San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Stephen Abiola | in MLB Picks
San Diego Padres (71-60) will look to cement their hold of the No. 4 seed in the National League when they host Pittsburgh Pirates (63-69) on Monday night. The Padres have looked sharp recently, going 7-3 to sit nine games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. They’re coming off a commanding three-game series sweep over the Twins at home, scoring 21 runs in the process. The Padres will likely leave nothing to chance tonight as the wild-card race heats up.
Pittsburgh Pirates, meanwhile, are fourth in the NL Central, sitting near the bottom of the National League wild-card race. They now face an uphill battle to clinch a postseason place, especially if they drop their three-game series against San Diego. But to their defense, they’ve improved lately, taking five of their last 10 games despite falling 3-0 to the Dodgers. Honestly, many teams have suffered series sweeps at the hands of the Dodgers this season.
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San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
0.562 | 162 | 91 | 71 |
|
13
|
0.506 | 162 | 82 | 80 |
San Diego Padres and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 23, 2026 - MLB
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Aug 23, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 19, 2026 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 23, 2026 - MLB
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Aug 17, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 19, 2026 - MLB
Aug 18, 2026 - MLB
Aug 17, 2026 - MLB
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Aug 15, 2026 - MLB
Aug 14, 2026 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Aug 23, 2026 - MLB
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Aug 11, 2026 - MLB
San Diego Padres against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Apr 8, 2026 - MLB
Apr 7, 2026 - MLB
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San Diego Padres - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points
- The Padres are 11-1 in their last 12 home matches.
- The Padres are 4-1 in their last five matches all-time.
- The Pirates are 1-8 in their last nine matches on the road.
- The Pirates are 2-4 in their last six matches all-time.
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Our San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
Bookmakers are anticipating an evenly matched contest, listing -115 odds for both sides. That’s unsurprising, considering both starting pitchers have been solid this year. The Padres will start Robbie Ray, who has a solid 11-7 record and a 3.20 ERA. The Pirates, on the other side of the grass, will start Braxton Ashcraft, who is 13-5 with a 3.68 ERA. However, we think the Padres will have an edge based on their current form, home advantage, and superior head-to-head record. They’re 8-2 in their last 10 meetings with the Pirates and 3-1 over their last four home games against the visitors. They should win it late today.
Our prediction for San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates: San Diego Padres to win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.