Seattle Mariners

Aug 19, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
5 :  7
Seattle Mariners

Aug 18, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
22 :  0
Seattle Mariners

Boston Red Sox against Seattle Mariners : Head to Head (H2H)

Boston Red Sox

67 %

Seattle Mariners

33 %

Jun 21, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
3 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Jun 20, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
1 :  5
Boston Red Sox

Jun 19, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
2 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Jun 18, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
1 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Jun 17, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
8 :  0
Boston Red Sox

Jun 16, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
0 :  2
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Picks

Boston Red Sox - Seattle Mariners Key Points

  1. Under is 5-0 in Tolle’s last 5 starts as an underdog.
  2. Under is 5-1-1 in the Red Sox’s last 7 vs. teams with winning records.
  3. The Mariners average 1.6 runs per game over their last five games.
  4. The Red Sox average 1.8 runs per game over their last five games.
Up to $250 to bet on Boston Red Sox - Seattle Mariners! 

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Our Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

Key Stats: The Red Sox and the Mariners have averaged 2.4 combined runs per game over their last five games.

George Kirby has not allowed more than two runs in any of his last three starts against the Red Sox.

Peyton Tolle allowed three runs over six innings in his first start against the Mariners on June 21, 2026. Tolle has also posted a 2.37 ERA over his last five starts.

What to Expect: Count on Tolle and Kirby to deliver quality starts, taming two struggling offenses in this series opener. Again, the total has gone UNDER in 3 of their last 4 meetings, and it looks like Game 1 is heading to another low-scoring ballgame.

Fearless Forecast: Red Sox 3, Mariners 1

Our betting prediction for the Seattle Mariners vs. the Boston Red Sox: Under 8.0 runs

Prediction:

 

Under 8.0 Runs

−115
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.