Roma vs Cagliari Prediction & Picks - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Erik Gibbs | in Serie A Picks
Roma and Cagliari meet this Monday at the Stadio Olimpico in a fixture that finds both clubs at fascinating crossroads in their respective Serie A campaigns. For the Giallorossi, the last few weeks have been a bit of a rollercoaster; despite sitting firmly in the hunt for a Champions League spot in fifth place, a recent 1-0 stumble against Udinese has left Gian Piero Gasperini's men looking for answers.
Before that defeat, Roma had managed a gritty draw against Panathinaikos in European play and a solid run of league form, but their scoring has dried up slightly, leading to a string of low-scoring affairs where their defense has had to do the heavy lifting. They currently boast one of the best defensive records in the league, yet the lack of a clinical edge in the final third remains a lingering concern for the Roman faithful.
Conversely, Cagliari arrives in the capital riding a surprising wave of momentum that has seen them pull away from the relegation scrap and settle into 12th. The Sardinians have been the league's "giant killers" of late, punctuated by a dominant 4-0 thrashing of Hellas Verona last weekend and a massive 1-0 upset over Juventus in mid-January.
Under the guidance of Fabio Pisacane, the Islanders have won three of their last five matches, showing a tactical discipline and counter-attacking efficiency that was missing earlier in the season. While their away form has historically been their Achilles' heel, their current confidence makes them a dangerous underdog capable of punishing any complacency from the home side.
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Roma vs Cagliari Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
73 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | +28 |
|
14
|
43 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -13 |
Roma and Cagliari Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 2, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 29, 2026 - Europa League
Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 22, 2026 - Europa League
Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 13, 2026 - Coppa Italia
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 22, 2026 - Europa League
Jan 13, 2026 - Coppa Italia
Jan 10, 2026 - Serie A
Dec 29, 2025 - Serie A
Dec 15, 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 2, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 29, 2026 - Europa League
Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 6, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 3, 2026 - Serie A
Dec 20, 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 31, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 24, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 17, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 12, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 8, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 2, 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 31, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 17, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 2, 2026 - Serie A
Dec 21, 2025 - Serie A
Dec 7, 2025 - Serie A
Nov 22, 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 24, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 12, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 8, 2026 - Serie A
Dec 27, 2025 - Serie A
Dec 13, 2025 - Serie A
Dec 3, 2025 - Coppa Italia
Roma against Cagliari : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Dec 7, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A
Aug 18, 2024 - Serie A
Feb 5, 2024 - Serie A
Oct 8, 2023 - Serie A
Jan 16, 2022 - Serie A
Roma against Cagliari Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
R. Zelezny
P. Gollini
DefenderD. Rensch
J. Ziolkowski
Angelino
K. Tsimikas
MidfielderN. El Aynaoui
B. Zaragoza
A. Arena
L. Venturino
A. Sherri
G. Ciocci
DefenderG. Zappa
R. Idrissi
O. Raterink
Sulemana
J. Liteta
ForwardL. Pavoletti
P. Mendy
A. Albarracin
Y. Junior Trepy
Missing players
M. Kone
ForwardE. Ferguson
M. Folorunsho
ForwardM. Felici
Most goals and assists
Roma
Cagliari
D. Malen
(14 Goals)
S. Esposito
(7 Goals)
P. Dybala
(7 Assists)
S. Esposito
(5 Assists)
Roma - Cagliari Key Points
- The Over is 0-5 in Roma's last 5 games
- The Over is 4-1 in Cagliari's last 5 games
- Roma are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games
- Cagliari are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Roma vs Cagliari Prediction
The narrative for this match is heavily dictated by a growing injury crisis at Trigoria, as Roma could be without several heavy hitters. Key attackers Paulo Dybala and Evan Ferguson are racing against time to be fit after missing recent training sessions, while Artem Dovbyk and Stephan El Shaarawy are also sidelined. This puts immense pressure on Matìas Soulé, who has been their standout performer over the last fortnight, to provide the creative spark.
Cagliari isn't entirely unscathed either, with Michael Folorunsho and Mattia Felici dealing with knocks, but they can still lean on the red-hot Semih Kılıçsoy, who has been lethal in front of goal recently. Luca Mazzitelli has also been in fine form in the midfield, dictating play during their recent winning streak.
From a betting perspective, Roma remains the favorite due to their home advantage and superior squad depth, but the value arguably lies with the visitors or a low-scoring draw. Roma's injury-depleted frontline suggests they will struggle to break down a Cagliari side that has kept consecutive clean sheets against tough opposition. If Gasperini cannot get his primary creators back on the pitch, the Sardinians have the upper hand to at least escape the Olimpico with a point. Our prediction for Roma vs. Cagliari: Under 2.5 goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
