Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB
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The Phillies and Pirates conclude their entertaining four game series on Thursday afternoon, with Philadelphia hoping to secure a vital series win over their rivals.
After falling to a late 11-7 loss in game one, the Phillies bounced back with a comprehensive 8-0 shutout victory, before three home runs helped them secure a 10-6 win in game three.
Those two wins have moved Philadelphia to 48-38 for the season, and they are now just one game behind the Braves at the top of the NL East. After a patchy start to the campaign, the Phillies now look well placed to secure at least a Wild Card place.
The Pirates currently sit fourth in the NL Central with a .500 record. Whilst their playoff hopes aren't yet completely dead in the water, Pittsburgh will need an outstanding second half of the campaign if they are force thier way into postseaosn contention.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
0.563 | 87 | 49 | 38 |
|
17
|
0.494 | 87 | 43 | 44 |
Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 1, 2026 - MLB
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 1, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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Philadelphia Phillies against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Jul 1, 2026 - MLB
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Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points
- There have been over 11 runs in 4 of the Pirates' last 5 games
- The Phillies have scored at least 6 runs in each of their last 7 games against the Pirates
- The first 3 games of the series have produced 42 runs
- The Pirates have conceded at least 6 runs in 5 of their last 6 games
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Our Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
The bookies make this a coin flip game, so we are sterring clear of any moneyline predictions and instead casting our eye at the total runs markets.
The Phillies have been on red hot form offensively in recent weeks, whilst the Pirates are also more than capable of scoring heavily.
This has been a high scoring series so far, and we are expecitng more of the same on Thursday afternoon.
The odds of 1.85 on the game featuring over 10 runs look slightly short, so we are taking the 2.25 on the game having 12 or more runs.
Our prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates is: Over 11 runs.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.