Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Minnesota Twins
8/29/25 20:10
San Diego Padres

Prediction:

 

San Diego -1.5

+134
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 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

The Minnesota Twins will host the San Diego Padres in a three-game series at Target Field in Minneapolis this weekend. Game One is scheduled for tonight at 8:10 p.m. EST.

San Diego will look to turn things around after losing three of their last four, including two in Seattle. At 75-59, they are in comfortable control of one of three NL wildcard slots, but there is a lot of baseball left to be played. As for the Twins, this is their first game at home after a 2-4 road trip. Nestor Cortes is scheduled to start for the Padres. Cortes has a 2-2 record in six starts with a 4.66 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, and .224 OBA. However, he has struggled on the road, where he is 0-1 in three starts with an 8.74 ERA and .326 OBA. But since being acquired by San Diego, he is 1-1 in four starts with a 3.0 ERA. He one-hit the Dodgers his last time out (Aug. 23). As for the Twins, Zebby Mathews is scheduled to start. He has gone 3-4 this season in 11 starts with a 5.30 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, and .288 OBA. But he has been better at home, where he is 1-1 with a 4.42 ERA and .270 OBA.

Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
7 San Diego Padres
0.556 162 90 72
27 Minnesota Twins
0.432 162 70 92

Minnesota Twins and San Diego Padres Latest Matches

Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins Latest matches
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
9 :  8
Minnesota Twins

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5 :  7
Minnesota Twins

Aug 25, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
10 :  4
Minnesota Twins

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
8 :  0
Minnesota Twins

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
7 :  3
Minnesota Twins

Aug 22, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
7 :  9
Minnesota Twins
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 21, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  8
Athletics

Aug 20, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
2 :  4
Athletics

Aug 19, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  6
Athletics

Aug 17, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
8 :  1
Detroit Tigers

Aug 16, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5 :  8
Detroit Tigers

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
0 :  7
Detroit Tigers
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
9 :  8
Minnesota Twins

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5 :  7
Minnesota Twins

Aug 25, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
10 :  4
Minnesota Twins

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
8 :  0
Minnesota Twins

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
7 :  3
Minnesota Twins

Aug 22, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
7 :  9
Minnesota Twins
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres Latest matches
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
4 :  3
San Diego Padres

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
6 :  7
San Diego Padres

Aug 25, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
9 :  6
San Diego Padres

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  8
Los Angeles Dodgers

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  1
Los Angeles Dodgers

Aug 22, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  1
Los Angeles Dodgers
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  8
Los Angeles Dodgers

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  1
Los Angeles Dodgers

Aug 22, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  1
Los Angeles Dodgers

Aug 21, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
8 :  4
San Francisco Giants

Aug 20, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
8 :  1
San Francisco Giants

Aug 19, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  1
San Francisco Giants
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
4 :  3
San Diego Padres

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
6 :  7
San Diego Padres

Aug 25, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
9 :  6
San Diego Padres

Aug 17, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
5 :  4
San Diego Padres

Aug 16, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
6 :  0
San Diego Padres

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
3 :  2
San Diego Padres

Minnesota Twins against San Diego Padres : Head to Head (H2H)

Minnesota Twins

33 %

San Diego Padres

67 %

Aug 21, 2024 - MLB

San Diego Padres
4 :  11
Minnesota Twins

Aug 20, 2024 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  5
Minnesota Twins

Aug 19, 2024 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  3
Minnesota Twins

Minnesota Twins - San Diego Padres Key Points

  1. Minnesota leads the all-time series vs. San Diego 19-10.
  2. San Diego is 23-15 since the All-Star break with a +47-run differential; Minnesota is 13-24 (worst record since the break) with a -54-run differential.
  3. The OVER is 57-73-4 for the Padres and 60-67-6 for the Twins.
  4. Betting Public: 79% of moneyline tickets and 91% of the handle are on the Padres.

Our Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres Prediction

The numbers for Nestor Cortes paint an unimpressive picture of him, primarily because he got thrashed by the Yankees in his first outing of the year (March 29), giving up six hits (five home runs) and eight runs in two innings of work. He looked good in his only other appearance before the trade (April 3 vs. Cincinnati) and has done a good job for the Padres. It would be nice to get a little more help from the lineup today (.232 BA over the last week). But facing Mathews may be just what the San Diego lineup needs.

Our Padres vs. Twins Pick: San Diego -1.5

Prediction:

 

San Diego -1.5

+134
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Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres Picks