San Diego FC vs Minnesota United Prediction & Picks - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer

San Diego FC
9/13/25 22:30
Minnesota United

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5

+165
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 by Erik Gibbs in Major League Soccer Picks

San Diego FC and Minnesota United face each other in a match between two Western Conference titans at their peaks. San Diego FC, the 2025 expansion team, have had a spectacular inaugural year and head into the match undefeated in their last four games. San Diego have taken three wins and a tie in the past few weeks and, in the process, have entrenched themselves atop the West. Take notice that they took exhilarating back-to-back away wins – a 2–1 win at LAFC and a 2–1 win at San Jose – and showed they are proficient at taking points in adversarial environments.

Despite being at their offensive worst at times, San Diego has ground out wins, such as a 0–0 draw at Portland that clinched their playoff spot. San Diego is at the top of the points list and their consistency has been superb, they are first in the conference standings and share the Supporters' Shield lead. The team's current output is that of a balanced team that adjusts and finds a way to come out on top amidst mounting pressure.

Minnesota United have matched that level of consistency, in second place in the West and already guaranteed a playoff spot themselves. The Loons have been among the top team in the conference all year, and their recent performances reinforce that stature. They have yet to be defeated in most games in their recent schedule; for instance, Minnesota battled to a 1–1 draw against Portland and scored a solid 2–0 victory against Sporting Kansas City at the end of August.

With five games remaining in the regular season, Minnesota possess a strong record (14 wins and only 6 losses) and one of the most reliable defenses in MLS. They have conceded far fewer goals – fourth-fewest in the league – and that has enabled them to eke out points even when their attacking unit is not quite firing on all cylinders.

Under second-year head coach Eric Ramsay, the Loons have been nearly invariably in the top flight in the West, and they head into San Diego buoyed by having locked up home-field advantage for the playoffs. This match, however, will be a test against the only team ahead of them in the table.

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San Diego FC vs Minnesota United Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
San Diego FC
San Diego FC
56 29 17 5 7 20
2
Minnesota United
Minnesota United
51 29 14 9 6 16

San Diego FC and Minnesota United Latest Matches

San Diego FC
San Diego FC Latest matches
L W W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 31, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC
1 :  2
San Diego FC

Aug 23, 2025 - Major League Soccer

San Diego FC
0 :  0
Portland Timbers

Aug 17, 2025 - Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
1 :  2
San Diego FC

Aug 9, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
0 :  2
San Diego FC

Aug 5, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Mazatlan FC
0 :  2
San Diego FC

Aug 1, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Tigres UANL
2 :  1
San Diego FC
W L L D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Aug 23, 2025 - Major League Soccer

San Diego FC
0 :  0
Portland Timbers

Jul 25, 2025 - Major League Soccer

San Diego FC
1 :  0
Nashville SC

Jul 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer

San Diego FC
1 :  1
Vancouver Whitecaps

Jul 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer

San Diego FC
0 :  1
Toronto FC

Jul 5, 2025 - Major League Soccer

San Diego FC
3 :  4
Houston Dynamo

May 31, 2025 - Major League Soccer

San Diego FC
2 :  0
Austin FC
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 31, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC
1 :  2
San Diego FC

Aug 17, 2025 - Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
1 :  2
San Diego FC

Aug 9, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
0 :  2
San Diego FC

Aug 5, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Mazatlan FC
0 :  2
San Diego FC

Aug 1, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Tigres UANL
2 :  1
San Diego FC

Jul 29, 2025 - Leagues Cup

CF Pachuca
3 :  2
San Diego FC
Minnesota United
Minnesota United Latest matches
D L L W W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
1 :  1
Portland Timbers

Aug 23, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake
1 :  3
Minnesota United

Aug 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
1 :  0
Seattle Sounders

Aug 10, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
1 :  2
Colorado Rapids

Aug 6, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Minnesota United
0 :  2
Atletico San Luis

Aug 2, 2025 - Leagues Cup

CF America
3 :  3
Minnesota United
L W L L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Aug 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
1 :  1
Portland Timbers

Aug 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
1 :  0
Seattle Sounders

Aug 10, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
1 :  2
Colorado Rapids

Aug 6, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Minnesota United
0 :  2
Atletico San Luis

Jul 30, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Minnesota United
4 :  1
Queretaro

Jul 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
0 :  1
Los Angeles FC
D W D W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 23, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake
1 :  3
Minnesota United

Aug 2, 2025 - Leagues Cup

CF America
3 :  3
Minnesota United

Jul 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Saint Louis City SC
1 :  2
Minnesota United

Jul 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers
1 :  1
Minnesota United

Jul 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer

FC Dallas
1 :  2
Minnesota United

Jun 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
2 :  2
Minnesota United

San Diego FC against Minnesota United : Head to Head (H2H)

Jun 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
2 :  4
San Diego FC

Minnesota United v San Diego FC last Lineups

San Diego FC

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
C. Dos Santos
97
C. McVey
26
M. Duah
17
P. McNair
27
L. Bombino
20
A. Godoy
6
J. Tverskov
14
L. De La Torre
10
A. Dreyer
22
O. Valakari
11
H. Lozano
9
K. Yeboah
8
J. Rosales
17
R. Lod
20
W. Trapp
26
J. Pereyra
13
A. Markanich
5
N. Romero
15
M. Boxall
28
J. Diaz
21
B. Hlongwane
97
D. St. Clair

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

Minnesota United

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato San Diego FC
CD Huachipato Minnesota United
Top Goalscorer
Denmark A. Dreyer (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Canada T. Oluwaseyi (10 Goals)
Best assists
Denmark A. Dreyer (15 Assists)
Best assists
Canada T. Oluwaseyi (6 Assists)

San Diego FC - Minnesota United Key Points

  1. Minnesota United are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. San Diego are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 2-3 in Minnesota United's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 0-5 in San Diego's last 5 games
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Our San Diego FC vs Minnesota United Prediction

There is plenty of star power on both rosters for what figures to be a fun clash. On San Diego FC, the spotlight falls on Anders Dreyer, who has been a genuine MVP candidate thus far in his first MLS season. The Dane has an incredible league-high 30 goal involvements (13 goals and 17 assists), and he is the catalyst for San Diego's high-powered attack.

They will be matched by Minnesota United with high-profile players of their own, led particularly by Kelvin Yeboah at the front. The Ghana-born Italian DP striker has 9 goals and 2 assists to his name, topping the Loons' attack particularly since another forward left at mid-season. Yeboah's movement and speed without the ball have seen him leave holes in defense; he has been the central figure for Minnesota's attacking force, frequently finishing chances initiated on the side or inside the middle.

But Minnesota's greatest strength comes on the defensive end. Veteran New Zealand international Captain Michael Boxall leads a back line that has been nearly impregnable. Boxall's direction and positioning have been behind those solid defensive numbers, and he was named an MLS All-Star for his performance this year.

The game is a playoff preview, and the top two teams in the West are playing. San Diego's skilled, collective defense will be tested by Minnesota, and we are in for a nervous, close game. San Diego FC's punch up top and home field make the difference for them. San Diego has shown that they are able to break through stiff defenses with guys like Dreyer and Lozano, and they proved that as an expansion team that they have a knack for rising to the big stage.

Despite Minnesota giving a determined effort – and possibly posing a threat on the counter through Yeboah – San Diego should pull off a narrow victory. San Diego's marquee forwards should find just enough space to score three points on a 2–1 home-side victory. Whoever wins, both team's quality bodes that both sides are in for a spirited, high-tempo game that is befitting two Western Conference powers. Our prediction for San Diego FC vs Minnesota United: Over 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5

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San Diego FC vs Minnesota United Picks
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