Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Dan Angell | in MLB Picks
The San Diego Padres (70-54 SU, 65-59 ATS) finish off their series with the opponent that has been their bogey team, the Colorado Rockies (45-79 SU, 63-61 ATS). The Padres finally won a series from Colorado last time they met, but before that, the Rockies had really done a number on them. Even after their modest success at the start of August, San Diego has won just three times in their past nine meetings with the Rockies.
Four seems to be the magic number for the Rockies in this matchup. Over the past 10 meetings, San Diego has managed to keep Colorado to three runs or less four times, and all four were the games the Padres won. It’s been 11 months since the Padres beat the Rockies while allowing Colorado to top three runs, a streak that covers 14 games.
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Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
0.574 | 162 | 93 | 69 |
|
29
|
0.377 | 162 | 61 | 101 |
Colorado Rockies and San Diego Padres Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 12, 2024 - MLB
Aug 11, 2024 - MLB
Aug 10, 2024 - MLB
Aug 8, 2024 - MLB
Aug 7, 2024 - MLB
Aug 6, 2024 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 11, 2024 - MLB
Aug 10, 2024 - MLB
Aug 8, 2024 - MLB
Aug 7, 2024 - MLB
Aug 6, 2024 - MLB
Jul 23, 2024 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 12, 2024 - MLB
Aug 4, 2024 - MLB
Aug 3, 2024 - MLB
Aug 2, 2024 - MLB
Aug 1, 2024 - MLB
Jul 27, 2024 - MLB
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Aug 14, 2024 - MLB
Aug 13, 2024 - MLB
Aug 12, 2024 - MLB
Aug 10, 2024 - MLB
Aug 8, 2024 - MLB
Aug 7, 2024 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 14, 2024 - MLB
Aug 13, 2024 - MLB
Aug 12, 2024 - MLB
Aug 4, 2024 - MLB
Aug 3, 2024 - MLB
Aug 2, 2024 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 10, 2024 - MLB
Aug 8, 2024 - MLB
Aug 7, 2024 - MLB
Aug 6, 2024 - MLB
Jul 28, 2024 - MLB
Jul 26, 2024 - MLB
Colorado Rockies against San Diego Padres : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Aug 4, 2024 - MLB
Aug 3, 2024 - MLB
Aug 2, 2024 - MLB
May 13, 2024 - MLB
Apr 23, 2024 - MLB
Sep 19, 2023 - MLB
Colorado Rockies - San Diego Padres Key Points
- Six of the past seven games have been decided by three runs or more.
- The visiting team has won five of the past eight meetings.
- The Padres are 12-2 in their past 14 games.
- The Rockies are 3-7 in their past 10 games.
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Our Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Prediction
There’s a reason that the Padres are heavy favorites here, but Joe Musgrove’s performances away from home are worth a second look. His ERA away from home is an ugly 6.94, in an admittedly small sample size. By a quirk of scheduling and the rotation, only three of Musgrove’s 11 starts this season have come away from Petco Park.
He also hasn’t pitched in Denver since 2022. That’s a park that’s tough for anyone to pitch in, and Musgrove’s strikeout numbers aren’t quite as good as they’ve been in past years. He’s averaging under a strikeout per inning, and when he has to get outs by pitching to contact, he’s not anywhere near as good of a pitcher. With the Rockies going with a bullpen game, there’s a good chance that both teams get the bats working early and often. Our prediction for San Diego vs. Colorado is Over 11.5 Runs.
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