Poland vs France Prediction & Picks - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Poland
9/2/25 14:30
France

Prediction:

 

Poland (+9.5) cover the spread

-111
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 by Paul Tamayo in EuroBasket Picks

France takes on Poland on Wednesday, September 3, at the Spodek Arena in Poland. 

Poland has never won a game against France, at least on FIBA-sanctioned matches. France owns the head-to-head advantage, 13-0, including a most recent 95-64 victory during the 2022 EuroBasket.

But there's something different with this year's Polish team, as shown by their unblemished 3-0 record. Moreover, France doesn't have their two towering big men, Rudy Gobert and Victor Wembanyama, in this tournament. They still have an excellent wing depth, but their interior defense might suffer.

Poland is coming off an 84-75 win over Iceland. A total of 15 turnovers hampered the Polish offense, but they had enough to get through. 

Jordan Loyd, who is averaging 28.3 points, led the charge with 26 points. Mateusz Ponitka also contributed an all-around stat line of 18 points, 8 rebounds, and 8 assists. 

Meanwhile, France is coming off an 82-69 loss to Israel, their first defeat in the group stage. They had a precarious one-point lead entering the final period, but Israel went on a 27-13 run in that span.

Three French players scored double digits in the loss, including Zaccharie Rishacher's 14 points, Elie Okobo's 13, and Jaylen Hoard's 12.

Up to $300 to bet on Poland - France! 

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Poland vs France Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L Series
2
Poland
Poland
7 4 3 1 -1
3
France
France
7 4 3 1 1

Poland and France Latest Matches

Poland
Poland Latest matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Iceland
75 :  84
Poland

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Israel
64 :  66
Poland

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Poland
105 :  95
Slovenia

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Poland
87 :  106
Finland

Aug 17, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
97 :  88
Poland

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Georgia
89 :  94
Poland
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Iceland
75 :  84
Poland

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Israel
64 :  66
Poland

Aug 17, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
97 :  88
Poland

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Georgia
89 :  94
Poland

Aug 10, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Sweden
72 :  74
Poland

Aug 2, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Senegal
75 :  69
Poland
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Poland
105 :  95
Slovenia

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Poland
87 :  106
Finland

Feb 24, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Poland
74 :  88
North Macedonia

Nov 24, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Poland
88 :  86
Estonia

Sep 18, 2022 - EuroBasket

Poland
69 :  82
Germany

Sep 14, 2022 - EuroBasket

Poland
90 :  87
Slovenia
France
France Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

France
69 :  82
Israel

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Slovenia
95 :  103
France

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

France
92 :  64
Belgium

Aug 24, 2025 - International Friendly Games

France
92 :  77
Greece

Aug 16, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
73 :  78
France

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

France
75 :  67
Spain
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Slovenia
95 :  103
France

Aug 16, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
73 :  78
France

Aug 8, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Great Britain
67 :  74
France

Aug 4, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Montenegro
75 :  81
France

Feb 24, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Bosnia & Herzegovina
74 :  76
France

Nov 24, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Cyprus
70 :  85
France
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

France
69 :  82
Israel

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

France
92 :  64
Belgium

Aug 24, 2025 - International Friendly Games

France
92 :  77
Greece

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

France
75 :  67
Spain

Feb 21, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

France
83 :  80
Croatia

Nov 21, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

France
75 :  59
Cyprus

Poland against France : Head to Head (H2H)

Sep 16, 2022 - EuroBasket

France
95 :  54
Poland

Poland - France Key Points

  1. Poland is coming off an 84-75 win against Iceland.
  2. France is coming off an 82-69 loss to Israel.
  3. Poland's Jordan Loyd is averaging 28.3 points.
  4. Poland remains undefeated in three games.
Up to $300 to bet on Poland - France! 

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Our Poland vs France Prediction

Poland has won their first three games of the tournament, and they're looking very impressive. Leading their charge is Jordan Loyd, who is averaging 28.3 points, the fourth-highest output this year.

Meanwhile, France sustained their first loss in the group stage, having been defeated by Israel in their last game. They're still the favorites in this match, but their chemistry will be tested by a tough Polish squad. Our prediction for the France vs Poland match is: Poland (+9.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Poland (+9.5) cover the spread

-111
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Poland vs France Picks
Up to $300 to bet on Poland - France! 

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