Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Picks - ATP Shanghai Masters
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Shanghai Masters Picks
Daniil Medvedev comes out as a valuable target at +135 to win in straight sets against Jodar, who has overcome four consecutive three-set matches in Shanghai.
Current Form:
Daniil Medvedev outlasted Tommy Paul 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 to keep his title bid alive in Shanghai. Medvedev, who won the title at Hangzhou and reached the semifinals of the 2026 China Open, is 11-1 in the 2026 Asian swing of the ATP Tour.
Rafael Jodar booked his second ATP 1000 hard-court semifinal with a 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 win over Casper Ruud. Jodar has now survived four consecutive three-set matches, logging 9 hours and 35 minutes on the court.
The Matchup: This marks the first meeting between Jodar and Medvedev on the ATP Tour.
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Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Form
Rafael Jodar and Daniil Medvedev Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 16, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 14, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 12, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 10, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 1, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Sep 19, 2026 - Davis Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Oct 16, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 14, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 12, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 10, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 4, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Oct 3, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Rafael Jodar - Daniil Medvedev Key Points
- Rafael Jodar has spent 9 hours and 35 minutes on court in Shanghai
- Rafael Jódar is 1-5 vs. top-10 players in 2026
- Daniil Medvedev is 11-1 in his last 12 matches
- Daniil Medvedev is winning 81.1 percent of his first-serve points at the 2026 Shanghai Masters
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Our Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction
The Difference Maker: Aside from logging 3 fewer hours on the court in Shanghai, Medvedev is winning 81.4 percent of his first serves and has only dropped 6 service games across 4 matches.
Jodar is only winning 70.1 percent of his first serves in Shanghai and has converted only 13 of 34 break points. The Spaniard is also 1-5 against the top-10 players in 2026.
What to Expect: Medvedev sweeps Jodar to reach the Shanghai Masters finals. Medvedev has too much experience, weapons, and momentum at this level, even against the talented Jodar. Furthermore, Medvedev enters the match a lot fresher than the battle-weary Jodar, who has survived a battery of four consecutive three-set matches.
Relying on his unbreakable serve, Medvedev gets off to a fast start before blowing by Jodar in the second set to win in straight sets.
Fearless Forecast: Daniil Medvedev wins 6-4, 6-3
Our betting prediction for Daniil Medvedev vs. Rafael Jodar: Daniil Medvedev 2-0 Sets
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
