New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction & Picks - NFL
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by Lou Aguila | in NFL Picks
Under 41.5 points is getting a lot of traction in the betting market as the New England Patriots and the Pittsburgh Steelers clash in what could be another brutal defensive battle in Week 2.
Current Form:
The New England Patriots dropped their first game of the new season, bowing to defending champions, the Seattle Eagles, 10-13, in the rematch of the 2026 Super Bowl. Drake Maye covered 178 yards with one TD and three interceptions.
The Pittsburgh Steelers eked out a 20-13 win over the Atlanta Falcons to open the new season on a winning note. Aaron Rodgers turned back the hands of time as he passed for 221 yards with one touchdown.
The Matchup: The total has gone UNDER in 7 of their last 10 meetings between the Steelers and the Patriots.
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New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
|
28
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 9, 2026 - NFL
Feb 8, 2026 - NFL
Jan 25, 2026 - NFL
Jan 18, 2026 - NFL
Jan 11, 2026 - NFL
Jan 4, 2026 - NFL
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Feb 8, 2026 - NFL
Jan 18, 2026 - NFL
Jan 11, 2026 - NFL
Jan 4, 2026 - NFL
Dec 14, 2025 - NFL
Dec 1, 2025 - NFL
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 9, 2026 - NFL
Jan 25, 2026 - NFL
Dec 28, 2025 - NFL
Dec 21, 2025 - NFL
Nov 23, 2025 - NFL
Nov 9, 2025 - NFL
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 13, 2026 - NFL
Jan 12, 2026 - NFL
Jan 4, 2026 - NFL
Dec 28, 2025 - NFL
Dec 21, 2025 - NFL
Dec 15, 2025 - NFL
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 13, 2026 - NFL
Jan 12, 2026 - NFL
Jan 4, 2026 - NFL
Dec 15, 2025 - NFL
Nov 30, 2025 - NFL
Nov 16, 2025 - NFL
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Dec 28, 2025 - NFL
Dec 21, 2025 - NFL
Dec 7, 2025 - NFL
Nov 23, 2025 - NFL
Nov 9, 2025 - NFL
Oct 16, 2025 - NFL
New England Patriots against Pittsburgh Steelers : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Sep 21, 2025 - NFL
Dec 7, 2023 - NFL
New England Patriots - Pittsburgh Steelers Key Points
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
- Under is 3-0-1 in the Steelers' last 4 games as a favorite.
- The Steelers scored 20 points in their win over the Atlanta Falcons.
- The Patriots scored 10 points in their loss to the Seattle Seahawks.
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Our New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction
The Difference Maker: These are two of the best defensive teams in Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season.
The Patriots may have lost their rematch with the Seahawks, but they held Seattle to 13 points and under 285 total yards in a low-scoring affair.
Meanwhile, the Steelers clamped down on the Atlanta Falcons, limiting them to 238 yards and one touchdown.
What to Expect: The Steelers and the Patriots duke it out in a low-scoring, highly physical game. The Patriots will try to get into the win column for the first time this season, but they will meet heavy resistance from the Steelers’ defense that looked imposing in Week 1.
Led by Aaron Rodgers, the Steelers will pull off clutch plays on both sides of the ball down the stretch to eke out a win over the Pats.
Fearless Forecast: The Steelers 14, Patriots 9
Our betting prediction for the Pittsburgh Steelers vs. the New England Patriots: Under 41.5 points
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
