Toronto Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5/23/26 15:07
Pittsburgh Pirates

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5 runs to hit

-165
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 by Stephen Abiola | in MLB Picks

Toronto Blue Jays (24-27) versus Pittsburgh Pirates (26-25) is an interleague matchup on Saturday evening at Rogers Center. The Blue Jays opened this series with a 6-2 victory on Friday night. Kevin Gausman pitched strongly into the seventh inning, whereas George Springer and Yohendrick Pinango bagged two-run doubles to lift the Blue Jays past the Pirates. This was their third straight win, a record they’ll look to extend tonight.

The Pirates’ starter, Bubba Chandler (1-6), had a night to forget after allowing three runs and only one earned in five innings. This cold defeat means the Pirates have now dropped five of seven and are 4-10 in their last 10 assignments. They committed three avoidable defensive errors on Friday to allow the Blue Jays to score three times in the eighth. The Pirates will be keen to bounce back tonight.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
16 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.494 83 41 42
21 Toronto Blue Jays
0.47 83 39 44

Toronto Blue Jays and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches

Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays Latest matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 22, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 21, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
0 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

May 20, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

May 19, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

May 18, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

May 17, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
1 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 22, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 13, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

May 12, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays

May 11, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5 :  8
Tampa Bay Rays

May 10, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  6
Los Angeles Angels

May 9, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
14 :  1
Los Angeles Angels
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 21, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
0 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

May 20, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

May 19, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

May 18, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

May 17, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
1 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

May 16, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
1 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 22, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 21, 2026 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
2 :  6
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 20, 2026 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
0 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 19, 2026 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
9 :  6
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 17, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

May 16, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 17, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

May 16, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

May 15, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  11
Philadelphia Phillies

May 14, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
7 :  2
Colorado Rockies

May 13, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  10
Colorado Rockies

May 12, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  1
Colorado Rockies
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 22, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 21, 2026 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
2 :  6
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 20, 2026 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
0 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 19, 2026 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
9 :  6
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 10, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
7 :  6
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 9, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
3 :  13
Pittsburgh Pirates

Toronto Blue Jays against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)

Toronto Blue Jays

50 %

Pittsburgh Pirates

50 %

May 22, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Mar 6, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Toronto Blue Jays
9 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 20, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 19, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  7
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 18, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points

  1. The total runs went under in six of the last eight Toronto Blue Jays matches.
  2. The total runs went under 8.5 in three of the last four Toronto Blue Jays matches.
  3. The total runs went under 8.5 in five of the last six Pittsburgh Pirates matches.
  4. The total runs went under 8.5 in three of the last Pittsburgh Pirates away games.

Our Toronto Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates are tipped to win this matchup at -160 odds. We don’t expect it to be another lopsided affair, with the Pirates itching to get back into the series. Pittsburgh will hand Paul Skenes his tenth start of the season, as he seeks to extend his 6-3 record and 2.62 ERA. He’s the main reason why we’ll take the total points to stay under 8.5, as he boasts a 2.14 ERA in his last three starts. He has the necessary skills to reduce pitching errors, which proved costly for the Pirates in Game 1. Toronto, meanwhile, will start Patrick Corbin, who has a 1-1 record and 4.23 ERA this season. These statistics suggest a win for the Pirates. 

Our prediction for Toronto Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh Pirates: Under 8.5 runs to hit.

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5 runs to hit

-165
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Toronto Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks