Las Vegas Aces vs Washington Mystics Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
8/23/25 15:00
Washington Mystics

Prediction:

 

Under 161.5

-125
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 by Erik Gibbs in WNBA Picks

The Washington Mystics are looking to turn the tide in the positive direction when they play the high-scoring Vegas Aces today. Washington has been struggling over the last couple of weeks, having lost back-to-back contests and seven of the past ten. That downturn has seen the Mystics drop to 16–20 on the season, imperiling their post-season hopes.

Offensively, the team has yet to score in a somewhat predictable pattern, and they’ve been prone to end-of-game slides – as the most recent close loss visiting Washington after their lead in the game evaporated in the fourth quarter. As good as they’ve looked at times in front on defense, the Mystics have been up-and-down at home (10–8 at home) and are riding a two-game losing streak.

In stark contrast, the Vegas Aces have been one of the league's hottest teams. The Aces are on a nine-game-winning streak and are 23–14, anchoring themselves near the top of the Western Conference standings. Vegas has been scoring in excess of 85 points in the stretch and has a championship-level defense to go along with a well-balanced attack.

When these teams met in the season series in July, Washington scored a 70-68 upset win. That will help Washington feel optimistic but the situation has shifted: Las Vegas has been hot ever since, while Washington has tailed off.

Las Vegas Aces vs Washington Mystics Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
2
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces
0.622 37 23 14 9
4
Washington Mystics
Washington Mystics
0.444 36 16 20 -2

Las Vegas Aces and Washington Mystics Latest Matches

Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
61 :  83
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
72 :  74
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
87 :  106
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
86 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
77 :  83
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
86 :  94
Las Vegas Aces
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
61 :  83
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
72 :  74
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
87 :  106
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
77 :  83
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
86 :  94
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 8, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
86 :  90
Las Vegas Aces
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
86 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 6, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
78 :  72
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 29, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
89 :  74
L.a. Sparks

Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
106 :  80
Dallas Wings

Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
78 :  109
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 24, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
70 :  80
Indiana Fever
Washington Mystics
Washington Mystics Latest matches
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
56 :  67
Connecticut Sun

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
80 :  69
Washington Mystics

Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
86 :  95
Washington Mystics

Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
88 :  84
Indiana Fever

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
88 :  83
Washington Mystics

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
91 :  78
Dallas Wings
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
80 :  69
Washington Mystics

Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
86 :  95
Washington Mystics

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
88 :  83
Washington Mystics

Jul 31, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
68 :  67
Washington Mystics

Jul 29, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
86 :  103
Washington Mystics

Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  72
Washington Mystics
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
56 :  67
Connecticut Sun

Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
88 :  84
Indiana Fever

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
91 :  78
Dallas Wings

Aug 8, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
76 :  80
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
64 :  78
Chicago Sky

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
83 :  99
Atlanta Dream

Las Vegas Aces against Washington Mystics : Head to Head (H2H)

Las Vegas Aces

67 %

Washington Mystics

33 %

Jul 10, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
68 :  70
Washington Mystics

Jun 26, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
94 :  83
Las Vegas Aces

May 23, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
72 :  75
Las Vegas Aces

Jul 14, 2024 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
89 :  77
Washington Mystics

Jul 4, 2024 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
77 :  98
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 29, 2024 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
88 :  77
Washington Mystics

Las Vegas Aces - Washington Mystics Key Points

  1. The Aces are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. The Mystics are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 2-3 in the Aces' last 5 games
  4. The Over is 3-2 in the Mystics' last 5 games

Our Las Vegas Aces vs Washington Mystics Prediction

There are a number of marquee players in this game who can sway the result. For the Mystics, one positive has been the production of rookie guard Sonia Citron as a steady scorer – she has scored in excess of 18 points in the past ten contests, compensating for the lack in offence.

Washington will also look to forward Shakira Austin, who scored 16 points in the season matchup against Las Vegas, to pace the interior on both ends. Austin’s defense and rebounding will be the difference versus the Aces’ prolific frontcourt. And prolific the Aces are, led by season MVP A’ja Wilson, who has been taking over in the winning stretch.

Wilson has been at 24-ish points and in double figures in rebounds in the latest games so she becomes a matchup terror. Back in the backcourt, veteran point guard Chelsea Gray paces the Aces in the Frank for Layup in more than 5 assists per game, and she has the big shot in her making (double-digit points in a consistent basis, too).

Las Vegas steps in as the clear favorite due to their recent performance and deeper roster. Without a remarkable shooting performance by Washington or a defensive clinic like in their July match, the Aces will most likely win their next match. The inside play by Wilson and the well-rounded scoring by Las Vegas will overpower Mystics, who will struggle to match their firepower. The Aces will dominate the pace for the match and head to D.C. for their next win. Our prediction for Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces: Under 161.5 points.

Prediction:

 

Under 161.5

-125
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Las Vegas Aces vs Washington Mystics Picks