New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Mets
9/17/25 19:10
San Diego Padres

Prediction:

 

Under 7.5

-104
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 by Carlos Zabala | in MLB Picks

More than 40,000 people turned out to watch the Padres-Mets game on Tuesday, a game New York won 8-3. On Wednesday, betting odds are on NYM-SD as the closest game, with San Diego's Pivetta, with a 13-5 record, facing Mets left-hander David Peterson, with a 9-5 record.

At midseason, when the Mets were leading their division, it was unimaginable that the Mets would be barely holding on to the last NL wild card spot today, being chased in the standings by the D-backs, who are just 1.5 games behind. Fortunately for Carlos Mendoza's team, the Mets have six games remaining, three of which will be against the Nats and the last three against the Marlins to close out the season, teams with a losing record.

September saw the worst stretch for the 2025 Mets, who lost eight in a row against the Reds, Phillies, and Rangers, primarily due to a starting pitching staff that lost the shine it had at the start of the season. However, the Mets reacted in time, thanks in part to Pete Alonso. He hit one home run to leave the Rangers on the field in the final game of the series. He also hit one of the four home runs the Mets hit in the first game of the series against the Padres.

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
7 San Diego Padres
0.556 162 90 72
14 New York Mets
0.512 162 83 79

New York Mets and San Diego Padres Latest Matches

New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
San Diego Padres

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
5 :  2
Texas Rangers

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  3
Texas Rangers

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  8
Texas Rangers

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  4
New York Mets

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
11 :  3
New York Mets
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
San Diego Padres

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
5 :  2
Texas Rangers

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  3
Texas Rangers

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  8
Texas Rangers

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  5
Miami Marlins

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  11
Miami Marlins
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  4
New York Mets

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
11 :  3
New York Mets

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  3
New York Mets

Sep 8, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  0
New York Mets

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  2
New York Mets

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
6 :  3
New York Mets
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres Latest matches
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
San Diego Padres

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
9 :  6
Colorado Rockies

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
11 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  4
Colorado Rockies

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  0
Colorado Rockies

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  2
Cincinnati Reds
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
9 :  6
Colorado Rockies

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
11 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  4
Colorado Rockies

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  0
Colorado Rockies

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  4
Cincinnati Reds
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
San Diego Padres

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
1 :  8
San Diego Padres

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
8 :  10
San Diego Padres

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  0
San Diego Padres

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
7 :  2
San Diego Padres

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  12
San Diego Padres

New York Mets against San Diego Padres : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Mets

50 %

San Diego Padres

50 %

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
San Diego Padres

Jul 30, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  0
New York Mets

Jul 29, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  1
New York Mets

Jul 28, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  6
New York Mets

Aug 22, 2024 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  8
New York Mets

Jun 15, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
5 :  1
San Diego Padres

New York Mets - San Diego Padres Key Points

  1. Mets: 7th most home runs in MLB and 7th best OPS in MLB
  2. The Mets are fifth in MLB with the most stolen bases this season
  3. Padres' Pitching: sixth-best K/9 ratio in MLB
  4. Padres' Pitching: best BAA in the MLB at .225

Our New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction

As for the Padres, they remain two games behind the Dodgers for the West lead, given the Dodgers' loss to the Phillies on Tuesday. On Tuesday, the Padres trailed the entire game due to an uncharacteristically disastrous outing from pitcher Michael King, who recorded only nine outs; the Mets allowed him 10 hits and eight earned runs.

Luckily for the Padres, Pivetta will pitch on Wednesday. He has had solid numbers this season, posting a 13-5 record in 171.1 innings pitched, with a low ERA and WHIP of 2.73 and 0.95, and averaging more than one strikeout per inning. Pivetta pitched a gem in his last start against the Reds, but received no offensive support.

Our prediction for Padres vs Mets is: Under 7.5 runs

Prediction:

 

Under 7.5

-104
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Picks