Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The Tampa Bay Rays and the San Diego Padres clash in a series between teams that have posted sub-2.00 ERAs over their last five games.
Under 7.5 is drawing immense interest in the market at -120.
Current Form:
The Tampa Bay Rays came away with the series after shutting out the Detroit Tigers, 3-0, in Game 3. The Rays are still the No.1 team in the AL East with a 79-54 record. Over the last five games, Tampa Bay has registered a 1.43 ERA and averaged 2.5 runs per game.
Meanwhile, the San Diego Padres avoided a sweep at the hands of the Pittsburgh Pirates after posting a 3-0 win in Game 3. San Diego has averaged 4.0 runs per game and pitched to an outstanding 1.69 ERA over their last five assignments. The 72-62 Padres sit in second place in the NL West, trailing the 80-54 LA Dodgers by 8 games.
Starting Pitchers: Rays LHP Shane McClanahan (9-6, 3.10 ERA) vs. Padres RHP Casey Mize (5-7, 3.44 ERA).
The Matchup: The total has gone UNDER in the last three meetings between the Rays and Padres
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Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
0.605 | 162 | 98 | 64 |
|
6
|
0.562 | 162 | 91 | 71 |
Tampa Bay Rays and San Diego Padres Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 26, 2026 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 26, 2026 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 26, 2026 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 26, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 19, 2026 - MLB
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Tampa Bay Rays against San Diego Padres : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Apr 27, 2025 - MLB
Apr 25, 2025 - MLB
Sep 1, 2024 - MLB
Tampa Bay Rays - San Diego Padres Key Points
- Under is 5-0 in the Padres’ last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in the Rays’ last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-0-1 in the Rays’ last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in the Rays’ last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
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Our Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres Prediction
Key Stats: The Padres have posted a 1.69 ERA over their last five games. The Rays have registered a 1.43 ERA over their last five assignments.
Rays’ Shane McClanahan recorded a shutout in his last start against the Baltimore Orioles on August 22. Padres’ Casey Mize has not surrendered more than 3 runs in any of his last three starts against the Rays.
What to Expect: The pitchers set the tone in this match. McClanahan and Mize post terrific games, containing each other’s offense through the first seven innings.
The Rays will eventually come away with a close win behind clutch hitting down the stretch.
Fearless Forecast: Rays 3, Padres 1
Our betting prediction for the San Diego Padres vs. the Tampa Bay Rays: Under 7.5 Runs
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