Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Picks - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Erik Gibbs | in LaLiga Picks
Real Madrid and Real Sociedad meet this Saturday at the Santiago Bernabéu for a high-stakes Matchday 24 clash that could have major implications for the La Liga title race. Los Blancos enter this fixture in formidable form under the guidance of Álvaro Arbeloa, having recently secured a 2-0 away victory against Valencia and a narrow 2-1 win over Rayo Vallecano.
These results have kept Real Madrid within touching distance of league leaders Barcelona, as they currently sit in second place with 57 points. Their dominance at home has been the bedrock of their season, boasting ten wins and only one defeat in front of their own fans. The team has managed to maintain defensive steel while finding enough offensive spark to navigate a grueling winter schedule, cementing their status as the primary challengers for the Spanish crown.
Real Sociedad, meanwhile, arrive in the capital revitalized under the leadership of Pellegrino Matarazzo. The Basque side is currently riding an impressive unbeaten streak, most recently securing a massive 1-0 victory against arch-rivals Athletic Club in the first leg of their Copa del Rey semifinal.
While they sit eighth in the league standings with 31 points, their recent performances suggest a team that has finally found its rhythm. They have shown a particular resilience on the road lately, though their historical record at the Bernabéu remains a daunting hurdle to overcome. Matarazzo has tightened the defensive lines, and the squad is playing with a renewed sense of belief that was absent during the first half of the campaign.
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Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
86 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 |
|
10
|
46 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | -2 |
Real Madrid and Real Sociedad Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga
Dec 20, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 14, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Jan 11, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
Jan 8, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 11, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Feb 7, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 4, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 25, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 18, 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 7, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 25, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 18, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 13, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga
Dec 12, 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 11, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Feb 4, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 9, 2026 - LaLiga
Dec 20, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 16, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Real Madrid against Real Sociedad : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Sep 13, 2025 - LaLiga
May 24, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 1, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Feb 26, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Sep 14, 2024 - LaLiga
Apr 26, 2024 - LaLiga
Real Madrid against Real Sociedad Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Substitutes
A. Lunin
DefenderD. Alaba
F. Garcia
R. Asencio
D. Carvajal
F. Mendy
MidfielderJ. Cestero
C. Palacios
D. Ceballos
B. Diaz
F. Mastantuono
K. Mbappe
U. Marrero
DefenderD. Caleta-Car
A. Odriozola
A. Elustondo
MidfielderI. Basurco
B. Turrientes
J. Ochieng
ForwardD. Diaz Gandara
S. Gomez
O. Oskarsson
G. Guedes
J. Karrikaburu
Missing players
E. Militao
MidfielderJ. Bellingham
ForwardRodrygo
Endrick
I. Ruperez Urtasun
MidfielderB. Mendez
T. Kubo
L. Sucic
ForwardA. Barrenetxea
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
K. Mbappe
(25 Goals)
M. Oyarzabal
(15 Goals)
A. Guler
(9 Assists)
S. Gomez
(5 Assists)
Real Madrid - Real Sociedad Key Points
- The Over is 1-4 in Real Madrid's last 5 games
- The Over is 3-2 in Real Sociedad's last 5 games
- Real Madrid are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
- Real Sociedad are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction
Real Madrid is sweating over the fitness of Kylian Mbappé, who has missed recent training sessions due to ongoing discomfort in his left knee; despite scoring in his last two outings, he remains a major doubt for Saturday. The hosts will also definitely be without Jude Bellingham and Rodrygo, both of whom are sidelined with hamstring injuries until late February or March. However, they do welcome back Vinícius Júnior from suspension, and veteran defender Antonio Rüdiger is expected to return to the lineup.
For the visitors, Beñat Turrientes is the man in form after his derby winner, while Mikel Oyarzabal has netted three times in his last three appearances. Unfortunately, La Real will likely be without Gonçalo Guedes, who is struggling with fatigue and minor knocks, joining Takefusa Kubo and Arsen Zakharyan on the injury list.
From a betting perspective, Real Madrid holds the upper hand as the clear favorites. Their historical dominance—winning four of the last five meetings—combined with a near-perfect home record makes them the logical choice for a straight victory. However, given Sociedad’s recent defensive improvements and Madrid's missing firepower, a low-scoring affair or a "win to nil" for the hosts offers intriguing value. Real Sociedad will look to frustrate the giants, but the depth of the Madrid squad usually prevails in these tight February contests. Our prediction for Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad: Under 3.5 goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
