Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Madrid
10/26/25 11:15
Barcelona

Prediction:

 

Draw and Kylian Mbappe to score

+550
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 by Simon Day in LaLiga Picks

One of the biggest fixtures in world football takes place at the Santiago Bernabéu on Sunday afternoon, as La Liga heavyweights Real Madrid and Barcelona clash in the first El Clásico of the season.

Barcelona have held the upper hand in recent contests against Madrid. Hansi Flick's side have won the last five El Clásico, including a sensational 4-3 victory in May that effectively secure the La Liga title for Barca. 

The overall head-to-head between the two teams also favors Barc, with May's victory meaning that they currently hold a 129-111 lead over Real. 

However, Real are currently leading the way in the La Liga standings, thanks to a sensational start to the campaign that has seen them win eight of their opening nine league fixtures. That excellent form has given them a two point advantage over Barca, as they look to regain the La Liga title from their bitter rivals. 

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Real Madrid vs Barcelona Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
24 9 8 0 1 11
2
Barcelona
Barcelona
22 9 7 1 1 14

Real Madrid and Barcelona Latest Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Juventus

Oct 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Getafe
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Oct 4, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Villarreal

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  5
Real Madrid

Sep 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
5 :  2
Real Madrid

Sep 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  4
Real Madrid
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Juventus

Oct 4, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Villarreal

Sep 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Espanyol

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Marseille

Aug 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Mallorca

Aug 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Osasuna
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Getafe
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  5
Real Madrid

Sep 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
5 :  2
Real Madrid

Sep 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  4
Real Madrid

Sep 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Aug 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  3
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Barcelona Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
6 :  1
Olympiacos

Oct 18, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  1
Girona

Oct 5, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
4 :  1
Barcelona

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
1 :  2
PSG

Sep 28, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  1
Real Sociedad

Sep 25, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  3
Barcelona
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
6 :  1
Olympiacos

Oct 18, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  1
Girona

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
1 :  2
PSG

Sep 28, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  1
Real Sociedad

Sep 21, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  0
Getafe

Sep 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
6 :  0
Valencia
W W D W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
4 :  1
Barcelona

Sep 25, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  3
Barcelona

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Barcelona

Aug 31, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Barcelona

Aug 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
2 :  3
Barcelona

Aug 16, 2025 - LaLiga

Mallorca
0 :  3
Barcelona

Real Madrid against Barcelona : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

17 %

Draw

0 %

Barcelona

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

5.17
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
3.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

May 11, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  3
Real Madrid

Apr 26, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
3 :  2
Real Madrid

Jan 12, 2025 - Spanish Super Cup

Real Madrid
2 :  5
Barcelona

Oct 26, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
0 :  4
Barcelona

Aug 3, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Barcelona
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Apr 21, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Barcelona
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Real Madrid - Barcelona: Form Analysis

Madrid's 1-0 victory over Juventus on Wednesday night means that Xabi Alonso's men have won 11 of their 12 fixtures in all competitions this season. Remarkably, French striker Kylian Mbappe has scored 15 goals in those 12 games, including 10 in his nine La Liga appearances.

At the other end of the pitch, Thibaut Courtois has been in fine form between the sticks, whilst the likes of Raul Ascensio and Eder Militao are enjoying fine seasons in defence. 

Goals galore for Barca

Whilst Real's goalscoring record is largely down to one man, Barca have had 11 separate goalscorers already this season.

Forwards Ferran Torres and Robert Lewandowski are leading the way with four La Liga goals each, but the likes of Marcus Rashford, Fermin Lopez, Dani Olmo and Lamine Yamal have also started the season in fantastic form. 

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Barcelona v Real Madrid last Lineups

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
T. Courtois
8
F. Valverde
3
E. Militao
17
R. Asencio
18
A. Carreras
21
B. Diaz
14
A. Tchouameni
15
A. Guler
7
Vinicius Junior
5
J. Bellingham
10
K. Mbappe
14
M. Rashford
16
F. Lopez
27
D. Fernandez
10
L. Yamal
8
Pedri
17
M. Casado
3
A. Balde
24
E. Garcia
5
P. Cubarsi
23
J. Kounde
25
W. Szczesny

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Barcelona

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

A. Rudiger

D. Huijsen

R. Asencio

D. Alaba

Midfielder

D. Ceballos

Barcelona
Barcelona
Goalkeeper

M. ter Stegen

J. Garcia

Midfielder

Gavi

D. Olmo

Forward

R. Lewandowski

Real Madrid & Barcelona Squad Analysis

Real boss Xabi Alonso will be buoyed by the news that Dean Huijsen and Dani Ceballos are both expected to be fit for Sunday's game, after missing recent fixtures with minor injuries. However, Antonio Rudiger, Trent Alexander-Arnold and Dani Carvajal are still out with long term injuries, so Alonso will have to once again field a below full-strength backline. 

Long injury list for Barca

Barca keeper Marc-Andre Ter Stegen remains on the sidelines with a back injury, so Polish veteran Wojciech Szczęsny will continue in goal. Forwards Robert Lewandowski and Dani Olmo will also miss the game, but Hansi Flick is confident that centre back Andreas Christensen and midfielder Frenkie de Jong will be fit enough for at least a place on the Barca bench. Unfortunately, Sunday's game comes too soon for key winger Raphinha, who is still recovering from a minor hamstring strain. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Barcelona
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England M. Rashford (5 Goals) Spain F. Lopez (5 Goals) Spain F. Torres (5 Goals)
Best assists
Turkey A. Guler (5 Assists)
Best assists
England M. Rashford (5 Assists)
Spain L. Yamal (5 Assists)

Real Madrid and Barcelona Stats in LaLiga

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Barcelona
89%
Victories
78%
0%
Draw
11%
11%
Defeats
11%
3.22
Total goals per match
3.78
2.22
Goals scored per match
2.67
1
Goals conceded per match
1.11
67%
Over 2.5
89%
33%
Under 2.5
11%
56%
BTTS
67%
44%
No goals conceded
33%

Real Madrid - Barcelona Key Points

  1. The last 6 El Clásicos have produced 33 goals
  2. Kylian Mbappe has scored 15 goals in 12 games this season.
  3. Kylian Mbappe has scored in 8 of his 9 La Liga matches this season
  4. Both teams have scored in Barca's last 6 games
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Our Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction

We seriously cannot wait for this game. Both Real and Barca have started the season in spectacular form, so we are expecting Sunday's game to be an absolute barnburner. 

As for picking a winner...we cannot separate the two teams. Real clearly have the trump card in Kylian Mbappe, but Barca's team is choc full of world class talent and we cannot back against them. 

Because of those factors, we are going to sit on the fence and predict a score draw, with Mbappe finding the net for Real. 

Our prediction for Real Madrid vs Barcelona is: Draw and Kylian Mbappe to score.

Prediction:

 

Draw and Kylian Mbappe to score

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Real Madrid vs Barcelona - Other Interesting Picks

Over 4.5 goals

Odds +165
With the likes of Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior, Lamine Yamal, Ferran Torres and Marcus Rashford on the field, it seems inevitable that Sunday's game will feature plenty of goals. 2.65 is a very short price for over 4.5 goals in a game, but given the likely lineups on Sunday, we think it is a solid bet.
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Real Madrid vs Barcelona match : Frequently asked questions

The Real Madrid vs Barcelona game kicks off at 16:15 CET on Sunday October 26th.
The Real Madrid vs Barcelona game is taking place at the Stadio Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Real Madrid vs Barcelona Picks