New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Mets
3/29/26 13:40
Pittsburgh Pirates

Prediction:

 

New York Mets ML

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 by Matt Lowrimore | in MLB Picks

A 12-game MLB slate is scheduled for Sunday, including a National League matchup between the New York Mets (2-0) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (0-2). Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Mets and the Pirates.

The Pirates will start Carmen Mlodzinski in the series finale on Sunday, who finished 2025 with a record of 5-8 and had an ERA of 3.55. Mlodzinski was primarily used as a relief pitcher last season, and as such, started just 12 games. In one appearance against the Mets, Mlodzinski went 3.2 innings and allowed no earned runs.

For Sunday’s series finale, the Mets are scheduled to start Nolan McLean, who finished the 2025 season with a record of 5-1 and an ERA of 2.06 in just eight starts. Note that McLean has yet to face the Pirates in his MLB career, but given how dominant he was in his brief time in the MLB last season, he could be set to start 2026 strongly.

New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
16 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.494 83 41 42
25 New York Mets
0.422 83 35 48

New York Mets and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches

New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Mar 28, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 26, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
11 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
New York Mets

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Mets
5 :  7
Houston Astros

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Washington Nationals
3 :  1
New York Mets

Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Mets
3 :  4
St. Louis Cardinals
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 28, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 26, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
11 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Mets
5 :  7
Houston Astros

Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Mets
3 :  4
St. Louis Cardinals

Mar 16, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Mets
6 :  12
Washington Nationals

Mar 15, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Mets
8 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays
W L D W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
New York Mets

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Washington Nationals
3 :  1
New York Mets

Mar 19, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Houston Astros
2 :  6
New York Mets

Mar 17, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
5 :  5
New York Mets

Mar 14, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Houston Astros
8 :  2
New York Mets

Mar 13, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Washington Nationals
3 :  8
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Mar 28, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 26, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
11 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 23, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Atlanta Braves
8 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 23, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Mar 18, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  1
Detroit Tigers

Mar 17, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  10
Houston Astros

Mar 14, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  6
Baltimore Orioles
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Mar 28, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 26, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
11 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Atlanta Braves
8 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 19, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 16, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Minnesota Twins
5 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 15, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Tampa Bay Rays
6 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

New York Mets against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Mets

33 %

Pittsburgh Pirates

67 %

Mar 28, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 26, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
11 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
12 :  1
New York Mets

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  2
New York Mets

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  1
New York Mets

May 14, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

New York Mets - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points

  1. Carmen Mlodzinski had an ERA of 3.55 in 2025
  2. Carmen Mlodzinski was 5-8 in 2025
  3. Nolan McLean had an ERA of 2.06 in 2025
  4. The Mets are averaging 7.5 runs per game in 2026

Our New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

The Mets are once again the favorites in this game; however, they still look to be the best betting option. New York is off to a hot start this season, winning back-to-back games. The offense has especially had success, averaging 7.5 runs through the first two games.

Just like on Saturday, New York also has the pitching advantage with McLean on the mound. While he does not have the most MLB experience, McLean still had an elite ERA last season. Therefore, with the Pirates’ offense already showing signs of being inconsistent, our New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction is: New York Mets ML.

Prediction:

 

New York Mets ML

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New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks