Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizuki Prediction & Picks - ATP Wimbledon Championships
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Wimbledon Championships Picks
Fresh off a battle with a former Wimbledon Open semifinalist, Rafael Jodar takes his act into the third round, where he’s an intriguing pick to deliver a sweep over Shintaro Mochizuki.
Current Form:
Rafael Jodar is on the verge of another deep run in a grand slam tournament. The Spanish rising star reached the third round of the 2026 Wimbledon Open for the first time after escaping with a five-set win over Pablo Carreno Busta 3-6, 6-3, 1-6, 6-3, 6-4. Fresh off a quarterfinal at Roland Garros, the 19-year-old Jodar can move one closer to another final eight appearance in a major tournament if he overcomes the streaking Shintaro Mochizuki.
Mochizuki swept his first two assignments in the main draw, extending his winning streak to five matches at Wimbledon. The Japanese qualifier posted straightforward wins over British qualifier Max Basing, 6-3, 6-0, 6-0, and American Ethan Quinn, 6-2, 7-6, 7-5.
Matchup: Mochizuki and Jodar will play for the first time on the ATP Tour. Jodar comes out of the gates as the favorite after turning heads with incredible results in several clay-court tournaments and now in the prestigious grass-court event at the All-England Club.
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Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizuki Form
Rafael Jodar and Shintaro Mochizuki Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jul 1, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 29, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 2, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 31, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 29, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 27, 2026 - ATP French Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jul 1, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 29, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 25, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 24, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 22, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 6, 2026 - ATP Libema Open
Rafael Jodar - Shintaro Mochizuki Key Points
- Rafael Jodar is winning 77.7 percent of his first serves at the 2026 Wimbledon Open.
- Rafael Jodar is 19-1 vs. players outside the top-100 in 2026.
- Shintaro Mochizuki is 5-14 vs. top-50 players.
- Shintaro Mochizuki is 38-34 in second-round matches.
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Our Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizuki Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Rafael Jodar overwhelms Shintaro Mochizuki 6-4, 6-4, 7-6
The Difference-Maker: Mochizuki has never faced a top-30 calibre player en route to a third-round appearance at Wimbledon. The best player he defeated in this tournament so far was the 47th-ranked Ethan Quinn. The teenager Jodar is in a different class from Mochizuki. Jodar’s ability to generate devastating serves along with his prolific 1-2 combo will put a lot of pressure on Mochizuki, who has five wins in 19 matches against top-50 players.
The Bet: The uber-talented Jodar will roll over Mochizuki, making the Spaniard a tantalizing pick at +150 to win in 3-0 sets.
Our betting prediction for Rafael Jodar vs. Shintaro Mochizuki: Rafael Jodar 3-0 Sets
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.