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by Erik Gibbs in NBA Picks
The San Antonio Spurs head north to face the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center tonight, and the matchup carries a little more intrigue than the standings might suggest. San Antonio has finally found its footing after a volatile start to the season, stringing together five wins in its last six outings and showing signs of real momentum on both ends of the floor.
Friday's 139-136 shootout win in Denver was a reminder that, even with several core pieces sidelined, the Spurs can score in bunches and close games against high-level opponents. In recent road victories at Portland and Denver, they've leaned on pace, spacing, and a committee-style scoring approach that has quietly made them one of the tougher teams to put away this month.
Minnesota arrives with a different kind of profile: solid overall, but streaky from week to week. The Timberwolves have taken seven of their past 11, and while they briefly hit a skid, they steadied themselves with a 119-115 win over Boston last night. That performance showed why they remain such a difficult home team to crack.
When Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, and Rudy Gobert are all rolling, Minnesota can overwhelm opponents with physicality in the paint, half-court shot creation, and second-chance pressure.
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San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
0.722 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 2 |
|
6
|
0.579 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 1 |
San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Nov 28, 2025 - NBA
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Nov 20, 2025 - NBA
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Nov 28, 2025 - NBA
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Nov 29, 2025 - NBA
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Nov 29, 2025 - NBA
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Nov 15, 2025 - NBA
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Nov 26, 2025 - NBA
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Nov 5, 2025 - NBA
San Antonio Spurs against Minnesota Timberwolves : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Mar 9, 2025 - NBA
Dec 29, 2024 - NBA
Dec 15, 2024 - NBA
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San Antonio Spurs - Minnesota Timberwolves Key Points
- The Over is 0-8 in the Timberwolves’ last 8 night games
- The Over is 1-5 in the Spurs’ last 6 games as road underdogs
- The Timberwolves are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. Western Conference teams
- The Spurs are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. Western Conference teams after winning as underdogs
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Our San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
Injuries remain the biggest wrinkle for San Antonio. Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, and Jordan McLaughlin are all out or trending doubtful, which again leaves De'Aaron Fox and Devin Vassell with the responsibility of initiating most of the offense. Fortunately for the Spurs, both have answered that challenge lately.
Fox has pushed the tempo and punished defenses in transition, while Vassell continues to give the team three-level scoring when possessions bog down. The Spurs' bench, though young, has also stepped up, giving them enough punch to survive without their full starting unit.
Minnesota, on the other hand, enters with no listed injuries and its full rotation intact. That stability matters on the second night of a back-to-back, especially when the Wolves can rely on Gobert anchoring the defense, Randle bullying mismatches, and Edwards attacking downhill whenever the offense stalls. Their dominance inside, combined with one of the strongest home-court advantages in the Western Conference, puts them in a favorable position.
San Antonio has shown it can hang with anyone when its offense flows, but Minnesota's depth, size, and interior presence tilt this matchup in the Wolves' direction. If Edwards sets the tone early and the Wolves control the glass, Minnesota has the clearer path to closing out another home win. Our prediction for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs: Under 232.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
