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by Travis Pulver | in NCAA Picks
The Sam Houston State Bearkats will try to win their first game of the season on Thursday, Oct. 2, when they head to New Mexico to take on the New Mexico State Aggies. Kickoff at Aggie Memorial Stadium is scheduled for 9 p.m. EST with the broadcast on CBSSN.
Sam Houston State was a solid 10-3 team last season. However, new head coach Phil Longo was forced to essentially rebuild the starting roster from scratch, as most of the team’s talent departed for new teams via the transfer portal. Four games in, they have looked like a rebuilding team with four straight losses to start the season. After losing 55-0 to Texas, the defense ranks as one of the worst units in the country, giving up 42.8 points per game. With an offense that barely averages 16 points per game, it will be challenging to win. As for New Mexico State, the Aggies already hit rock bottom last season when they finished a dismal 3-9. With what talent they had off to better teams via the transfer porta, they were left to mine the transfer portal to rebuild. Two weeks in, there appeared to be signs of hope as the team won twice, but then they were dominated by Louisiana Tech and couldn’t get out of their own way against New Mexico.
However, while 2-2 is not an ideal record, it’s better than Sam Houston State’s winless mark (0-4).
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Sam Houston State Bearkats vs New Mexico State Aggies Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
0.333 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
|
12
|
0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Sam Houston State Bearkats and New Mexico State Aggies Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA
Sep 7, 2025 - NCAA
Aug 29, 2025 - NCAA
Aug 23, 2025 - NCAA
Dec 19, 2024 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs
Nov 29, 2024 - NCAA
3/4 (75%)
0/4 (0%)
1/4 (25%)
Aug 29, 2025 - NCAA
Dec 19, 2024 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs
Nov 29, 2024 - NCAA
Oct 29, 2024 - NCAA
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA
Sep 7, 2025 - NCAA
Aug 23, 2025 - NCAA
Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA
Nov 16, 2024 - NCAA
Oct 22, 2024 - NCAA
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA
Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA
Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA
Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA
Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA
Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA
2/4 (50%)
0/4 (0%)
2/4 (50%)
Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA
Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA
Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA
Nov 9, 2024 - NCAA
1/5 (20%)
0/5 (0%)
4/5 (80%)
Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA
Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA
Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA
Nov 16, 2024 - NCAA
Oct 29, 2024 - NCAA
Sam Houston State Bearkats - New Mexico State Aggies Key Points
- Sam Houston State and New Mexico State have played twice, with each team winning once.
- Sam Houston State is 0-4 ATS this season and 7-10 since the start of last season.
- New Mexico State is 1-3 ATS this season and 6-10 since the start of last season.
- The OVER is 3-1 for Sam Houston and 2-2 for New Mexico State.
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Our Sam Houston State Bearkats vs New Mexico State Aggies Prediction
When a good team faces a bad team, it is easy to figure out who will win; you just have to figure out if the favorite can cover the spread. But when two bad teams collide? I’m a little surprised that a 0-4 team is favored on the road against a 2-2 team. Okay, so one of NMS’s wins was over an FCS school, but the Aggies have won twice; the Bearkats haven’t come close. New Mexico State led New Mexico early last week, 17-7, before things fell apart. With two bad teams, their poor offenses could get shut down or they could explode against the other’s lackluster defense (making the OVER/UNDER a tough bet). Either team can win this game, so I have to go with the value and take the Aggies to win outright.
Our Sam Houston State vs. New Mexico State Pick: New Mexico State ML
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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