Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2/28/26 08:00
Athletic Bilbao

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Goals

+138
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 by Mikaella McIntosh | in LaLiga Picks

The final day of February consists of four LaLiga fixtures, the first being Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao. This meeting will take place in the Spanish capital at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.

Both sides have improved as of late, after fairly substandard performances, especially in regard to the visiting team. Bilbao have won four out of their last five in the league and cup, whilst Rayo have avoided defeat in their last two despite facing two of the top five, one being away from home. 

As a result, the hosts managed to leap right out of the bottom three, where they were in dangerous territory for a short while. However, the bottom half of the table is very congested, and in reality there are only five points separating 11th and the drop. All teams in this region must continue to battle for their safety in the premier division.

Athletic Club are grappling for their place in the top six, slowly but surely, now residing in 8th place and just three points away from 6th. This will be an interesting battle between two teams fighting for rather different outcomes.

Up to $200 to bet on Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao! 

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Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 Rayo Vallecano
50 38 12 14 12 -3
12 Athletic Bilbao
45 38 13 6 19 -15

Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao Latest Matches

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano Latest matches
L L L L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Feb 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  3
Osasuna

Jan 18, 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
3 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 14, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Alavés
2 :  0
Rayo Vallecano
D W D W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  3
Osasuna

Jan 11, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  1
Mallorca

Jan 2, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Getafe

Dec 18, 2025 - Conference League

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  0
FC Drita

Dec 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  0
Betis
L W L L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 18, 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
3 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 14, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Alavés
2 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 6, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Granada
1 :  3
Rayo Vallecano

Dec 21, 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
4 :  0
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao Latest matches
D W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 20, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
2 :  1
Elche

Feb 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Feb 11, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Real Sociedad

Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
4 :  2
Levante

Feb 4, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Valencia
1 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  1
Real Sociedad
L L D W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 20, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
2 :  1
Elche

Feb 11, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Real Sociedad

Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
4 :  2
Levante

Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  1
Real Sociedad

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
2 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

Dec 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  2
Espanyol
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Feb 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Feb 4, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Valencia
1 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  3
Athletic Bilbao

Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Mallorca
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Jan 13, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Cultural Leonesa
3 :  4
Athletic Bilbao

Rayo Vallecano against Athletic Bilbao : Head to Head (H2H)

Rayo Vallecano

0 %

Draw

17 %

Athletic Bilbao

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.33
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Aug 25, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Apr 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Dec 1, 2024 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

May 25, 2024 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Dec 2, 2023 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
4 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Mar 5, 2023 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Rayo Vallecano against Athletic Bilbao Lineups: Starting 11

Rayo Vallecano

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

13
A. Batalla
2
A. Ratiu
24
F. Lejeune
32
N. Mendy
22
A. Espino
7
I. Palazon
6
P. Ciss
15
G. Gumbau
12
I. Akhomach
19
J. De Frutos
18
A. Garcia
11
G. Guruzeta
20
U. Gomez
8
O. Sancet
9
I. Williams
18
M. Jauregizar
16
I. Ruiz De Galarreta
17
Y. Berchiche
14
A. Laporte
3
D. Vivian
12
J. Areso
1
U. Simon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Athletic Bilbao

Substitutes

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Goalkeeper

D. Cardenas

Defender

L. Felipe

P. Chavarria

I. Balliu

Midfielder

O. Valentin

N. Mendy 61'

P. Díaz

I. Palazon 70'

F. Perez

A. Garcia 61'

U. Lopez

G. Gumbau 61'

Forward

Alemao

I. Akhomach 86'

R. Nteka

C. Martin

O. Trejo

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
Goalkeeper

A. Padilla

Defender

A. Boiro

A. Paredes

I. Lekue

A. Gorosabel

J. Areso 73'

Midfielder

S. Sanchez Camilo

O. Sancet 87'

A. Rego Mora

I. Ruiz De Galarreta 59'

M. Vesga

M. Jauregizar 86'

Forward

R. Navarro

N. Serrano

U. Izeta

A. Berenguer

U. Gomez 46'

Missing players

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Midfielder

D. Mendez

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
Defender

Y. Alvarez

U. Egiluz

Midfielder

B. Prados

Forward

N. Williams

M. Sannadi

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Rayo Vallecano
CD Huachipato Athletic Bilbao
Top Goalscorer
Spain J. De Frutos (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain G. Guruzeta (10 Goals)
Best assists
Spain A. Garcia (5 Assists)
Best assists
Spain Y. Berchiche (6 Assists)
Ghana I. Williams (6 Assists)

Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao Key Points

  1. Rayo Vallecano have scored in six out of their last seven LaLiga games.
  2. Rayo have scored ten goals in their last five home matches.
  3. Bilbao haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last 14 games in a row.
  4. In all competitions, Bilbao have produced 14 goals in their last six on the road.
Up to $200 to bet on Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

It’s hard for me to believe that the early odds aren’t priced in our favor seeing how both teams are starting to come back into form. Both teams are scoring regularly in recent games, but not only that, they still haven’t mastered their defensive approaches either.

In all competitions, Peréz’s men have conceded in eight out of their last nine games, five of which allowing more than one goal. Solely on home soil, four out of Vallecano’s last five have observed three or more goals scored. 

Now moving onto the visiting team, who have been involved in very open games lately. All of their last 14 have recorded goals conceded, eight being more than one goal, as well as scoring a lot recently too. Consequently, ten out of their last 12 have finished with more than two goals hitting the net.

Our Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Pick: Over 2.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Goals

+138
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Picks