Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5/17/25 18:05
Pittsburgh Pirates

Prediction:

 

Phillies -1.5 Runs

-135
$250 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies will try to get two wins in a row against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday at Citizens Ball Park.

The Phillies are 3-2 in their last five games and won Friday’s series-opener against the Pirates 8-4. Batting .258 with 210 total runs this season, Philadelphia built an 8-3 lead at the end of the 8th inning before fending off a comeback attempt from the Pirates in the 9th inning.

The Pirates, last in the NL Central with a 15-30 record, stormed to a 3-1ead following 3-run blast by Alexander Canario in the 6nd inning. Unfortunately, Pittsburgh’s bullpen messed things up again as the relief pitchers gave up seven unanswered runs between the 7th and 8th inning, putting them in an 1-8 hole entering the final inning. The Pirates made a last gasp of attempt to make a comeback by loading up the bases in the 9th inning, in which they managed to get a run off a walk by Jared Triolo, but Jose Alvarado shut the door by getting the final outs of the match.

Up to $250 to bet on Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
2 Philadelphia Phillies
0.593 162 96 66
26 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.438 162 71 91

Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches

Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 12, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  3
St. Louis Cardinals

May 10, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
1 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

May 6, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  8
Philadelphia Phillies

May 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  11
Arizona Diamondbacks

May 3, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  2
Arizona Diamondbacks

May 2, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  2
Arizona Diamondbacks
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 12, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  3
St. Louis Cardinals

May 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  11
Arizona Diamondbacks

May 3, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  2
Arizona Diamondbacks

May 2, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  2
Arizona Diamondbacks

May 1, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  4
Washington Nationals

Apr 30, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  2
Washington Nationals
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 10, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
1 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

May 6, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  8
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 26, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
4 :  10
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 25, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
4 :  0
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 22, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
5 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 14, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 13, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 12, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 11, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  3
Atlanta Braves

May 10, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  3
Atlanta Braves

May 9, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Atlanta Braves
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 11, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  3
Atlanta Braves

May 10, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  3
Atlanta Braves

May 9, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Atlanta Braves

May 4, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  4
San Diego Padres

May 3, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  2
San Diego Padres

May 2, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  9
San Diego Padres
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

May 14, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 13, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 12, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 7, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
5 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 6, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
2 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 26, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
8 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Philadelphia Phillies against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)

Philadelphia Phillies

50 %

Pittsburgh Pirates

50 %

Jul 21, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 20, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 19, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 12, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 11, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 10, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
7 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points

  1. Pittsburgh is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games.
  2. Pittsburgh is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road.
  3. Philadelphia is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games.
  4. Philadelphia is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games against an opponent in the National League.
Up to $250 to bet on Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Our Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Fearless Forecast: With Zach Wheeler on the mound, Phillies gets another convincing win over the Pirates.

Why you should bet on the Phillies to cover -1.5 runs: Zach Wheeler (2.14 ERA) is set to start on Saturday for the Phillies. Wheeler has led his team to victory in 4 of his last 5 starts, giving up an average of 1.60 earned runs per game. Although he has lost his last two starts vs. the Pirates, Wheeler still torched the team with 16 strikeouts across 3 games or an average of 8.7 strikeouts.

Why you should NOT bet on the Pirates to cover +1.5 spread: The Pirates are 6-17 on the road and 9-14 against the spread in road games this season. Starter Carmen Mlodzinski posted a shutout in a 5.2-inning stint against the Braves on May 11. But I highly doubt if the Pirates starter can pull off such a feat against a Phillies’ offense, which averages 4.6 runs per game over their last five games. Moreover, Pittsburgh will have to score more than their 2.7 runs per road game this season to match the Phillies fire with fire.

Our betting prediction for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: Phillies -1.5 runs

Prediction:

 

Phillies -1.5 Runs

-135
$250 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks