Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction & Picks - WNBA
USA - WNBA
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by Paul Tamayo | in WNBA Picks
The Las Vegas Aces (30-13) visit the Phoenix Mercury (16-27) for a 2026 WNBA regular season matchup on Thursday, September 24, at Mortgage Matchup Center.
The Aces are in a must-win scenario on Thursday, if they want to snatch the second seed from the Golden State Valkyries. They must win this game against the Mercury, and then hope for the Valkyries to lose against the Los Angeles Sparks on the same day.
So, if they lose this game on Thursday, they have to settle for the third in the playoffs and face the Atlanta Dream.
It's a good thing that they have the season head-to-head advantage against the Mercury. In their most recent match last July, the Aces carved out a dominant 106-58 victory.
Moreover, Las Vegas has won six straight games, including a most recent 89-79 win over the Los Angeles Sparks. They are heading into this game with strong momentum and desire to win, especially with a playoff seeding on the line.
As for the Mercury, they are unfortunately out of playoff contention, so they don't have to go all-in on Thursday. Star guard Kelsey Plum, who is still recovering from a leg injury, remains sidelined for Thursday.
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Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
0.698 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 6 |
|
10
|
0.372 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 1 |
Phoenix Mercury and Las Vegas Aces Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 21, 2026 - WNBA
Sep 19, 2026 - WNBA
Sep 17, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 29, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 27, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 25, 2026 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 21, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 29, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 27, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 25, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 22, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 16, 2026 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 19, 2026 - WNBA
Sep 17, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 11, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 9, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 7, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 5, 2026 - WNBA
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Sep 22, 2026 - WNBA
Sep 20, 2026 - WNBA
Sep 17, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 28, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 23, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 20, 2026 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 22, 2026 - WNBA
Sep 20, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 28, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 20, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 18, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 15, 2026 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 17, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 23, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 9, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 8, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 6, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 3, 2026 - WNBA
Phoenix Mercury against Las Vegas Aces : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
Jul 11, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 17, 2026 - WNBA
May 9, 2026 - WNBA
Oct 10, 2025 - WNBA
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Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA
Players list
L. Held
K. Copper
A. Thomas
N. Brochant
J. Young
C. Gray
S. Talbot
Substitutes
S. Whitcomb
K. Plum
S. Poffenbarger
S. Ciezki
K. Dunn
V. Ayayi
M. Suarez
M. Westbeld
T. Latson
J. Loyd
D. Evans
M. Yamamoto
C. Parker
K. Bell
J. Pissott
Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces Key Points
- The Aces own the season head-to-head advantage over the Mercury, 2-1.
- The Aces have won six straight games.
- The Mercury are missing Kelsey Plum.
- The Aces have the better offensive and defensive rating.
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Our Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction
The Aces still have a chance to get the second seed in the playoffs, but they must first do their part by winning their season closer. It's a good thing that it will be against a Mercury squad that they have already beaten twice this season.
Meanwhile, the Mercury are already out of playoff contention, so they might not have a lot to play for on Thursday. Our prediction for the Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces match is: Aces (-9.5) cover the spread.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
