Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
7/4/26 22:10
San Diego Padres

Prediction:

 

Over 8.5 Total Runs

-120
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in MLB Picks

All 30 MLB teams will be in action for the Fourth of July on Saturday, which will include a bitter NL West rivalry between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Dodgers and the Padres.

San Diego enters this game hovering around .500 and, because of that, is currently in second place in the NL West division. The Padres are now scheduled to start Griffin Canning in Game 3 of this series, who has a record of 1-5 and an ERA of 7.09. Canning has especially been poor on the road this season, strongly suggesting the Dodgers’ offense will be able to take advantage.

As for Los Angeles, they enter this game as the best team in the league and are in first place in the NL West by a wide margin. The Dodgers are set to start Yoshinobu Yamamoto for Game 3 of this season, who has a record of 8-5 and an ERA of 2.67.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
1 Los Angeles Dodgers
0.652 89 58 31
15 San Diego Padres
0.494 87 43 44

Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres Latest Matches

Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
4 :  3
San Diego Padres

Jul 2, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
12 :  7
San Diego Padres

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
7 :  1
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
3 :  9
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 29, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
4 :  9
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 28, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
4 :  3
San Diego Padres

Jul 2, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
12 :  7
San Diego Padres

Jun 21, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
1 :  12
Baltimore Orioles

Jun 20, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
2 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Jun 19, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
6 :  5
Baltimore Orioles

Jun 17, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
5 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
7 :  1
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
3 :  9
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 29, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
4 :  9
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 28, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 27, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  15
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 26, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  1
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres Latest matches
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
4 :  3
San Diego Padres

Jul 2, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
12 :  7
San Diego Padres

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
23 :  3
San Diego Padres

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
9 :  7
San Diego Padres

Jun 29, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  2
San Diego Padres

Jun 28, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 28, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 27, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  15
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 26, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  1
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 24, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  2
Atlanta Braves

Jun 23, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Jun 22, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  0
Atlanta Braves
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
4 :  3
San Diego Padres

Jul 2, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
12 :  7
San Diego Padres

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
23 :  3
San Diego Padres

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
9 :  7
San Diego Padres

Jun 29, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  2
San Diego Padres

Jun 21, 2026 - MLB

Texas Rangers
4 :  3
San Diego Padres

Los Angeles Dodgers against San Diego Padres : Head to Head (H2H)

Los Angeles Dodgers

83 %

San Diego Padres

17 %

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
4 :  3
San Diego Padres

Jul 2, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
12 :  7
San Diego Padres

Jun 28, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 27, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  15
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 26, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  1
Los Angeles Dodgers

May 20, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Picks

Los Angeles Dodgers - San Diego Padres Key Points

  1. Griffin Canning has an ERA of 7.09 this season
  2. Griffin Canning has an ERA of 8.41 on the road this season
  3. Yoshinobu Yamamoto has an ERA of 2.67 this season
  4. Yoshinobu Yamamoto has an ERA of 3.04 at home this season

Our Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction

The Dodgers are a significant favorite in this game; therefore, we will be targeting the over. This specifically goes to the home/away splits for the starting pitchers. Most notably, Canning has made five appearances (four starts) on the road this season, in which he has allowed 19 earned runs over 20.1 innings. 

Yamamoto, on the other hand, has made eight starts at home this season, having allowed 18 runs (17 earned) over 50.1 innings. While these numbers are more than solid, Yamamoto has still performed worse at home compared to on the road. Add in the fact that the Dodgers’ offense ranks first in runs per game, and our Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres prediction is: Over 8.5 Total Runs.

Prediction:

 

Over 8.5 Total Runs

-120
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.