Spain - LaLiga
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by Erik Gibbs in LaLiga Picks
Real Madrid host Athletic Bilbao at the Santiago Bernabéu on Sunday in a key La Liga matchup, with both sides fighting for important points in the race for European qualification. Madrid, currently second in the standings, sit four points behind leaders Barcelona, while Bilbao occupy fourth place with 57 points—nine fewer than their hosts.
Carlo Ancelotti’s side has been struggling for form lately, having managed just one win from their last five games across all competitions. They did edge out Deportivo Alavés in their last league match, with Eduardo Camavinga scoring the decisive goal. However, any momentum from that win was short-lived. Madrid crashed out of the UEFA Champions League midweek following a 2-1 home loss to Arsenal in the second leg of the quarterfinals. Over the two legs, Madrid could only manage one goal—scored by Vinicius Junior—while conceding five.
Athletic Bilbao arrive in better shape and will be eyeing a league double over Madrid after winning the reverse fixture earlier in the season. The Basque club is keen to maintain its position in the top four and secure Champions League qualification, making this clash especially significant. Oihan Sancet, who netted twice in their most recent league outing, is pushing for a place in the starting eleven, while defender Yuri Berchiche remains sidelined due to injury.
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Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
72 | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 35 |
|
4
|
60 | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 24 |
Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 16, 2025 - Champions League
Apr 13, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 8, 2025 - Champions League
Apr 5, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 1, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Mar 29, 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 16, 2025 - Champions League
Apr 5, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 1, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Mar 29, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 13, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 8, 2025 - Champions League
Mar 15, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League
Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 26, 2025 - Copa del Rey
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 17, 2025 - Europa League
Apr 13, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 10, 2025 - Europa League
Apr 6, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 30, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 17, 2025 - Europa League
Apr 13, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 30, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 13, 2025 - Europa League
Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 23, 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 10, 2025 - Europa League
Apr 6, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 6, 2025 - Europa League
Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 16, 2025 - LaLiga
Real Madrid against Athletic Bilbao : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Dec 4, 2024 - LaLiga
Mar 31, 2024 - LaLiga
Aug 12, 2023 - LaLiga
Jun 4, 2023 - LaLiga
Jan 22, 2023 - LaLiga
Feb 3, 2022 - Copa del Rey
Real Madrid against Athletic Bilbao Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
E. Militao
D. Carvajal
F. Mendy
ForwardK. Mbappe
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
K. Mbappe
(29 Goals)
O. Sancet
(17 Goals)
J. Bellingham
(9 Assists)
I. Williams
(10 Assists)
,
A. Berenguer
(10 Assists)
Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Real Madrid have beaten Bilbao in 37 of their last 54 games
- Bilbao haven' lost in their last 8 games across all competitions
- Real Madrid are 12-0 at halftime vs. Bilbao in LaLiga games
- The last 6 Bilbao games have seen a draw at halftime across all competitions
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Our Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
Madrid will be without their top scorer, Kylian Mbappé, who is suspended for this game. In his absence, Brahim Diaz is expected to return to the starting lineup. Eduardo Camavinga is available again after serving a suspension in the Champions League and should be in the midfield setup.
Historically, Madrid have a strong home record against Bilbao and will be aiming to avoid back-to-back disappointments in front of their fans. Despite recent struggles, they remain tough to beat at the Bernabéu. Bilbao, though, have shown resilience and will see Mbappé’s absence as an opportunity to capitalize.
Given Madrid’s inconsistency and Bilbao’s recent form, a tight contest is likely. With both teams having something to play for and key players missing or returning, a draw looks to be a plausible outcome in what promises to be a competitive, high-stakes encounter. Our prediction for Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao: Real Madrid to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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