New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Lou Aguila in NBA Picks
The San Antonio Spurs look to level their series with the New York Knicks at 2-2 in Game 4 of the NBA Finals at Madison Square Garden on Wednesday.
The Spurs avoided a 0-3 series defeat after outlasting the Knicks 111-115 in Game 3. San Antonio shot 46 percent from the field and limited New York to 35 percent shooting from the three-point territory (35%). Victor Wembanyama and Stephon Castle combined for 55 points, while rookie guard Dylan Harper chipped in 13 off the bench.
Meanwhile, the Knicks still have a chance to secure a commanding 3-1 series lead by protecting their home court in Game 4. The Knicks absorbed a loss for the first time in 46 days after failing to contain Spurs center Victor Wembanyama (32 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists) and the supporting cast around him. The Knicks also committed 13 turnovers and sent the Spurs to the foul line 34 times.
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New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Form
New York Knicks and San Antonio Spurs Latest Matches
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New York Knicks against San Antonio Spurs : Head to Head (H2H)
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New York Knicks - San Antonio Spurs: Form Analysis
The New York Knicks’ 13-game winning streak ended with the loss to the Spurs in Game 3. Still, New York owns a remarkable 13-1 record in their last 14 postseason games.
Despite playing against the best defensive teams in these playoffs, the Knicks have been able to shoot at least 40 percent from the field in all three games.
Meanwhile, the Spurs claimed their first road win over the Knicks after eight tries. San Antonio shot 46 percent from the field in Game 3, but interestingly, the Knicks have managed to outrebound the Spurs for the second straight game.
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Players list
J. Hart
J. Brunson
M. Bridges
K. Towns
O. Anunoby
J. Champagnie
S. Castle
D. Fox
Substitutes
M. McBride
T. Kolek
J. Alvarado
J. Clarkson
L. Shamet
M. Diawara
J. Sochan
P. Dadiet
D. Harper
J. McLaughlin
L. Waters III
H. Barnes
C. Bryant
New York Knicks & San Antonio Spurs Squad Analysis
Jalen Brunson is averaging 27.3 points on 37 FG% with 4.3 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game in these playoffs. His co-star, Karl-Anthony Towns, scored 18 points on 46.7 FG% in Game 1 and 21 points on 66.7 FG% in Game 2. In Game 3, Town’s presence was barely felt as he failed to post a double-double in this championship series for the first time and shot 40 percent from the field.
Victor Wembanyama has been an all-around juggernaut, averaging 29.0 points, 9.7 rebounds, 3.3 assists, and 3.3 blocks per game.
The Spurs center is also getting solid contributions from Stephon Castle (18.0 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.0 assists per game), Dylan Harper (14.7 points, 7.7 rebounds, and 2.7 assists per game), and De’Aaron Fox (13.0 points and 6.0 assists per game).
New York Knicks - San Antonio Spurs Key Points
- San Antonio is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against New York.
- San Antonio is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games against New York.
- New York is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games.
- New York is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Antonio.
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Our New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
The Knicks will implement some adjustments to keep the Spurs from tying this series.
Karl-Anthony Towns, who was a big factor in Games 1 and 2 in San Antonio, finished with 11 points on 4-for-10 shooting in Game 3. The Knicks will not allow that to happen again. Expect head coach Mike Brown to draw more plays for Towns and get their premier big man going offensively.
The Spurs manhandled the Knicks with their physicality all over the court. New York gets a chance to retaliate in Game 4 by matching up their physicality and turning up the intensity on both ends of the floor.
It’s going to be another thrilling ballgame, but the Knicks seem poised to grind down the Spurs on their home floor.
Remember, New York is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Antonio. On the other hand, the Spurs are 5-10 SU in their last 15 games against New York.
Our betting prediction for the San Antonio Spurs vs the New York Knicks: The Knicks will win
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs - Other Interesting Picks
Under 215.5 points
The total hit the OVER for the first time in the series after lowering it to 215.5 points in Game 3. In Game 4, FanDuel bumped the total to 216.0 points as NBA experts and betting pundits still anticipate a low-scoring ball game.
Given the importance of this pivotal Game 4, it is expected that both teams will tighten their defense and increase the level of physicality, effectively reducing possessions and limiting easy baskets.
The offense picked up a bit in Game 3, but Game 4 could mimic the grinding pace of the first two games in San Antonio.
Our betting prediction for the San Antonio Spurs vs. the New York Knicks: Under 215.5 points.
Karl-Anthony Towns 20+ points
Karl-Anthony Towns will score more than 20 points in Game 4.
The big man’s production was missed in Game 3, so expect the Knicks' coaching staff to put Towns in better positions to contribute offensively.
Towns already scored over 20 points in these finals. He posted 21 points and 13 rebounds to help the Knicks edge the Spurs in Game 2.
DraftKings generously prices Towns at +158 to score 20+ points in Game 4, which is a tempting offer if you factor in the center’s role as the second offensive option next to Jalen Brunson, who will draw heavy attention from multiple Spurs defenders throughout the game.
Our betting prediction for the San Antonio Spurs vs. the New York Knicks: Karl-Anthony Towns 20+ points
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