Pumas UNAM vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
3/3/26 22:10
Deportivo Toluca FC

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals.

-105
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 by Stephen Abiola | in Liga MX Picks

Pumas UNAM will host Deportivo Toluca on Tuesday night at Estadio Olimpico Universitario in a Clausura matchup. The hosts have enjoyed a strong start to the season, having avoided defeat in their eight assignments. They’ve picked up four wins so far, although their latest assignment ended in a 1-1 draw on the road to Club Tijuana. It was a dominant performance by Club Tijuana, who had 71% ball possession and 14 shots. They’ll want to be more clinical on Tuesday.

Like Pumas UNAM, Deportivo Toluca FC have also been exceptional this season. Antonio Mohamed’s men are yet to taste defeat this season, having won five of their eight assignments. In their latest game, Toluca defeated the third-placed Guadalajara 2-0 at home thanks to first-half goals from Jesus Gallardo and Jorge Diaz. Toluca looked sharp in this assignment, recording 9 shots with six of them hitting the target. They’ve been exciting to watch this season.

Pumas UNAM vs Deportivo Toluca FC Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Pumas UNAM
36 17 10 6 1 +17
5 Deportivo Toluca FC
30 17 8 6 3 +12

Pumas UNAM and Deportivo Toluca FC Latest Matches

Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM Latest matches
L D W W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 27, 2026 - Liga MX

Tijuana
1 :  1
Pumas UNAM

Feb 22, 2026 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
2 :  0
Monterrey

Feb 13, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
2 :  3
Pumas UNAM

Feb 10, 2026 - Concachampions

Pumas UNAM
1 :  0
San Diego FC

Feb 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
2 :  2
Pumas UNAM

Feb 3, 2026 - Concachampions

San Diego FC
4 :  1
Pumas UNAM
W D D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Feb 22, 2026 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
2 :  0
Monterrey

Feb 10, 2026 - Concachampions

Pumas UNAM
1 :  0
San Diego FC

Jan 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
4 :  0
Club Santos Laguna

Jan 18, 2026 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
1 :  1
Club Leon

Jan 11, 2026 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
1 :  1
Queretaro

Nov 2, 2025 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
4 :  1
Tijuana
L W L D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 27, 2026 - Liga MX

Tijuana
1 :  1
Pumas UNAM

Feb 13, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
2 :  3
Pumas UNAM

Feb 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
2 :  2
Pumas UNAM

Feb 3, 2026 - Concachampions

San Diego FC
4 :  1
Pumas UNAM

Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
0 :  1
Pumas UNAM

Nov 20, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
3 :  1
Pumas UNAM
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
D D D W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Chivas

Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Feb 13, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  0
Tijuana

Feb 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Jan 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Chivas

Feb 13, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  0
Tijuana

Feb 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Club Santos Laguna

Dec 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
Tigres UANL

Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  2
Monterrey
L L W D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 10, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
0 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Dec 11, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Pumas UNAM against Deportivo Toluca FC : Head to Head (H2H)

Pumas UNAM

17 %

Draw

67 %

Deportivo Toluca FC

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
Pumas UNAM

Jan 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
1 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 5, 2024 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
Pumas UNAM

Mar 17, 2024 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  0
Pumas UNAM

Aug 18, 2023 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
1 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 16, 2023 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
3 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC
Pumas UNAM vs Deportivo Toluca FC Picks

Pumas UNAM against Deportivo Toluca FC Lineups: Starting 11

Pumas UNAM

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
K. Navas
7
R. Lopez
6
N. Silva
215
A. Azuaje
77
A. Angulo
22
A. Medina
28
A. Carrasquilla
45
P. Vite
33
J. Carrillo
31
R. Morales
23
Juninho
26
Paulinho
29
J. Diaz
10
R. Angulo
15
P. Perez
13
Luan
5
F. Romero
20
J. Gallardo
6
F. Pereira
4
B. Mendez
2
D. Barbosa
1
H. Gonzalez Duran

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Deportivo Toluca FC

Substitutes

Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM
Goalkeeper

M. Paul

Defender

R. Duarte

P. Vite 90'

T. Leone

J. Rivas

P. Bennevendo

Midfielder

J. Caicedo

D. Ramirez

C. Garza

A. Azuaje 90'

Forward

U. Antuna

J. Carrillo 57'

G. Martinez

A. Medina 75'

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Goalkeeper

L. Garcia

Defender

M. Isais

A. Briseno

R. Angulo 82'

Midfielder

N. Castro

J. Diaz 77'

F. Arce

F. Pumpido

F. Cordova

Forward

Helinho

Luan 64'

O. Virgen

F. Rossi

Missing players

Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM
Forward

J. Macias

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Pumas UNAM
CD Huachipato Deportivo Toluca FC
Top Goalscorer
Paraguay R. Morales (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Paulinho (6 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico A. Medina (4 Assists)
Brazil Juninho (4 Assists)
Best assists
Mexico J. Gallardo (4 Assists)

Pumas UNAM - Deportivo Toluca FC Key Points

  1. The total goals went under 2.5 in five of the last six Deportivo Toluca matches.
  2. The total goals went under 2.5 in four of the last five Pumas UNAM home games.
  3. The total goals went under 2.5 in four of the last five Pumas UNAM vs Toluca clashes.
  4. Both teams scored in seven of the last eight Pumas UNAM vs Toluca matches.

Our Pumas UNAM vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction

Toluca is the exciting -121 betting favorite. They’ve been in red-hot form, scoring first in their last four matches while winning on three occasions. The visitors also won three of their previous four first halves, and have conceded just 2 goals. However, Pumas UNAM boasts one of the most efficient attacks, having scored 15 goals so far. That’s the joint-highest record alongside the table-topping Cruz Azul. The home side also has the head-to-head record on their side, losing just once to Toluca in their last 10 meetings. Efrain Juarez’s side will want to avoid dropping points for the second straight game. Sadly, I see the visitors forcing a 1-1 draw.

Our prediction for Pumas UNAM vs Deportivo Toluca FC: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals.

-105
$1000 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.