Puebla vs Chivas Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Puebla
9/27/25 19:00
Chivas

Prediction:

 

Chivas wins

+110
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 by Carlos Zabala | in Liga MX Picks

On Friday night, almost at midnight, Puebla will be playing Guadalajara at the Cuauhtémoc Stadium in the 11th round of the Liga MX. The betting experts are listing Chivas as the favorite, although the bookmakers don't give them an implied probability of more than 50% to win; the odds for a Chivas victory are +110.

Chivas had been putting together a decent season of dangerous plays, but most of them usually don't end in goals. At least, that was true until they finally had a clear game against Necaxa, in which Chivas, with five shots, scored three goals through González, Sandoval, and Inda. They got that much-needed victory that leaves them on the verge of the play-in, one point behind León.

Before the match against Necaxa, Chivas faced the heavyweight and current dominator of Mexican soccer, Toluca. The Red Devils took advantage of Chivas' poor breaks, and three of Toluca's two goals came from counterattacks.

Meanwhile, Puebla drew 2-2 against Pachuca in the penultimate matchday; it has been a one-win tournament for them so far.

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Puebla vs Chivas Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Chivas
Chivas
29 17 9 2 6 7
18
Puebla
Puebla
12 17 3 3 11 -21

Puebla and Chivas Latest Matches

Puebla
Puebla Latest matches
D D L L L D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 23, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
2 :  2
CF Pachuca

Sep 19, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
1 :  0
Puebla

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Puebla

Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
2 :  4
Monterrey

Aug 24, 2025 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
0 :  0
Puebla

Aug 20, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Seattle Sounders
0 :  0
Puebla
L L W L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 23, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
2 :  2
CF Pachuca

Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
2 :  4
Monterrey

Aug 15, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  2
Atletico San Luis

Jul 25, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  0
Club Santos Laguna

Jul 11, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
2 :  3
Atlas FC

Apr 18, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  1
Club Necaxa
W L D D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 19, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
1 :  0
Puebla

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Puebla

Aug 24, 2025 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
0 :  0
Puebla

Aug 20, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Seattle Sounders
0 :  0
Puebla

Aug 8, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
7 :  0
Puebla

Aug 5, 2025 - Leagues Cup

CF Montreal
1 :  2
Puebla
Chivas
Chivas Latest matches
D L W D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 23, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
3 :  1
Club Necaxa

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  0
Tigres UANL

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX

CF America
1 :  2
Chivas

Aug 30, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
1 :  2
CF Cruz Azul

Aug 22, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
3 :  3
Chivas
D L L D L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 23, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
3 :  1
Club Necaxa

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  0
Tigres UANL

Aug 30, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
1 :  2
CF Cruz Azul

Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
1 :  2
FC Juarez

Aug 3, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Chivas
2 :  2
Charlotte FC
W L W L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX

CF America
1 :  2
Chivas

Aug 22, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
3 :  3
Chivas

Aug 10, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Santos Laguna
1 :  0
Chivas

Aug 7, 2025 - Leagues Cup

FC Cincinnati
1 :  2
Chivas

Jul 19, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
1 :  0
Chivas

Jul 5, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Club Necaxa
2 :  3
Chivas

Puebla against Chivas : Head to Head (H2H)

Puebla

33 %

Draw

17 %

Chivas

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
33%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
17%
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5

Apr 15, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
1 :  0
Puebla

Oct 25, 2024 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  0
Chivas

Apr 6, 2024 - Liga MX

Chivas
3 :  2
Puebla

Oct 20, 2023 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  2
Chivas

Mar 10, 2023 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  0
Chivas

Oct 9, 2022 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  1
Chivas
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Puebla against Chivas Lineups: Starting 11

Puebla

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
J. Gonzalez
8
M. Ramirez
2
J. Fedorco
6
N. Diaz
7
F. Monarrez
21
O. Gonzalez
18
A. Gamarra
24
A. Organista
11
E. Gomez
19
R. Marin
10
R. Castillo
226
S. Sandoval Gonzalez
34
A. Gonzalez
10
E. Alvarez
37
R. Ledezma
19
D. Campillo Del Campo
28
R. Gonzalez
6
O. Govea
5
B. Gonzalez
17
L. Romo
21
J. Castillo
1
R. Rangel

Formation : 3 - 1 - 4 - 2

Chivas

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Puebla
CD Huachipato Chivas
Top Goalscorer
Uruguay E. Gomez (8 Goals)
Mexico R. Marin (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Mexico A. Gonzalez (13 Goals)
Best assists
Uruguay E. Gomez (4 Assists)
Best assists
Mexico R. Alvarado (5 Assists)

Puebla - Chivas Key Points

  1. Puebla is one of two teams yet to score 10 goals this season
  2. Puebla generated an xG of 0.37, but scored twice in the last draw against Pachuca
  3. 1-0 was the final score of the last two Chivas vs. Puebla matches
  4. Armando González, Chivas' top scorer this season with 5 goals
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Our Puebla vs Chivas Prediction

For now, Chivas seems to finally find its goal-scoring man, forward Armando González, a promising 22-year-old Mexican who, after two somewhat lackluster matches against Tigres and Toluca, performed well against Necaxa.

Chivas, so far, has struggled against mid-table teams. Although they also lost an unusual match in Torreón against Santos Laguna, the truth is that Chivas has managed to dominate teams at the bottom of the table: they beat San Luis 4-3, in the Leagues Cup they defeated Charlotte, and now they beat Necaxa.

Our prediction for Chivas vs Puebla is: Chivas to win.

Prediction:

 

Chivas wins

+110
$150 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Puebla vs Chivas Picks