Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Madrid
9/12/26 15:00
Rayo Vallecano

Prediction:

 

Mbappe to have 3 or more shots on target.

-150
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 by Carlos Zabala | in LaLiga Picks

Real Madrid kicked off their Champions League campaign midweek at the Bernabéu with a win against Inter Milan, earning three points. However, it was a hard-fought victory, not particularly comfortable, in which Mourinho's team was deprived of possession. This win followed their previous defeat in La Liga against Betis, who now leave them three points behind Barcelona.

Mourinho's new stint as Real Madrid manager has brought together a squad with several new faces and an almost complete overhaul of the defense, including the additions of Dumfries, Konaté, and Cucurella. While the Merengues' attacking play shows flashes of brilliance and footballing superiority, at other times they appear to be a team still finding their rhythm. Vinícius, who had a lackluster performance against Inter, was met with some boos.

Rayo Vallecano is Real Madrid's next opponent. They played well, yet lost after conceding a penalty in the 100th minute during their last visit to the Bernabéu in January. Rayo Vallecano is embroiled in its own drama, with protests directed at the club president and uncertainty surrounding its future. Even so, they managed to secure their first league victory, defeating Racing Santander 3-2.

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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Real Madrid
9 4 3 0 1 +7
14 Rayo Vallecano
4 4 1 1 2 -3

Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano Latest Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 8, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan

Sep 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Aug 30, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Málaga

Aug 26, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Real Sociedad

Aug 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Aug 16, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Real Madrid
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 8, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan

Aug 30, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Málaga

Aug 26, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Real Sociedad

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Madrid
2 :  2
Fiorentina

May 23, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

May 14, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Real Oviedo
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Aug 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Aug 16, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Aug 12, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

La Coruna
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Ferencvarosi Budapest
1 :  2
Real Madrid

May 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  1
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano Latest matches
W L L D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 5, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  2
Racing Santander

Aug 31, 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
5 :  2
Rayo Vallecano

Aug 20, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Alavés

Aug 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Ipswich Town
3 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Charleroi
2 :  3
Rayo Vallecano
D W D W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 5, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  2
Racing Santander

Aug 20, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Alavés

May 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  0
Villarreal

May 11, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Girona

Apr 30, 2026 - Conference League

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  0
Strasbourg

Apr 26, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  3
Real Sociedad
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Aug 31, 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
5 :  2
Rayo Vallecano

Aug 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Ipswich Town
3 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Charleroi
2 :  3
Rayo Vallecano

Jul 26, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Feyenoord
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Jul 17, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid against Rayo Vallecano : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

33 %

Draw

67 %

Rayo Vallecano

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Nov 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  0
Real Madrid

Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Dec 14, 2024 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  3
Real Madrid

Feb 18, 2024 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Nov 5, 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
0 :  0
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Picks

Rayo Vallecano v Real Madrid last Lineups

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
T. Courtois
24
D. Dumfries
16
I. Konate
4
D. Huijsen
17
M. Cucurella
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
8
F. Valverde
5
J. Bellingham
21
B. Diaz
10
K. Mbappe
7
Vinicius Junior
18
A. Garcia
10
S. Camello
19
J. De Frutos
8
U. Lopez
23
O. Valentin
4
P. Díaz
17
A. Pedrosa
6
P. Ciss
24
F. Lejeune
2
A. Ratiu
1
D. Cardenas

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Rayo Vallecano

Substitutes

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

A. Lunin

S. Mestre

Defender

A. Rudiger

A. Carreras

M. Rivas

Midfielder

T. Pitarch Pinar

A. Tchouameni

J. Cestero

Forward

Endrick

Y. Diomande

C. Espi

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Goalkeeper

E. Audero

Defender

P. Fernandez

M. de las Sias

R. Belaid

M. Sadick

I. Balliu

Midfielder

G. Bouare Samake

F. Perez

G. Tsitaishvili

Forward

Alemao

R. Nteka

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

A. Lunin

Defender

F. Mendy

E. Militao

R. Asencio

Forward

Rodrygo

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Goalkeeper

A. Batalla

Defender

M. Kumbulla

L. Felipe

J. Vertrouwd

Midfielder

I. Palazon

F. Perez

Forward

J. De Frutos

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Rayo Vallecano
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain S. Camello (5 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Bellingham (2 Assists)
Brazil Vinicius Junior (2 Assists)
Best assists
Spain U. Lopez (3 Assists)

Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano Stats in LaLiga

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
75%
Wins
25%
25%
Losses
50%
0%
Draws
25%
3.25
Average goals per match
4.25
2.5
Goals scored per match
1.75
0.75
Goals conceded per match
2.5
25%
Under 2.5 goals
25%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
25%
No goals conceded
0%
50%
Both score
100%

Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano Key Points

  1. Rayo Vallecano committed 15 fouls in their previous match
  2. Real Madrid generated an xG of 2.91 in their 2-1 victory against Inter
  3. Real Madrid is the second favorite to win this league, paying odds of +163
  4. In this preseason and four official La Liga matches, Rayo Vallecano has not kept a clean sheet in any of them
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Our Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

The reality is that in the Ancelotti era, and also when Real Madrid was managed by Xabi Alonso and Arbeloa, they rarely had trouble dominating mid-table and lower-table teams at the Santiago Bernabéu.

In Mourinho's chaotic situation, it seems that won't change, as Real Madrid certainly shone at home against Real Sociedad and then against Málaga, scoring eight goals between the two matches. For Rayo Vallecano, Pérez and De Furtos were sent off near the end of the previous game and will therefore miss the match against Real Madrid, severely limiting their attacking options

Our prediction for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano is: Mbappe to have 3 or more shots on target.

Prediction:

 

Mbappe to have 3 or more shots on target.

-150
$350 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.