Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4/11/24 18:40
Philadelphia Phillies

Prediction:

 

Over 9 Runs

-108
$100 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Dan Angell in MLB Picks

The Pittsburgh Pirates (9-3 SU, 9-3 ATS) travel across the Keystone State to begin a series with the Philadelphia Phillies (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS). The Pirates have started well because they’ve been getting timely hitting throughout their lineup. Four players with at least 25 at-bats have hit .300 or better, with Oneil Cruz sitting just under the line at .298.

The Phillies’ inconsistency stems from the same problem the Phillies always have: they can’t count on their bullpen. Philadelphia’s pitchers have an ERA of 3.92, but their bullpen ERA of 5.44 shows that they’ve been blowing games in the back half of the contest yet again. In their most recent series in St. Louis, five of the Cardinals’ nine runs came in the final three innings of the game.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Form

Table

Teams % P W L
2
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies
0.586 162 95 67
23
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates
0.469 162 76 86

Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 9, 2024 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
5 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 6, 2024 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 5, 2024 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 4, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
7 :  4
Washington Nationals

Apr 1, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  4
Washington Nationals

Mar 12, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Atlanta Braves
1 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates
W L W W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 9, 2024 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
5 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 6, 2024 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 5, 2024 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 12, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Atlanta Braves
1 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 10, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 30, 2023 - MLB

Miami Marlins
7 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates
W W W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 4, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
7 :  4
Washington Nationals

Apr 1, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  4
Washington Nationals

Feb 26, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  8
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 20, 2023 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
13 :  7
Chicago Cubs

Sep 19, 2023 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  14
Chicago Cubs

Aug 20, 2023 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  2
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 10, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  3
St. Louis Cardinals

Apr 8, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  3
St. Louis Cardinals

Apr 6, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  2
Washington Nationals

Apr 5, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  0
Washington Nationals

Apr 2, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 1, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
6 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 2, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 1, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
6 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Mar 22, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Detroit Tigers
4 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Mar 14, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Boston Red Sox
1 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Oct 24, 2023 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
4 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Oct 23, 2023 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
5 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies
W W L W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 10, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  3
St. Louis Cardinals

Apr 8, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  3
St. Louis Cardinals

Apr 6, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  2
Washington Nationals

Apr 5, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  0
Washington Nationals

Mar 18, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  4
New York Yankees

Mar 10, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)

Pittsburgh Pirates

17 %

Philadelphia Phillies

83 %

Mar 10, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 30, 2023 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  6
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 14, 2021 - MLB Spring Training

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 5, 2021 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Mar 4, 2020 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
7 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Feb 25, 2020 - MLB Spring Training

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points

  1. The Phillies have played to the under in seven straight games.
  2. The Phillies have given up exactly three runs in four straight games.
  3. The Pirates are 5-1 SU this season as an underdog.
  4. The Pirates have scored at least three runs 11 times in 12 games.

Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The X-factor in this matchup is the wind, which is heading out to left field at 16 miles per hour. With a lot of space available to shoot for and the wind potentially carrying the ball, this could turn into an offensive explosion. Jared Jones has mostly been effective for Pittsburgh, but he’s highly dependent on strikeouts. If he isn’t missing bats, the Phillies can power their way to a fair amount of offense.

Ranger Suarez got to face the light-hitting Nationals last time out, but he’s right around his usual ERA of around four. The Pirates’ bats look like they’re going to stay hot, and there’s always that poor Phillies bullpen to worry about. Because of the hitters holding the edge in this matchup, our prediction for Pittsburgh vs. Philadelphia is Over 9 runs.

Prediction:

 

Over 9 Runs

-108
$100 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks