Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
5/12/26 19:40
San Diego Padres

Prediction:

 

Over 8.5 Total Runs

-120
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in MLB Picks

Tuesday night will feature a 15-game MLB slate, one of which will include a National League matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and the San Diego Padres. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Brewers and the Padres.

After an off-day on Monday, San Diego enters this game with a record of 24-16 and is currently hanging with the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West division. The Padres are scheduled to start Matt Waldren in Game 1 of this season, who has a record of 1-1 and an ERA of 7.71. What’s worse is that he has been horrendous on the road this season, which suggests he could be in for another rough outing.

As for Milwaukee, they are currently in 2nd place in the NL Central division and have a record of 22-16. The Brewers will counter Waldren in Game 1 with Brandon Sporat, who is 0-2 on the season and has an ERA of 5.87. Sporat has not performed at home, meaning there is a good chance that the Padres’ offense will have success against him.

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
2 Milwaukee Brewers
0.625 80 50 30
8 San Diego Padres
0.531 81 43 38

Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres Latest Matches

Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers Latest matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 10, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  3
New York Yankees

May 9, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  3
New York Yankees

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
6 :  0
New York Yankees

May 6, 2026 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
2 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers

May 4, 2026 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
6 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

May 3, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  2
Milwaukee Brewers
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 10, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  3
New York Yankees

May 9, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  3
New York Yankees

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
6 :  0
New York Yankees

Apr 30, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
13 :  1
Arizona Diamondbacks

Apr 29, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
2 :  6
Arizona Diamondbacks

Apr 28, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
13 :  2
Arizona Diamondbacks
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 6, 2026 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
2 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers

May 4, 2026 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
6 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

May 3, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  2
Milwaukee Brewers

May 2, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
1 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

May 1, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
1 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers

Apr 23, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
5 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres Latest matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 10, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  2
St. Louis Cardinals

May 9, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
4 :  2
St. Louis Cardinals

May 8, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  6
St. Louis Cardinals

May 7, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  2
St. Louis Cardinals

May 6, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
1 :  5
San Diego Padres

May 5, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
5 :  10
San Diego Padres
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 10, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  2
St. Louis Cardinals

May 9, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
4 :  2
St. Louis Cardinals

May 8, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  6
St. Louis Cardinals

May 7, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  2
St. Louis Cardinals

May 3, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
4 :  3
Chicago White Sox

May 2, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  4
Chicago White Sox
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 6, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
1 :  5
San Diego Padres

May 5, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
5 :  10
San Diego Padres

May 4, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
3 :  2
San Diego Padres

Apr 26, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
12 :  7
San Diego Padres

Apr 25, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
4 :  6
San Diego Padres

Apr 23, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
8 :  10
San Diego Padres

Milwaukee Brewers against San Diego Padres : Head to Head (H2H)

Milwaukee Brewers

50 %

San Diego Padres

50 %

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Milwaukee Brewers
6 :  1
San Diego Padres

Feb 23, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

San Diego Padres
7 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  0
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 22, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Jun 23, 2024 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers - San Diego Padres Key Points

  1. Matt Waldren has an ERA of 7.71 this season
  2. Matt Waldren has an ERA of 8.56 on the road this season
  3. Brandon Sporat has an ERA of 5.87 this season
  4. Brandon Sporat has an ERA of 6.62 at home this season

Our Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Prediction

While Milwaukee is the small betting favorite, the over looks to be the best betting option. Going back to the home/away splits, Waldren has allowed 13 earned runs over 18.0 innings in three road appearances (two starts). Meanwhile, Sporat has allowed 13 earned runs over 17.2 innings in four home appearances (three starts).

On top of that, Milwaukee is averaging 5.1 runs per game this season, and San Diego is averaging 4.3 runs per game. Therefore, given that both teams have been solid offensively and both teams have starting pitchers who have been struggling, our Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres prediction is: Over 8.5 Total Runs.

Prediction:

 

Over 8.5 Total Runs

-120
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Picks