Mexico - Liga MX
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by Carlos Zabala in Liga MX Picks
On Friday night, almost at midnight, Puebla will be playing Guadalajara at the Cuauhtémoc Stadium in the 11th round of the Liga MX. The betting experts are listing Chivas as the favorite, although the bookmakers don't give them an implied probability of more than 50% to win; the odds for a Chivas victory are +110.
Chivas had been putting together a decent season of dangerous plays, but most of them usually don't end in goals. At least, that was true until they finally had a clear game against Necaxa, in which Chivas, with five shots, scored three goals through González, Sandoval, and Inda. They got that much-needed victory that leaves them on the verge of the play-in, one point behind León.
Before the match against Necaxa, Chivas faced the heavyweight and current dominator of Mexican soccer, Toluca. The Red Devils took advantage of Chivas' poor breaks, and three of Toluca's two goals came from counterattacks.
Meanwhile, Puebla drew 2-2 against Pachuca in the penultimate matchday; it has been a one-win tournament for them so far.
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Puebla vs Chivas Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 |
|
18
|
5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -15 |
Puebla and Chivas Latest Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Sep 23, 2025 - Liga MX
Sep 19, 2025 - Liga MX
Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 24, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 20, 2025 - Leagues Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Sep 23, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 15, 2025 - Liga MX
Jul 25, 2025 - Liga MX
Jul 11, 2025 - Liga MX
Apr 18, 2025 - Liga MX
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Sep 19, 2025 - Liga MX
Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 24, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 20, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 5, 2025 - Leagues Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Sep 23, 2025 - Liga MX
Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX
Sep 17, 2025 - Liga MX
Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 30, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 22, 2025 - Liga MX
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Sep 23, 2025 - Liga MX
Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX
Sep 17, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 30, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 3, 2025 - Leagues Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 22, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 10, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 7, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Jul 19, 2025 - Liga MX
Jul 5, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Puebla against Chivas : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Apr 15, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 25, 2024 - Liga MX
Apr 6, 2024 - Liga MX
Oct 20, 2023 - Liga MX
Mar 10, 2023 - Liga MX
Oct 9, 2022 - Liga MX
Chivas v Puebla last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Missing players
E. Navarro
R. Gonzalez
ForwardChicharito
Most goals and assists
Puebla
Chivas
R. Marin
(6 Goals)
A. Gonzalez
(6 Goals)
,
R. Alvarado
(6 Goals)
R. Castillo
(2 Assists)
, 
E. Gomez
(2 Assists)
R. Alvarado
(3 Assists)
Puebla and Chivas Stats in Liga MX
Puebla - Chivas Key Points
- Puebla is one of two teams yet to score 10 goals this season
- Puebla generated an xG of 0.37, but scored twice in the last draw against Pachuca
- 1-0 was the final score of the last two Chivas vs. Puebla matches
- Armando González, Chivas' top scorer this season with 5 goals
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Our Puebla vs Chivas Prediction
For now, Chivas seems to finally find its goal-scoring man, forward Armando González, a promising 22-year-old Mexican who, after two somewhat lackluster matches against Tigres and Toluca, performed well against Necaxa.
Chivas, so far, has struggled against mid-table teams. Although they also lost an unusual match in Torreón against Santos Laguna, the truth is that Chivas has managed to dominate teams at the bottom of the table: they beat San Luis 4-3, in the Leagues Cup they defeated Charlotte, and now they beat Necaxa.
Our prediction for Chivas vs Puebla is: Chivas to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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