Queretaro vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Queretaro
8/21/26 23:10
Deportivo Toluca FC

Prediction:

 

Draw

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 by Edgar Jibran | in Liga MX Picks

The last game on this Friday night’s Liga MX schedule will feature a clash between Querétaro and Toluca, two of the league's strongest sides. In this regard, it’s worth noting that it isn’t usual to find Querétaro in the top 8 of the standings, but it’s a fact that its head coach has done an amazing job of finding a way to strengthen their collective performance.

Still, Querétaro needs to improve its defense, as it conceded at least one goal in three of its four Liga MX games. Furthermore, they cannot forget that they lost a two-goal advantage in their last home game against Tigres, so repeating the same mistakes against Toluca won’t give them a chance to react in time and avoid losing.

On Toluca’s side, the team has stayed competitive despite Marcel Ruíz and Paulinho’s injuries, thanks to the roster's adaptability and Antonio Mohamed’s strategies. With this in mind, Jorge Díaz and Federico Viñas are expected to carry on leading the offense, but there’s still no confirmation regarding Luis García, who faced an injury in their last 0-0 draw against Atlante.

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Queretaro vs Deportivo Toluca FC Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Deportivo Toluca FC
7 4 2 1 1 +3
8 Queretaro
7 4 2 1 1 +1

Queretaro and Deportivo Toluca FC Latest Matches

Queretaro
Queretaro Latest matches
W W L L D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 16, 2026 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
0 :  0
Queretaro

Aug 12, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Los Angeles FC
1 :  1
Queretaro

Aug 9, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Seattle Sounders
3 :  0
Queretaro

Aug 5, 2026 - Leagues Cup

FC Dallas
2 :  0
Queretaro

Aug 1, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
3 :  2
Tigres UANL

Jul 26, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
1 :  2
Queretaro
W D W D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Aug 1, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
3 :  2
Tigres UANL

Jul 18, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
0 :  1
CF America

Apr 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
1 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Apr 11, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
3 :  1
Club Necaxa

Apr 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
1 :  1
FC Juarez

Apr 4, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC
W W L L D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 16, 2026 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
0 :  0
Queretaro

Aug 12, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Los Angeles FC
1 :  1
Queretaro

Aug 9, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Seattle Sounders
3 :  0
Queretaro

Aug 5, 2026 - Leagues Cup

FC Dallas
2 :  0
Queretaro

Jul 26, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
1 :  2
Queretaro

Apr 24, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  2
Queretaro
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
L W W L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 15, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlante
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 12, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
FC Dallas

Aug 8, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  1
Los Angeles FC

Aug 5, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  0
Seattle Sounders

Aug 2, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Club Necaxa

Jul 25, 2026 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  3
CF Cruz Azul
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 12, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
FC Dallas

Aug 8, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  1
Los Angeles FC

Aug 5, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  0
Seattle Sounders

Aug 2, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Club Necaxa

Jul 25, 2026 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  3
CF Cruz Azul

Jul 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  2
Pumas UNAM
L L L L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 15, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlante
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jul 18, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

May 10, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
2 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 29, 2026 - Concachampions

Los Angeles FC
2 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 22, 2026 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
4 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 18, 2026 - Liga MX

CF America
2 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Queretaro against Deportivo Toluca FC : Head to Head (H2H)

Queretaro

17 %

Draw

17 %

Deportivo Toluca FC

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
2.5
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Apr 4, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 18, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  0
Queretaro

Feb 26, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
5 :  0
Queretaro

Oct 18, 2024 - Liga MX

Queretaro
0 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 12, 2024 - Liga MX

Queretaro
2 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 8, 2023 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Queretaro
Queretaro vs Deportivo Toluca FC Picks

Deportivo Toluca FC v Queretaro last Lineups

Queretaro

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

25
G. Allison Revuelta
24
B. Duarte
13
D. Reyes
2
L. Abascia
27
D. Parra
4
C. Adriano
5
S. Homenchenko
16
E. Gimenez
20
A. Alcala
12
P. Victor
9
A. Avila
16
F. Vinas
17
B. Garcia
35
E. Gutierrez
10
R. Angulo
29
J. Diaz
5
F. Romero
2
D. Zaragoza
25
E. del Villar
6
F. Pereira
4
B. Mendez
22
L. Garcia

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Deportivo Toluca FC

Substitutes

Queretaro
Queretaro
Goalkeeper

J. Hernandez

Midfielder

S. Garcia Brothers

E. Duenas

M. Martinez

B. Parra

J. Arellano

J. Cazares

Forward

J. Unjanque

E. Perez Reyes

W. Madrid

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Goalkeeper

H. Gonzalez Duran

Defender

L. Navarrete

A. Briseno

Luan

Midfielder

S. Aceves

V. Guzman

F. Arce

Forward

O. Virgen

P. Perez

Helinho

Missing players

Queretaro
Queretaro
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Midfielder

M. Ruiz

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Queretaro
CD Huachipato Deportivo Toluca FC
Top Goalscorer
Mexico A. Avila (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Mexico J. Gallardo (1 Goals) ,  Mexico A. Vega (1 Goals) ,  Mexico E. Lopez (1 Goals) ,  Mexico J. Diaz (1 Goals) ,  Mexico E. del Villar (1 Goals)
Best assists
Uruguay S. Homenchenko (1 Assists) , 
Colombia B. Duarte (1 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Helinho (2 Assists)

Queretaro and Deportivo Toluca FC Stats in Liga MX

Queretaro
Queretaro
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
50%
Wins
50%
25%
Losses
25%
25%
Draws
25%
2.25
Average goals per match
2.25
1.25
Goals scored per match
1.5
1
Goals conceded per match
0.75
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
25%
No goals conceded
50%
50%
Both score
50%

Queretaro - Deportivo Toluca FC Key Points

  1. Querétaro has scored at least one goal in eight of its last ten home games, and they've lost only two.
  2. Toluca has won only two of its last ten road games; however, it didn’t concede any goals in its last two road games against Guadalajara and Atlante.
  3. Querétaro couldn’t score more than one goal in four of its last five home meetings against Toluca.
  4. Toluca won only one of its last five road meetings against Querétaro, and they couldn’t score more than one goal since their 2-2 draw in January 2024.
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Our Queretaro vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction

Given these factors, although the odds suggest a higher chance of Toluca winning, they aren’t expected to dominate offensively because Querétaro has built a strong collective block this season.

In conclusion, even though Toluca has been one of the best teams in Liga MX in recent seasons, they have always struggled to score at Corregidora Stadium. Therefore, the pick for Querétaro FC – Deportivo Toluca FC is: Draw!

Prediction:

 

Draw

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.