New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The New York Mets seek a convincing win a day after squeaking past the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 2 of their series on Tuesday at Citi Field.
The Mets have won 4 of their last 5 games to stay on top of the National League East with a 27-15 record, 2.5 games ahead of the next trailer, the Philadelphia Phillies (24-17). Exceptional pitching remains the Mets’ biggest weapon this season, and this has helped the team win games even against top-heavy offensive teams this season.
The Pirates blew an opportunity to score rare back-to-back wins after allowing Pete Alonso to send Francisco Lindor home with a sacrifice fly in the 9th inning. Pittsburgh sit in the bottom half in both pitching and batting departments this season, posting a 4.12 ERA and batting .220 with a league-worst 130 total runs.
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New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
0.512 | 162 | 83 | 79 |
|
26
|
0.438 | 162 | 71 | 91 |
New York Mets and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 12, 2025 - MLB
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
May 9, 2025 - MLB
May 2, 2025 - MLB
May 1, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 12, 2025 - MLB
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
May 9, 2025 - MLB
May 1, 2025 - MLB
Apr 23, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 2, 2025 - MLB
Apr 28, 2025 - MLB
Apr 27, 2025 - MLB
Apr 26, 2025 - MLB
Apr 25, 2025 - MLB
Apr 16, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 12, 2025 - MLB
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
May 9, 2025 - MLB
May 7, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
May 9, 2025 - MLB
May 4, 2025 - MLB
May 3, 2025 - MLB
May 2, 2025 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
May 12, 2025 - MLB
May 7, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
Apr 26, 2025 - MLB
Apr 25, 2025 - MLB
Apr 24, 2025 - MLB
New York Mets against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
May 12, 2025 - MLB
Jul 7, 2024 - MLB
Jul 6, 2024 - MLB
Jul 5, 2024 - MLB
Sep 18, 2022 - MLB
Sep 15, 2022 - MLB
New York Mets - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points
- Pittsburgh is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games against NY Mets.
- Pittsburgh is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games.
- NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
- NY Mets is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home.
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Our New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Mets win convincingly behind another stellar game from Kodai Senga.
Reasons to bet on the Mets at -1.5 Runs: Tuesday’s starter Kodai Senga has posted 3 shutouts in his last 5 starts, including a six-inning shutout of the Arizona Diamondbacks on May 7. Senga also recorded a shutout in his first and only start vs. the Pirates, blanking them for seven innings on June 10, 2023. The Mets, who are also scoring 6.1 runs per game over their last 5 games, are 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh and 12-8 against the spread in home games this season.
Reasons not to bet on a Pirates win: The Pirates are scoring 2.4 runs per game over their last 5 assignments this season. Moreover, they are starting Mitch Keller, who went 0-5 with a 4.50 ERA in his last 5 starts. Pittsburgh is also 0-6 SU in its last 6 games on the road and 2-7 SU in its last 9 games against NY Mets.
Our betting prediction for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets: Mets -1.5 Runs
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
