Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
8/28/26 19:10
San Diego Padres

Prediction:

 

Under 7.5 Runs

−120
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 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

The Tampa Bay Rays and the San Diego Padres clash in a series between teams that have posted sub-2.00 ERAs over their last five games.

Under 7.5 is drawing immense interest in the market at -120.

Current Form:

The Tampa Bay Rays came away with the series after shutting out the Detroit Tigers, 3-0, in Game 3. The Rays are still the No.1 team in the AL East with a 79-54 record. Over the last five games, Tampa Bay has registered a 1.43 ERA and averaged 2.5 runs per game.

Meanwhile, the San Diego Padres avoided a sweep at the hands of the Pittsburgh Pirates after posting a 3-0 win in Game 3. San Diego has averaged 4.0 runs per game and pitched to an outstanding 1.69 ERA over their last five assignments. The 72-62 Padres sit in second place in the NL West, trailing the 80-54 LA Dodgers by 8 games.

Starting Pitchers: Rays LHP Shane McClanahan (9-6, 3.10 ERA) vs. Padres RHP Casey Mize (5-7, 3.44 ERA).

The Matchup: The total has gone UNDER in the last three meetings between the Rays and Padres

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Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
3 Tampa Bay Rays
0.605 162 98 64
6 San Diego Padres
0.562 162 91 71

Tampa Bay Rays and San Diego Padres Latest Matches

Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays Latest matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 26, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
0 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Aug 25, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
4 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Aug 24, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
1 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Aug 23, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
1 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Aug 22, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Aug 21, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 20, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  5
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 19, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
7 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 18, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  10
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 17, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
7 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 16, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  10
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 15, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  4
Baltimore Orioles
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 26, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
0 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Aug 25, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
4 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Aug 24, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
1 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Aug 23, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
1 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Aug 22, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Aug 21, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 26, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 25, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 24, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 23, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
8 :  1
Minnesota Twins

Aug 22, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  5
Minnesota Twins

Aug 21, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
6 :  2
Minnesota Twins
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 26, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 25, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 24, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 23, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
8 :  1
Minnesota Twins

Aug 22, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  5
Minnesota Twins

Aug 21, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
6 :  2
Minnesota Twins
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 19, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  2
San Diego Padres

Aug 18, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  5
San Diego Padres

Aug 17, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  1
San Diego Padres

Aug 16, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
0 :  5
San Diego Padres

Aug 15, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  1
San Diego Padres

Aug 14, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
5 :  7
San Diego Padres

Tampa Bay Rays against San Diego Padres : Head to Head (H2H)

Tampa Bay Rays

67 %

San Diego Padres

33 %

Apr 27, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 25, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 1, 2024 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  4
San Diego Padres
Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres Picks

Tampa Bay Rays - San Diego Padres Key Points

  1. Under is 5-0 in the Padres’ last 5 road games.
  2. Under is 5-0 in the Rays’ last 5 overall.
  3. Under is 6-0-1 in the Rays’ last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
  4. Under is 5-0 in the Rays’ last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Up to $250 to bet on Tampa Bay Rays - San Diego Padres! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Our Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres Prediction

Key Stats: The Padres have posted a 1.69 ERA over their last five games. The Rays have registered a 1.43 ERA over their last five assignments.

Rays’ Shane McClanahan recorded a shutout in his last start against the Baltimore Orioles on August 22. Padres’ Casey Mize has not surrendered more than 3 runs in any of his last three starts against the Rays.

What to Expect: The pitchers set the tone in this match. McClanahan and Mize post terrific games, containing each other’s offense through the first seven innings.

The Rays will eventually come away with a close win behind clutch hitting down the stretch.

Fearless Forecast: Rays 3, Padres 1

Our betting prediction for the San Diego Padres vs. the Tampa Bay Rays: Under 7.5 Runs

Prediction:

 

Under 7.5 Runs

−120
$250 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.