New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Mets
9/18/25 13:10
San Diego Padres

Prediction:

 

San Diego Padres win the match

+110
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 by Carlos Zabala | in MLB Picks

At Citi Field in Queens, more than 40,000 people gathered to witness the continuation of an epic series between the Mets and Padres, with the New Yorkers needing wins more than ever, but ultimately losing 4-7 to San Diego. Fortunately for Carlos Mendoza's team, the D-backs also lost on Wednesday, so the Mets maintain their 1.5-point lead over Arizona for the final wild card.

Wednesday's game was a spectacle, with the stars on both sides in excellent form, but the Padres' hitting proved to be more clutch. In the fifth inning, with the score tied 2-2, Manny Machado hit a grand slam, scoring Arraez, Tatis, and Cronenworth. It ended up being the game that clinched the game.

Even so, the Mets' bats fought back, with a 3-2 count, and Pivetta missed a breaking pitch against Soto, who ended up homering off him, hitting his 42nd of the season. Earlier, Pete Alonso hit a solo home run early in the game, Marte hit his ninth home run of the year, and Francisco Álvarez connected on another that had to be reviewed by cameras.

Ultimately, it's the Mets' starting pitching that's the main cause of the New Yorkers' disastrous streak they can't shake off. Left-hander Peterson didn't have a standout performance on the mound; he allowed six ERs. The rest of the Mets bullpen pitched four innings of just one ER.

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
7 San Diego Padres
0.556 162 90 72
14 New York Mets
0.512 162 83 79

New York Mets and San Diego Padres Latest Matches

New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  7
San Diego Padres

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
San Diego Padres

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
5 :  2
Texas Rangers

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  3
Texas Rangers

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  8
Texas Rangers

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  4
New York Mets
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  7
San Diego Padres

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
San Diego Padres

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
5 :  2
Texas Rangers

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  3
Texas Rangers

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  8
Texas Rangers

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  5
Miami Marlins
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  4
New York Mets

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
11 :  3
New York Mets

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  3
New York Mets

Sep 8, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  0
New York Mets

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  2
New York Mets

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
6 :  3
New York Mets
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  7
San Diego Padres

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
San Diego Padres

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
9 :  6
Colorado Rockies

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
11 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  4
Colorado Rockies

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  0
Colorado Rockies
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
9 :  6
Colorado Rockies

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
11 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  4
Colorado Rockies

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  0
Colorado Rockies

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  4
Cincinnati Reds
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  7
San Diego Padres

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
San Diego Padres

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
1 :  8
San Diego Padres

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
8 :  10
San Diego Padres

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  0
San Diego Padres

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
7 :  2
San Diego Padres

New York Mets against San Diego Padres : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Mets

33 %

San Diego Padres

67 %

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  7
San Diego Padres

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
San Diego Padres

Jul 30, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  0
New York Mets

Jul 29, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  1
New York Mets

Jul 28, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  6
New York Mets

Aug 22, 2024 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  8
New York Mets

New York Mets - San Diego Padres Key Points

  1. Padres had 12 hits in Wednesday's win
  2. Mets, fifth in MLB with most stolen bases this season
  3. The Mets have lost eight of their last 10 games
  4. The Mets' record as favorites is 39-26. The betting odds are they'll be playing at Citi Field in 2025.

Our New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction

Thursday's series-ending game, before the Mets head to DC to face the Nats, features Jonah Tong facing the Padres' dangerous lineup.

Jonah Tong is a 22-year-old rookie who made waves in his debut, pitching five innings of one-run ball with six strikeouts against the Marlins on August 29.

However, Tong's last two outings, especially the last one, were not . On September 12, he started the game against the Rangers, and recording only two outs, walking three times, and allowing six ERs, left the Mets with no chance of winning that game from the start.

Our prediction for Mets vs Padres is: Padres ML.

Prediction:

 

San Diego Padres win the match

+110
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New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Picks