Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Picks - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Carlos Zabala | in LaLiga Picks
Real Madrid kicked off their Champions League campaign midweek at the Bernabéu with a win against Inter Milan, earning three points. However, it was a hard-fought victory, not particularly comfortable, in which Mourinho's team was deprived of possession. This win followed their previous defeat in La Liga against Betis, who now leave them three points behind Barcelona.
Mourinho's new stint as Real Madrid manager has brought together a squad with several new faces and an almost complete overhaul of the defense, including the additions of Dumfries, Konaté, and Cucurella. While the Merengues' attacking play shows flashes of brilliance and footballing superiority, at other times they appear to be a team still finding their rhythm. Vinícius, who had a lackluster performance against Inter, was met with some boos.
Rayo Vallecano is Real Madrid's next opponent. They played well, yet lost after conceding a penalty in the 100th minute during their last visit to the Bernabéu in January. Rayo Vallecano is embroiled in its own drama, with protests directed at the club president and uncertainty surrounding its future. Even so, they managed to secure their first league victory, defeating Racing Santander 3-2.
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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
24 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | +15 |
|
16
|
9 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 |
Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Sep 8, 2026 - Champions League
Sep 4, 2026 - LaLiga
Aug 30, 2026 - LaLiga
Aug 26, 2026 - LaLiga
Aug 22, 2026 - LaLiga
Aug 16, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Sep 8, 2026 - Champions League
Aug 30, 2026 - LaLiga
Aug 26, 2026 - LaLiga
Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
May 23, 2026 - LaLiga
May 14, 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Sep 4, 2026 - LaLiga
Aug 22, 2026 - LaLiga
Aug 16, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 12, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
May 17, 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Sep 5, 2026 - LaLiga
Aug 31, 2026 - LaLiga
Aug 20, 2026 - LaLiga
Aug 15, 2026 - LaLiga
Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Sep 5, 2026 - LaLiga
Aug 20, 2026 - LaLiga
May 17, 2026 - LaLiga
May 11, 2026 - LaLiga
Apr 30, 2026 - Conference League
Apr 26, 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 31, 2026 - LaLiga
Aug 15, 2026 - LaLiga
Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 26, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 17, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Real Madrid against Rayo Vallecano : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga
Nov 9, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 14, 2024 - LaLiga
Feb 18, 2024 - LaLiga
Nov 5, 2023 - LaLiga
Real Madrid against Rayo Vallecano Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Lunin
DefenderT. Alexander-Arnold
R. Asencio
D. Huijsen
M. Cucurella
A. Tchouameni
E. Camavinga
T. Pitarch Pinar
ForwardB. Diaz
A. Guler
C. Espi
Endrick
D. Cardenas
A. Molina
DefenderR. Belaid
M. Sadick
M. Kumbulla
I. Balliu
M. de las Sias
P. Fernandez
MidfielderO. Valentin
M. Roman
S. Gomez
ForwardAlemao
Missing players
F. Mendy
E. Militao
ForwardRodrygo
A. Batalla
DefenderL. Felipe
J. Vertrouwd
MidfielderI. Palazon
F. Perez
ForwardR. Nteka
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
K. Mbappe
(11 Goals)
S. Camello
(7 Goals)
J. Bellingham
(3 Assists)
, 
Vinicius Junior
(3 Assists)
U. Lopez
(3 Assists)
Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano Key Points
- Rayo Vallecano committed 15 fouls in their previous match
- Real Madrid generated an xG of 2.91 in their 2-1 victory against Inter
- Real Madrid is the second favorite to win this league, paying odds of +163
- In this preseason and four official La Liga matches, Rayo Vallecano has not kept a clean sheet in any of them
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Our Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
The reality is that in the Ancelotti era, and also when Real Madrid was managed by Xabi Alonso and Arbeloa, they rarely had trouble dominating mid-table and lower-table teams at the Santiago Bernabéu.
In Mourinho's chaotic situation, it seems that won't change, as Real Madrid certainly shone at home against Real Sociedad and then against Málaga, scoring eight goals between the two matches. For Rayo Vallecano, Pérez and De Furtos were sent off near the end of the previous game and will therefore miss the match against Real Madrid, severely limiting their attacking options
Our prediction for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano is: Mbappe to have 3 or more shots on target.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
