New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Mets
3/28/26 16:10
Pittsburgh Pirates

Prediction:

 

Over 8 Total Runs

-102
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in MLB Picks

Opening weekend continues in the MLB on Saturday and will include a 15-game slate. One of the games taking place will see the Pittsburgh Pirates (0-1) take on the New York Mets (1-0) in a National League matchup. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Pirates and the Mets.

Pittsburgh’s season got off to a poor start, as they lost to New York on Thursday by a score of 11-7. After an off-day on Friday, the Pirates are set to start Mitch Keller on Saturday. Keller had a below-average 2025, going 6-15 with an ERA of 4.19. This could spell trouble against a loaded Mets lineup that has already had success against the Pirates’ pitching staff.

New York, on the other hand, is set to start David Peterson for Game 2 of this Opening Series. Peterson also had an up-and-down 2025, posting a record of 9-6 with an ERA of 4.22. With that, Pittsburgh also looks like they could have success against the Mets’ pitching staff.

New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
16 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.494 83 41 42
25 New York Mets
0.422 83 35 48

New York Mets and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches

New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Mar 26, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
11 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
New York Mets

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Mets
5 :  7
Houston Astros

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Washington Nationals
3 :  1
New York Mets

Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Mets
3 :  4
St. Louis Cardinals

Mar 19, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Houston Astros
2 :  6
New York Mets
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Mar 26, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
11 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Mets
5 :  7
Houston Astros

Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Mets
3 :  4
St. Louis Cardinals

Mar 16, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Mets
6 :  12
Washington Nationals

Mar 15, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Mets
8 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Mar 13, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Mets
0 :  1
Miami Marlins
W L D W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
New York Mets

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Washington Nationals
3 :  1
New York Mets

Mar 19, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Houston Astros
2 :  6
New York Mets

Mar 17, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
5 :  5
New York Mets

Mar 14, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Houston Astros
8 :  2
New York Mets

Mar 13, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Washington Nationals
3 :  8
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Mar 26, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
11 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 23, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Atlanta Braves
8 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 19, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 23, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Mar 18, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  1
Detroit Tigers

Mar 17, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  10
Houston Astros

Mar 14, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  6
Baltimore Orioles
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Mar 26, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
11 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Atlanta Braves
8 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 19, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 16, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Minnesota Twins
5 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 15, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Tampa Bay Rays
6 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 13, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Detroit Tigers
5 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

New York Mets against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Mets

33 %

Pittsburgh Pirates

67 %

Mar 26, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
11 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
12 :  1
New York Mets

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  2
New York Mets

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  1
New York Mets

May 14, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 13, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

New York Mets - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points

  1. The Over is 1-0 for New York in 2026
  2. The Over is 1-0 for Pittsburgh in 2026
  3. Keller had an ERA of 2.19 vs New York in 2025
  4. Peterson had an ERA of 5.91 vs Pittsburgh in 2025

Our New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Like in Game 1 of this series, New York is the heavy betting favorite in Game 2. That being said, the over looks to be the best betting option. The offenses for both teams were electric on Thursday, as 18 total runs were scored. 

While 18 runs will likely not be scored in this game, there is still reason to believe that there will be plenty of runs. Neither starting pitcher was great last season, so even though Keller fared well against the Mets in one start, he was still too inconsistent on the season as a whole. For that reason, our New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction is: Over 8 Total Runs.

Prediction:

 

Over 8 Total Runs

-102
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks