Real Madrid vs Málaga Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Madrid
8/30/26 11:00
Málaga

Prediction:

 

Real Madrid to win both halves.

-110
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 by Carlos Zabala | in LaLiga Picks

With a hat-trick from Mbappé and a team as organized as it was dynamic, Mourinho's Real Madrid put on a masterclass, convincingly defeating Real Sociedad in their first match of the 2026/2027 season at the Bernabéu. They will host the newly promoted Málaga there.

In the first match of the season, Madrid needed a late goal from Espí to secure their first three points against Espanyol. In what has been Madrid's busiest summer transfer window of the year, Dumfries, Konaté, Silva, Cucurella, and Diomandé have strengthened the midfield and defense and will also provide cover for Bellingham, Vinícius, and Mbappé, whom Mourinho has returned to his most natural position: center forward.

Real Madrid boasts a deep squad, allowing Mourinho, despite some injuries, to make tactical changes to compete for both the league title and the Champions League, whose return is just around the corner. Málaga has only managed 1 out of a possible 6 points since their return to the second division. In their last four stints in the top flight, the Málaga side has had slow starts; on three previous occasions, they failed to win any of their first three matches, and it seems likely that this will happen again on Sunday against Real Madrid.

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Real Madrid vs Málaga Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Real Madrid
6 2 2 0 0 +4
16 Málaga
1 2 0 1 1 -2

Real Madrid and Málaga Latest Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 26, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Real Sociedad

Aug 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Aug 16, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Aug 12, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

La Coruna
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Ferencvarosi Budapest
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Madrid
2 :  2
Fiorentina
D W W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 26, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Real Sociedad

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Madrid
2 :  2
Fiorentina

May 23, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

May 14, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Real Oviedo

Apr 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Alavés

Apr 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Girona
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Aug 16, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Aug 12, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

La Coruna
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Ferencvarosi Budapest
1 :  2
Real Madrid

May 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  1
Real Madrid

May 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  0
Real Madrid
Málaga
Málaga Latest matches
D W L D L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Málaga
1 :  1
La Coruna

Aug 19, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Málaga

Aug 12, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Málaga
2 :  2
Fulham

Aug 7, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AD Ceuta
2 :  1
Málaga

Aug 6, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Málaga
4 :  2
Al-Arabi

Jul 30, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Málaga
2 :  2
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
D D D W D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Málaga
1 :  1
La Coruna

Aug 12, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Málaga
2 :  2
Fulham

Aug 6, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Málaga
4 :  2
Al-Arabi

Jul 30, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Málaga
2 :  2
Al-Ittihad Jeddah

Jul 25, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Málaga
3 :  3
Leicester

Jun 14, 2026 - LaLiga 2

Málaga
0 :  0
Almería
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 19, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Málaga

Aug 7, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AD Ceuta
2 :  1
Málaga

Jun 20, 2026 - LaLiga 2

Almería
1 :  2
Málaga

Jun 7, 2026 - LaLiga 2

Las Palmas
0 :  1
Málaga

May 31, 2026 - LaLiga 2

Zaragoza
0 :  2
Málaga

May 16, 2026 - LaLiga 2

AD Ceuta
1 :  4
Málaga

Real Madrid against Málaga : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

100 %

Draw

0 %

Málaga

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.25
Total goals
75%
BTTS
2.25
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5

Apr 15, 2018 - LaLiga

Málaga
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Nov 25, 2017 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Málaga

May 21, 2017 - LaLiga

Málaga
0 :  2
Real Madrid

Jan 21, 2017 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Málaga
Real Madrid vs Málaga Picks

Málaga v Real Madrid last Lineups

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
T. Courtois
24
D. Dumfries
16
I. Konate
4
D. Huijsen
18
A. Carreras
20
B. Silva
8
F. Valverde
15
A. Guler
5
J. Bellingham
7
Vinicius Junior
10
K. Mbappe
9
Chupete
8
C. Dotor
11
J. Munoz
22
D. Lorenzo
23
I. Merino
19
J. Cruz
31
Rafita
4
E. Galilea
15
A. Recio
3
C. Puga
1
A. Herrero

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Málaga

Substitutes

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

S. Mestre

A. Lunin

Defender

T. Alexander-Arnold

M. Rivas

A. Ruediger

M. Cucurella

Midfielder

J. Cestero

E. Camavinga

Forward

C. Espi

Y. Diomande

A. Ciria

B. Diaz

Málaga
Málaga
Goalkeeper

C. Lopez

Defender

A. Pastor

J. Salinas

Midfielder

R. Enriquez

P. Martinez

J. Otu

R. Rodriguez

Forward

D. Larrubia

J. Lobete

Juani

H. Abaida

E. Jauregi Escobar

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

F. Mendy

E. Militao

R. Asencio

Midfielder

A. Tchouameni

T. Pitarch Pinar

Forward

Rodrygo

Endrick

Málaga
Málaga
Defender

F. Calero

M. Diarra

D. Murillo

Midfielder

A. Ochoa

Forward

A. Nino

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Málaga
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain Chupete (1 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Bellingham (2 Assists)
Best assists

Real Madrid and Málaga Stats in LaLiga

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Málaga
Málaga
100%
Wins
0%
0%
Losses
50%
0%
Draws
50%
4
Average goals per match
2
3
Goals scored per match
0.5
1
Goals conceded per match
1.5
0%
Under 2.5 goals
100%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
0%
No goals conceded
0%
100%
Both score
50%

Real Madrid - Málaga Key Points

  1. Mbappé had 7 shots inside the penalty area in the previous match
  2. Real Madrid hasn't faced Málaga since 2018
  3. Málaga completed 90% of their attempted passes in the 0-0 draw against Real Sociedad
  4. Real Madrid registered 20 shots, 11 of which were on target against Real Sociedad
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Our Real Madrid vs Málaga Prediction

Real Madrid has a history of dominance against Málaga, having lost only once in 36 matches. Furthermore, at home, since the Ancelotti era, they have rarely struggled to defeat newly promoted teams at the Bernabéu; they have won the last nine times that has been the case.

Real Madrid had a spectacular second half against Real Sociedad; when they accelerated the ball with low passes, they effortlessly broke through the visitors' lines. Málaga will experience this firsthand on Sunday.

Our prediction for Real Madrid vs Malaga is: Real Madrid to win both halves.

Prediction:

 

Real Madrid to win both halves.

-110
$350 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.