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by Erik Gibbs in WNBA Picks
The Washington Mystics are looking to turn the tide in the positive direction when they play the high-scoring Vegas Aces today. Washington has been struggling over the last couple of weeks, having lost back-to-back contests and seven of the past ten. That downturn has seen the Mystics drop to 16–20 on the season, imperiling their post-season hopes.
Offensively, the team has yet to score in a somewhat predictable pattern, and they’ve been prone to end-of-game slides – as the most recent close loss visiting Washington after their lead in the game evaporated in the fourth quarter. As good as they’ve looked at times in front on defense, the Mystics have been up-and-down at home (10–8 at home) and are riding a two-game losing streak.
In stark contrast, the Vegas Aces have been one of the league's hottest teams. The Aces are on a nine-game-winning streak and are 23–14, anchoring themselves near the top of the Western Conference standings. Vegas has been scoring in excess of 85 points in the stretch and has a championship-level defense to go along with a well-balanced attack.
When these teams met in the season series in July, Washington scored a 70-68 upset win. That will help Washington feel optimistic but the situation has shifted: Las Vegas has been hot ever since, while Washington has tailed off.
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Las Vegas Aces vs Washington Mystics Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
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0.622 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 9 |
4
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0.444 | 36 | 16 | 20 | -2 |
Las Vegas Aces and Washington Mystics Latest Matches

6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 8, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 6, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 29, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 24, 2025 - WNBA

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 31, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 29, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 8, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA
Las Vegas Aces against Washington Mystics : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Jul 10, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 26, 2025 - WNBA
May 23, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 14, 2024 - WNBA
Jul 4, 2024 - WNBA
Jun 29, 2024 - WNBA
Las Vegas Aces - Washington Mystics Key Points
- The Aces are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Mystics are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Over is 2-3 in the Aces' last 5 games
- The Over is 3-2 in the Mystics' last 5 games
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Our Las Vegas Aces vs Washington Mystics Prediction
There are a number of marquee players in this game who can sway the result. For the Mystics, one positive has been the production of rookie guard Sonia Citron as a steady scorer – she has scored in excess of 18 points in the past ten contests, compensating for the lack in offence.
Washington will also look to forward Shakira Austin, who scored 16 points in the season matchup against Las Vegas, to pace the interior on both ends. Austin’s defense and rebounding will be the difference versus the Aces’ prolific frontcourt. And prolific the Aces are, led by season MVP A’ja Wilson, who has been taking over in the winning stretch.
Wilson has been at 24-ish points and in double figures in rebounds in the latest games so she becomes a matchup terror. Back in the backcourt, veteran point guard Chelsea Gray paces the Aces in the Frank for Layup in more than 5 assists per game, and she has the big shot in her making (double-digit points in a consistent basis, too).
Las Vegas steps in as the clear favorite due to their recent performance and deeper roster. Without a remarkable shooting performance by Washington or a defensive clinic like in their July match, the Aces will most likely win their next match. The inside play by Wilson and the well-rounded scoring by Las Vegas will overpower Mystics, who will struggle to match their firepower. The Aces will dominate the pace for the match and head to D.C. for their next win. Our prediction for Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces: Under 161.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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