Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4/7/26 18:40
San Diego Padres

Prediction:

 

Under 6.5

-110
$350 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Bill Christy | in MLB Picks

Pittsburgh (6-4) had its 5-game winning streak snapped on Monday when they were defeated by the San Diego Padres (5-5). Bubba Chanlder of the Pirates was tagged for 3 runs on 5 hits and 4 walks. On the contrary, German Marquez pitched well for the Padres and picked up the win after going 5 scoreless innings and scattering 6 hits. The teams meet again today for the 2nd game of the series.

This is the 2nd series of the East Coast trip for San Diego. They took 2 out of 3 games while in Boston over the weekend and are now primed to win this series as well. While they are in a good spot after winning the first game, they will have their hands full tonight. Nick Pivetta will be throwing for the Padres in this one. After getting lit up by the Tigers in his 1st start, he settled in against the Giants in his last outing. He is coming off the best season of his career, where he finished with a 13-5 record and an ERA of just 2.87. He is going to need to have his best stuff tonight against the Pirates, who will have their ace on the hill.

Paul Skenes is back for his 3rd start of the season. He was uncharacteristically run off before completing his 1st inning in the season opener, where he allowed 5 runs on 4 hits and 2 walks. However, he looked a bit more like himself against the Reds earlier this month. He picked up the win after striking out 5 through 5 innings and allowing just 1 run.

Both lineups are going to have to treat every inning like it’s the 9th and find ways to manufacture runs against these two strong starting pitchers.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
8 San Diego Padres
0.531 81 43 38
16 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.494 83 41 42

Pittsburgh Pirates and San Diego Padres Latest Matches

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 6, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  5
San Diego Padres

Apr 5, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 4, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 3, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 1, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  8
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 31, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  8
Pittsburgh Pirates
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 6, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  5
San Diego Padres

Apr 5, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 4, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 3, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Mar 23, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  6
Boston Red Sox
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 1, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  8
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 31, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  8
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 30, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 28, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 26, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
11 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 6, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  5
San Diego Padres

Apr 5, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  8
San Diego Padres

Apr 4, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  3
San Diego Padres

Apr 3, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  2
San Diego Padres

Apr 1, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  1
San Francisco Giants

Mar 31, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  9
San Francisco Giants
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 1, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  1
San Francisco Giants

Mar 31, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  9
San Francisco Giants

Mar 30, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  3
San Francisco Giants

Mar 28, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  0
Detroit Tigers

Mar 27, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  5
Detroit Tigers

Mar 26, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  8
Detroit Tigers
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 6, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  5
San Diego Padres

Apr 5, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  8
San Diego Padres

Apr 4, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  3
San Diego Padres

Apr 3, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  2
San Diego Padres

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Milwaukee Brewers
6 :  1
San Diego Padres

Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Los Angeles Dodgers
4 :  3
San Diego Padres

Pittsburgh Pirates against San Diego Padres : Head to Head (H2H)

Pittsburgh Pirates

17 %

San Diego Padres

83 %

Apr 6, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  5
San Diego Padres

Jun 1, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
6 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 31, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 30, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 4, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  4
San Diego Padres

May 3, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  2
San Diego Padres

Pittsburgh Pirates - San Diego Padres Key Points

  1. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego’s last 7 games against an opponent in the National League.
  2. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Diego’s last 8 games on the road.
  3. The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego’s last 11 games when playing as the underdog.
  4. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 6 games against San Diego.

Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Prediction

Paul Skenes was able to hold the Reds to just 3 hits and 1 run in his last start without his best stuff. He is likely going to feel much more comfortable now in his 3rd start of the season and should be back to his near dominate form, especially against a Padres lineup that is hitting just .218 combined. Pivetta should also be able to keep this Pirates lineup in check for the Padres. The Pirates have scored an average of 4 runs over their last 4 games, which should bode well for the under here.

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres: Under 6.5

Prediction:

 

Under 6.5

-110
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Picks